【摘要】：鐵路運(yùn)輸?shù)陌l(fā)展與社會經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展密切相關(guān),二者相互促進(jìn)又彼此制約。經(jīng)濟(jì)的繁榮和社會的進(jìn)步產(chǎn)生更大的運(yùn)輸需求,刺激鐵路的建設(shè),而鐵路線網(wǎng)的完善提供了更好的運(yùn)輸供給,保證了客流、貨流的順暢流動(dòng)。為了使區(qū)域內(nèi)鐵路運(yùn)輸供需關(guān)系保持動(dòng)態(tài)平衡,在建設(shè)及規(guī)劃區(qū)域鐵路網(wǎng)之前,需要衡量鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模是否符合社會經(jīng)濟(jì)的發(fā)展要求,在運(yùn)營管理鐵路運(yùn)輸時(shí),也要隨時(shí)把握鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平之間的變化關(guān)系,因此,對區(qū)域鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模進(jìn)行客觀的評價(jià)是極為重要的。 本文的研究內(nèi)容以2010年數(shù)據(jù)為研究基礎(chǔ),對遼寧省鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模與社會經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的適應(yīng)性進(jìn)行評價(jià),研究目的是提出一種改進(jìn)的區(qū)域鐵路網(wǎng)評價(jià)方法,能夠有效體現(xiàn)區(qū)域鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模與社會經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平之間的適應(yīng)性。 全文共分為五個(gè)部分： 第一部分是緒論,介紹選題背景及意義、國內(nèi)外研究現(xiàn)狀和研究內(nèi)容,重點(diǎn)闡述工程領(lǐng)域鐵路網(wǎng)評價(jià)方法的缺陷,即以設(shè)計(jì)單位使用的鐵路網(wǎng)評價(jià)方法為基礎(chǔ),結(jié)合相關(guān)參考文獻(xiàn)的研究成果,總結(jié)現(xiàn)行方法存在的缺陷； 第二部分是遼寧省經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平及鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模概況。介紹遼寧省2010年社會經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平及經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展目標(biāo),描述省內(nèi)鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模、主要線路及運(yùn)輸能力,介紹遼寧省鐵路網(wǎng)發(fā)展規(guī)劃； 第三部分為區(qū)域鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平適應(yīng)性評價(jià)方法研究。分析鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模與社會經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的關(guān)聯(lián)性,闡述區(qū)域鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平適應(yīng)性評價(jià)方法的思路,評價(jià)方法分為經(jīng)濟(jì)評價(jià)方法和區(qū)域鐵路網(wǎng)評價(jià)方法兩步,社會經(jīng)濟(jì)評價(jià)問題采用主成分分析法解決,得出綜合主成分排序表,從中選出與評價(jià)區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)水平最接近的區(qū)域,以其作為決策單元,應(yīng)用DEA數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)評價(jià)方法進(jìn)行區(qū)域鐵路網(wǎng)評價(jià),最終得出區(qū)域鐵路網(wǎng)評價(jià)結(jié)論。為方便求解,敘述了SPSS軟件求解社會經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的步驟方法,并編寫MATLAB軟件求解區(qū)域鐵路網(wǎng)評價(jià)問題的程序代碼,最后規(guī)定了方法的適用范圍； 第四部分為遼寧省鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平的適應(yīng)性評價(jià)。使用第三章提出的方法對2010年遼寧省鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模進(jìn)行評價(jià),應(yīng)用軟件求解,分析結(jié)果并提出相應(yīng)建議； 第五部分為結(jié)論。本文主要得出了以下結(jié)論：1.2010年遼寧省鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模能夠適應(yīng)社會經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平。遼寧省經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展態(tài)勢良好,對鐵路運(yùn)輸?shù)男枨筝^大,鐵路網(wǎng)建設(shè)基礎(chǔ)好,線網(wǎng)密度大,中遠(yuǎn)期規(guī)劃線路較多。2010年遼寧省鐵路網(wǎng)投入產(chǎn)出的比值較高,效益率較好,鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)模能夠適應(yīng)社會經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平；2.目前鐵路網(wǎng)評價(jià)的方法存在著較大的缺陷,決策單元的選擇欠缺科學(xué)性,導(dǎo)致評價(jià)標(biāo)準(zhǔn)不準(zhǔn)確,評價(jià)結(jié)果沒有說服力,針對其缺陷對評價(jià)方法進(jìn)行了改進(jìn)；3.建議遼寧省鐵路網(wǎng)按照中長期路網(wǎng)規(guī)劃中的指示,循序漸進(jìn)、與時(shí)俱進(jìn)地建設(shè)完善,根據(jù)中長期鐵路網(wǎng)規(guī)劃的內(nèi)容,與時(shí)俱進(jìn),增大路網(wǎng)規(guī)模和密度,完善路網(wǎng)布局,增強(qiáng)與港口城市海運(yùn)端口的聯(lián)系。
[Abstract]:The development of railway transportation is closely related to the development of social and economic development. The two parties promote and restrict each other. Economic prosperity and social progress produce greater transport demand, stimulate railway construction, and the improvement of railway line network provides better transportation supply, guarantees the passenger flow and the flow of goods flow smoothly. In order to maintain dynamic balance, before the construction and planning of the regional railway network, it is necessary to measure the scale of the railway network to meet the requirements of social and economic development. In the operation and management of railway transportation, it is necessary to grasp the change relationship between the scale of the railway network and the level of economic development at any time. Therefore, the scale of the regional railway network should be evaluated objectively. It's very important.
The research content of this paper is based on the data of 2010, and evaluates the adaptability of the scale of Liaoning railway network and the level of social and economic development. The purpose of this study is to propose an improved evaluation method of regional railway network, which can effectively reflect the adaptability between the scale of the regional railway network and the level of social economic development.
The full text is divided into five parts:
The first part is the introduction, introducing the background and significance of the topic, the research status and research content at home and abroad, focusing on the defects of the railway network evaluation method in the engineering field, which is based on the railway network evaluation method used by the design unit and combined with the research results of relevant references.
The second part is the level of economic development and the scale of the railway network in Liaoning province. It introduces the social and economic development level and the economic development target of Liaoning Province in 2010, describes the scale of the railway network in the province, the main lines and transportation capacity, and introduces the development plan of the railway network in Liaoning province.
The third part is the research on the adaptability evaluation method of the scale and economic development level of the regional railway network. It analyzes the correlation between the scale of the railway network and the level of the social and economic development, and expounds the thinking of the adaptability evaluation method of the scale of the regional railway network and the level of economic development. The evaluation method is divided into two steps of the economic evaluation method and the regional railway network evaluation method. The problem of social and economic evaluation is solved by principal component analysis, and the comprehensive principal component ranking table is obtained, and the region which is closest to the evaluation of regional economic level is selected from it. As a decision unit, the DEA data envelopment evaluation method is used to evaluate the regional railway network, and the evaluation conclusion of the regional railway network is finally obtained. For the convenience of solving, the paper describes SPSS The software to solve the social and economic development level of the step method, and write MATLAB software to solve the regional railway network evaluation program code, and finally stipulates the scope of application of the method.
The fourth part is the adaptability evaluation of the scale and economic development level of the railway network in Liaoning province. The method of the third chapter is used to evaluate the scale of the railway network in Liaoning Province in 2010, the application software is solved, the results are analyzed and the corresponding suggestions are put forward.
The fifth part is the conclusion. This paper mainly draws the following conclusions: the scale of Liaoning railway network can adapt to the social and economic development level in 1.2010 years. The economic development trend of Liaoning province is good, the demand for railway transportation is great, the construction foundation of the railway network is good, the density of the line network is large, and the input-output of the railway network of the Liaoning province is more and more.2010 years in the middle and far period regulation lines. The ratio is high, the efficiency rate is better, the railway network scale can adapt to the social and economic development level; 2. the current railway network evaluation method has a large defect, the choice of decision unit is not scientific, which leads to the inaccuracy of the evaluation standard, the evaluation result is not convincing, and the evaluation method has been improved in view of its defects; 3. suggested Liaoning According to the instructions in the middle and long term road network planning, the provincial railway network will step by step and develop with the times. According to the content of the medium and long term railway network planning, the railway network will keep pace with the times, increase the scale and density of the road network, improve the layout of the road network, and strengthen the connection with the port of the port city.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南交通大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F127;U212.1

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