本文選題：用工荒 + 農(nóng)民工��； 參考：《江蘇科技大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：2004年初，“用工荒”第一次出現(xiàn)在廣東東莞，隨后從沿海地區(qū)發(fā)展到了內(nèi)陸地區(qū)。江蘇省“用工荒”現(xiàn)象出現(xiàn)相對較晚，主要集中在以紡織服裝為代表的勞動密集型行業(yè)，并對江蘇省的經(jīng)濟發(fā)展造成雙重影響，機遇與挑戰(zhàn)并存。 本文基于國內(nèi)外對“用工荒”和城鄉(xiāng)勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移的研究，以勞動力流動理論、勞動力供給與需求理論和人力資本理論為基礎(chǔ)，綜合運用文獻分析法、問卷調(diào)查法以及嶺回歸分析法，并拓展了托達羅模型，對江蘇省紡織服裝行業(yè)“用工荒”的影響因素進行了實證分析。 首先結(jié)合相關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)對全國及江蘇省的“用工荒”現(xiàn)狀、特征、影響進行了分析。其次對“劉易斯拐點”作了初步判斷，表明“用工荒”的出現(xiàn)并不是農(nóng)村剩余勞動力轉(zhuǎn)移殆盡造成的。然后從勞動力供給與需求兩個方面分析“用工荒”的成因，從供給角度來看，農(nóng)民工的工資水平、農(nóng)業(yè)收益、農(nóng)民工的人力資本、就業(yè)歧視、農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化發(fā)展水平均影響著農(nóng)民工的有效供給。而從需求角度來看，經(jīng)濟總體形勢的好轉(zhuǎn)和區(qū)域經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展都增大了用工需求。在此基礎(chǔ)上進一ki拓展了托達羅模型，在“用工荒”的成因中提取6個主要因素構(gòu)建模型，采用嶺回歸分析法進行實證分析，結(jié)果表明增加農(nóng)民工的務(wù)工收益，提高農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化的水平，進一ki推動城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展，加強農(nóng)民工的受教育程度，均可有效促進農(nóng)民工流動，進而緩解江蘇紡織服裝業(yè)的“用工荒”。最后從加強勞動力供給和企業(yè)減少用工需求的角度提出了對策建議，當(dāng)前紡織服裝業(yè)還應(yīng)繼續(xù)發(fā)揮行業(yè)優(yōu)勢，但從長遠來看必須加強轉(zhuǎn)型升級，，擺脫對勞動力的過度依賴，并增加漲薪空間，提高就業(yè)吸引力。
[Abstract]:At the beginning of 2004, "labor shortage" first appeared in Dongguan, Guangdong, and then from coastal areas to inland areas. The phenomenon of "labor shortage" in Jiangsu province was relatively late, mainly concentrated in the labor intensive industry represented by textile and clothing, which had double influence on the economic development of Jiangsu Province, and both opportunities and challenges coexisted.
Based on the theory of labor flow, the theory of labor supply and demand and the theory of human capital, this paper, based on the theory of labor flow, the theory of labor supply and demand and the theory of human capital, combines the method of literature analysis, questionnaire and ridge regression analysis, and expands the model of todros, which is a "shortage of labor in Jiangsu textile and clothing industry". The influencing factors are analyzed.
First of all, it analyzes the status, characteristics and influence of "labor shortage" in the whole country and Jiangsu province. Secondly, it makes a preliminary judgement on "Lewis turning point", which shows that the emergence of "labor shortage" is not caused by the transfer of surplus labor in rural areas. Then, the "labor shortage" is analyzed from two aspects of labor supply and demand. From the perspective of supply, the wage level of migrant workers, agricultural income, human capital of migrant workers, employment discrimination, and the development level of agricultural modernization all affect the effective supply of migrant workers. From the perspective of demand, the improvement of the overall economic situation and the development of regional economy have increased the demand for employment. On this basis, the development of Ki is expanded. In the Todaro model, 6 main factors are extracted from the cause of "labor shortage", and the ridge regression analysis is used to carry out empirical analysis. The results show that the income of migrant workers is increased, the level of agricultural modernization is raised, the development of urbanization and the education degree of peasant workers can be promoted by the ki, which can effectively promote the migrant workers' flow, In the end, the "shortage of labor" in Jiangsu textile and garment industry is alleviated. Finally, the countermeasures and suggestions are put forward from the angle of strengthening the supply of labor and the demand of enterprises to reduce employment. The textile and garment industry should continue to play the advantages of the industry, but in the long run, it is necessary to strengthen the transformation and upgrade, get rid of the excessive dependence on the labor force, and increase the salary space and increase the salary space. Employment attraction.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：江蘇科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F249.21;F426.86

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