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中國(guó)雙邊FTA的利益分析及戰(zhàn)略構(gòu)想

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-03 04:37

  本文選題:雙邊FTA 切入點(diǎn):利益分析 出處:《東北師范大學(xué)》2014年博士論文


【摘要】:隨著多邊貿(mào)易體系對(duì)貿(mào)易全球化的推動(dòng)作用逐漸減弱,多哈回合談判舉步維艱,許多國(guó)家開(kāi)始轉(zhuǎn)向了通過(guò)建立自由貿(mào)易區(qū)實(shí)現(xiàn)貿(mào)易自由化。雙邊自由貿(mào)易區(qū)以其獨(dú)特的優(yōu)越性,成為各國(guó)自由貿(mào)易區(qū)戰(zhàn)略的首要選擇。到2012年底,向WTO通報(bào)的區(qū)域貿(mào)易安排有354個(gè),僅2011-2012年就產(chǎn)生了27個(gè)RTA,全部為雙邊的貿(mào)易安排。2012年,美國(guó)、歐盟、韓國(guó)、墨西哥的自由貿(mào)易伙伴國(guó)分別為20個(gè)、56個(gè)、48個(gè)和44個(gè)。而中國(guó)的FTA伙伴國(guó)(除港、澳、臺(tái))僅有8個(gè)。金融危機(jī)之后,以美國(guó)為主導(dǎo)的跨太平洋伙伴關(guān)系協(xié)議(TTP)和跨大西洋貿(mào)易與投資伙伴協(xié)議(TTIP),試圖構(gòu)建全球最大的兩個(gè)貿(mào)易和投資自由化組織,而中國(guó)被排除在外。TPP和TTIP談判幾乎把中國(guó)最主要的貿(mào)易伙伴全部包括其中,TPP包括美國(guó)、日本、東盟等中國(guó)主要貿(mào)易伙伴,在TTIP里邊包括了我國(guó)最大的兩個(gè)出口市場(chǎng)美國(guó)和歐盟。如果TPP和TTIP能夠達(dá)成,包括中國(guó)在內(nèi)的金磚國(guó)家將會(huì)被排除在兩大貿(mào)易區(qū)之外,中國(guó)將在全球經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易格局中處于不利地位。中國(guó)只有積極構(gòu)筑自己的FTA網(wǎng)絡(luò),才能避免被邊緣化。 中國(guó)作為世界第一貿(mào)易大國(guó),已經(jīng)成為120多個(gè)國(guó)家的第一大貿(mào)易伙伴。雙邊自由貿(mào)易區(qū)戰(zhàn)略是中國(guó)從貿(mào)易大國(guó)走向貿(mào)易強(qiáng)國(guó)的便捷途徑之一。制定雙邊自由貿(mào)易區(qū)戰(zhàn)略,可以更好地指導(dǎo)中國(guó)雙邊自由貿(mào)易區(qū)實(shí)踐的開(kāi)展。雙邊自由貿(mào)易區(qū)戰(zhàn)略作為一項(xiàng)國(guó)家戰(zhàn)略,應(yīng)當(dāng)服務(wù)于多元化的戰(zhàn)略意圖。因此,在制定雙邊自由貿(mào)易區(qū)戰(zhàn)略時(shí)既要考慮經(jīng)濟(jì)因素,也要考慮非經(jīng)濟(jì)因素。選擇目標(biāo)伙伴國(guó)時(shí),既要考慮貿(mào)易規(guī)模、貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)、貿(mào)易成本、市場(chǎng)規(guī)模、技術(shù)引進(jìn)等傳統(tǒng)的經(jīng)濟(jì)因素,也要考慮能源供應(yīng)等資源安全因素,以及聯(lián)合反恐等地緣安全因素。 本文共分為五章內(nèi)容: 第一章導(dǎo)論介紹了本文的研究背景、研究?jī)?nèi)容和研究思路,對(duì)RTA、雙邊FTA的概念進(jìn)行了界定,并闡述了本文研究的自由貿(mào)易區(qū)(FTA)與上海自貿(mào)區(qū)(FTZ)的區(qū)別和聯(lián)系。 第二章回顧了區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)理論,FTA相關(guān)理論以及與本文研究相關(guān)的文獻(xiàn)。關(guān)稅同盟理論與FTA相關(guān)理論學(xué)說(shuō)為本文的研究提供了理論基礎(chǔ)。已有研究文獻(xiàn)為本文的研究提供了有價(jià)值的參考,但是,已有文獻(xiàn)沒(méi)有明確提出系統(tǒng)的選擇雙邊FTA伙伴國(guó)的指標(biāo)體系。 第三章闡述了中國(guó)參與雙邊FTA的背景。雙邊FTA在全球蓬勃發(fā)展的原因,雙邊FTA在全球的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體、新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體參與FTA的情況,以及中國(guó)參與FTA的情況。美國(guó)、歐盟、日本、墨西哥、新加坡、韓國(guó)雙邊FTA戰(zhàn)略的實(shí)施為中國(guó)制定FTA戰(zhàn)略提供了有益參考。中國(guó)參與FTA的實(shí)踐活動(dòng)為中國(guó)雙邊FTA戰(zhàn)略的制定奠定了實(shí)踐基礎(chǔ)。 第四章是中國(guó)參與雙邊FTA的利益分析。首先,從基礎(chǔ)理論的角度分析了中國(guó)參與雙邊FTA的利益形成機(jī)理,即貿(mào)易創(chuàng)造效應(yīng)、貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)移效應(yīng)和投資促進(jìn)效應(yīng)。然后,通過(guò)中國(guó)-東盟雙邊FTA、中國(guó)-智利雙邊FTA,中國(guó)-新西蘭雙邊FTA的利益分析,總結(jié)了以上三個(gè)具有代表性的FTA的成功和不足,作為今后中國(guó)雙邊FTA的典型范例。 第五章在前四章的基礎(chǔ)上提出了中國(guó)雙邊FTA的戰(zhàn)略構(gòu)想。中國(guó)在選擇雙邊FTA目標(biāo)伙伴國(guó)時(shí),應(yīng)當(dāng)綜合考慮貿(mào)易導(dǎo)向、技術(shù)導(dǎo)向、能源導(dǎo)向、市場(chǎng)導(dǎo)向、地緣安全導(dǎo)向五個(gè)方面的因素。中國(guó)雙邊FTA布局應(yīng)當(dāng)從周邊戰(zhàn)略和跨區(qū)域戰(zhàn)略兩方面同時(shí)展開(kāi),積極構(gòu)筑以中國(guó)國(guó)家利益為中心的FTA網(wǎng)絡(luò)。
[Abstract]:With the promotion of multilateral trade system of trade globalization gradually weakened, the Doha Round negotiations difficult, many countries began to realize trade liberalization through the establishment of a free trade zone. The bilateral free trade area with its unique superiority, become the first choice of the national strategy of free trade zone. By the end of 2012, the regional trade arrangements notified WTO of the 354, only 2011-2012 year produced 27 RTA, all bilateral trade arrangements for.2012 years, the United States, European Union, South Korea, Mexico's free trade partners are respectively 20, 56, 48 and 44. China and FTA partners (except Hong Kong, Macao, Taiwan) only 8. After the financial crisis in the United States as the trans Pacific Partnership Agreement (TTP) and the trans the Atlantic trade and investment partnership agreement (TTIP), tries to construct the two largest global trade and investment liberalization and organization, China was ranked Except at.TPP and TTIP Chinese talks almost all of the most important trade partners including TPP, including the United States, Japan, ASEAN and other major trading partners in China, TTIP includes two of China's largest export market of the United States and the European Union. If TPP and TTIP can be reached, including the BRICs countries will Chinese excluded from the two trade zone, China will be in a disadvantageous position in the global economic and trade pattern. China only actively build their own FTA network, in order to avoid being marginalized.
Chinese as the world's first trading power, has become the more than 120 largest trade partner countries. The strategy of bilateral free trade area is one of the most convenient way to China from trading power to trade power. Strategic bilateral free trade area, can better guide the China bilateral free trade zones in practice. As a strategic bilateral free trade area a national strategy intention should serve a diversified strategy. Therefore, in the formulation of strategic bilateral free trade area should consider economic factors, but also to consider the non economic factors. Select partners, it is necessary to consider the trade scale, trade structure, trade cost, market scale, economic factors of traditional technology introduction. Also consider the safety factors of energy resources, geopolitical security factors and joint terrorism.
This article is divided into five chapters.
The first chapter introduces the background, contents and ideas of the research, defines the concept of RTA and bilateral FTA, and expounds the difference and relationship between the free trade area (FTA) and the Shanghai free trade area (FTZ).
The second chapter reviews the theory of regional economy, FTA theory and research literature in this paper. And the theory of customs union theory and FTA theory provides a theoretical basis for this research. The existing research literature provides valuable reference for the research of this paper, however, the existing literature does not explicitly put forward the system of choice for bilateral FTA partners the index system.
The third chapter expounds the background. China participates in bilateral FTA bilateral FTA in the world with the rapid development of bilateral FTA in the global development situation, developed economies, emerging economies in the FTA, and China in FTA. The United States, European Union, Japan, Mexico, Singapore, South Korea bilateral FTA implementation strategy a useful reference for formulating Chinese FTA strategy. Chinese formulated in FTA practice China bilateral FTA strategy laid the practical foundation.
The fourth chapter is the analysis of Chinese participates in bilateral FTA interests. First of all, from the basic theory of Chinese participates in bilateral FTA interest formation mechanism, namely the trade creation effect and trade diversion effect and investment effect. Then, through China ASEAN bilateral FTA, bilateral FTA China - Chile, New Zealand China analysis of bilateral FTA interests, summarizes the three representative FTA success and shortcomings, as a typical example Chinese bilateral FTA in the future.
The fifth chapter puts forward the strategic conception of Chinese bilateral FTA on the basis of chapter four. Chinese bilateral FTA partners in the choice of target, we should consider the trade oriented, technology oriented, energy orientation, market orientation, factor five aspects of Geopolitical Security oriented. China bilateral FTA layout should be carried out at the same time from two aspects surrounding strategy and cross regional strategy, actively to build China national interests as the center of the FTA network.

【學(xué)位授予單位】:東北師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:博士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F752.7

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