本文選題：傳統(tǒng)絲綢之路　切入點：“一帶一路”　出處：《河南社會科學》2017年10期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】："一帶一路"在實現"兩個一百年"奮斗目標、實現中華民族偉大復興的中國夢過程中扮演著重要角色�！秱鹘y(tǒng)絲綢之路興衰歷史周期研究》一文提出,中國絲綢之路每輪周期的上升段長于下降段(下降段陡峭),中國絲綢之路的周期提前于中國歷史經濟周期的運行,中國絲綢之路的周期運行影響了中國歷史經濟周期的運行。中國歷史人口水平是中國歷史經濟增長的格蘭杰原因,而中國歷史經濟增長不是中國歷史人口水平的格蘭杰原因。開辟傳統(tǒng)絲綢之路的目的在于互通有無實現經濟繁榮,對外戰(zhàn)爭是保障中國絲綢之路興盛的工具之一而不是目的,是絲綢之路沿線國家經濟繁榮的基礎;和平簽約的方式同樣也實現了中國絲綢之路的繁榮,帶來的經濟發(fā)展目的更加明顯,包容性更強,發(fā)展效果也更好。內部戰(zhàn)亂是中國絲綢之路繁盛終結的主因,是中國歷史經濟周期快速進入衰敗期的根源。中國傳統(tǒng)絲綢之路興衰歷史周期是中國國內包容與國際包容發(fā)展相疊加的歷史經濟周期,與征戰(zhàn)周期完全不同�！�"一帶一路"場域中區(qū)域合作范式深化與重構》一文提出,"一帶一路"倡議不但進一步提升了我國對外開放水平,而且還打造了一個全新的區(qū)域合作格局和區(qū)域合作新模式。隨著"一帶一路"沿線國家和地區(qū)經濟一體化的不斷深入,區(qū)域合作正處在深刻的調整和變革之中,各利益相關者需要在轉型發(fā)展的關鍵時期,著力構建合作發(fā)展的新范式�！�"一帶一路"貿易新格局與新秩序》一文提出,我國在促進和周邊國家之間的貿易往來、文化交流與經濟之間的全方位合作方面做出了大量努力,取得了極大成效,在實現我國與周邊國家和地區(qū)貿易格局重塑的同時,也通過交流和合作,讓我國對外貿易的發(fā)展實現了轉型升級�？梢灶A見,伴隨著"一帶一路"的系統(tǒng)化推進,我國區(qū)域經濟帶貿易最終將進入全新的發(fā)展時期,不但經濟要素會更加有序而自由地流動,資源配置效率和市場融合程度都將不斷提升,區(qū)域間的貿易合作范圍和深度都將進一步拓展,水平也會更高。《"一帶一路"下的文明互鑒與融合發(fā)展》一文指出,"一帶一路"始終堅持和平合作、開放包容、互學互鑒和互利共贏的基本原則,這不但體現了絲路文明之基本精神,也讓"一帶一路"具有了東西方交流合作的精神象征,勢必會借此為世界各國人民再創(chuàng)造一份偉大的文化遺產。而事實上,復興"一帶一路"文明不但能夠為世界經濟交往指明道路與方向,還能借助國家主導的經濟合作和經貿活動,與沿線國家進行文化、文明的交往與交流,在互學互鑒的過程中讓沿線國家之間的交往更加緊密�！�"一帶一路"下全球化與"逆全球化"研究》一文分析指出,一些西方主要資本主義國家目前從全球化的重要推手蛻變成了"逆全球化"的積極推動者,對世界范圍內的自由貿易造成了新的沖擊。借助歐美推動的國際合作也會在未來一段時間遭遇更大阻力。但全球化的大勢不會發(fā)生根本逆轉,貿易保護性措施只能是有針對性的、臨時性的。由于"一帶一路"極大追求包容均衡發(fā)展,必將對全球化和資源、貿易自由流動產生巨大推動力。
[Abstract]:"The Belt and Road" in the "two one hundred year" goal, China dream the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation plays an important role in the history of the silk road. The traditional Cycle Research > paper, Chinese Silk Road in every round of cycle of the rise period is longer than the decline (by Duan Douqiao), the operation cycle China silk road ahead in the history of the economic cycle Chinese, Chinese cycle operation of the Silk Road in the history of economic cycle Chinese operation. Chinese historical population level is the history of economic growth China Grainger, Grainger and historical reasons of economic growth is not Chinese Chinese historical population level. The traditional silk road to open up is to achieve economic prosperity of foreign wars is the guarantee Chinese mutual exchange of needed products, silk road flourished and one of the tools is not the purpose, is the basis of countries along the Silk Road economic prosperity; and Flat sign is also realized Chinese the prosperity of the Silk Road, the purpose of economic development brings more obvious, more inclusive development, the effect is better. The internal conflict is the main cause of the Silk Road Chinese prosperous end, is the history of the economic cycle China rapid decline period. China root into the traditional silk road history period domestic and international Chinese inclusive inclusive development of the superposition of historical economic cycle, and the cycle for a completely different. "The Belt and Road" area in the field of cooperation and deepen the paradigm proposed a "Reconstruction", The Belt and Road "suggestions not only to further enhance the level of China's opening up, but also create a new the new pattern of regional cooperation and regional cooperation mode. With the" The Belt and Road countries along the continuous deepening of economic integration, regional cooperation is in the profound restructuring and transformation, the interests of Related to the development of a critical period of transition. The new paradigm of "efforts to build cooperation in the development of the The Belt and Road" new trade pattern and proposed a new order >, China's trade between neighboring countries and promote the all-round cooperation between cultural exchange and economy made great efforts and achieved great achievements in China and its neighboring countries and regions to reshape the trade pattern at the same time, through exchanges and cooperation for the development of China's foreign trade to achieve the transformation and upgrading. Predictably, accompanied by "system Belt and Road Initiative" to promote China's regional economic trade zone will eventually enter a brand-new development period that not only economic factors will be more orderly and free flowing, and the efficiency of market allocation of resources will continue to enhance the degree of integration, inter regional trade cooperation will further expand the scope and depth, the level will be higher along. The way the mutual learning and Integration Development > article pointed out, "The Belt and Road always adhere to peaceful cooperation, openness and tolerance, the basic principle of mutual learning and mutual benefit, it not only embodies the basic spirit of the Silk Road of civilization, also let" The Belt and Road "with Western exchanges and cooperation spiritual symbol, is bound to re create the people all over the world a great cultural heritage. In fact, the revival of" The Belt and Road "civilization not only for the world economy the way and direction, but also with the state led economic cooperation and trade activities, and cultural exchanges and communication between countries along civilization. In the process of mutual learning in making exchanges between the countries along more closely." The Belt and Road "under the globalization and the" globalization "of the" inverse analysis pointed out that some major Western capitalist countries the important driving force of globalization from chantui Become "active agents against globalization", free trade in the world caused a new shock. With the help of international cooperation and promote the will in the next period of time encounter greater resistance. But the globalization trend will not fundamentally reversed, trade protection measures can only be targeted, temporary for "The Belt and Road" great pursuit of inclusive and balanced development, is bound to the free flow of trade globalization and resources, have a great impetus.

【作者單位】： 暨南大學國際關系學院;
【基金】：國家社會科學基金資助項目(15XRK003)
【分類號】：F114.46
，

本文編號：1648258