【摘要】：消費(fèi)需求不足是我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的一大制約因素,農(nóng)村消費(fèi)市場(chǎng)既是社會(huì)主義市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)體系的重要組成部分,也是解決消費(fèi)需求不足問(wèn)題的重要突破口,因此解決農(nóng)村消費(fèi)需求不足問(wèn)題對(duì)于完善社會(huì)主義市場(chǎng)經(jīng)濟(jì)體系,解決三農(nóng)問(wèn)題,以及切實(shí)提高農(nóng)民生活水平具有重要意義。農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通是連接農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)和農(nóng)產(chǎn)品消費(fèi)的中間紐帶。提高農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率既有利于發(fā)展農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn),增加農(nóng)民收入,又能促進(jìn)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品消費(fèi),增加農(nóng)村消費(fèi)。因此,研究農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率對(duì)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)的影響對(duì)于增加農(nóng)村消費(fèi)、促進(jìn)農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展和城鄉(xiāng)均衡發(fā)展具有重要意義。文章主要從影響機(jī)制分析方面和實(shí)證分析方面研究了農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率對(duì)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)的影響。影響機(jī)制分析方面,主要從農(nóng)村消費(fèi)總量和農(nóng)村消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)兩個(gè)方面入手,研究農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率對(duì)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)影響的傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制,然后基于DEA模型測(cè)算出我國(guó)28個(gè)省市2000-2012年的農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率,采用固定效應(yīng)模型針對(duì)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率對(duì)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)總量的影響進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,并把農(nóng)村消費(fèi)分為生存型消費(fèi)和享受發(fā)展型消費(fèi),研究農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率對(duì)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)的影響。為了研究不同地區(qū)間農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率對(duì)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)的影響,文章把所研究的省份分為農(nóng)業(yè)大省和非農(nóng)行大省進(jìn)行分析,此外,文章還用PVAR模型分析農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率對(duì)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)的動(dòng)態(tài)沖擊作用�；陟o態(tài)面板模型研究的結(jié)果表明:提高農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率有助于促進(jìn)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)總量增加;農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率對(duì)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)具有顯著影響,對(duì)享受型消費(fèi)的促進(jìn)作用更為明顯;在非農(nóng)業(yè)大省,農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率能夠促進(jìn)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)總量的顯著增加,并且能夠?qū)r(nóng)村消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)產(chǎn)生影響,而農(nóng)業(yè)大省的相關(guān)影響都不顯著�；赑VAR模型的動(dòng)態(tài)分析結(jié)果表明,農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率對(duì)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)的促進(jìn)作用具有滯后性。最后立足于農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率對(duì)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)的促進(jìn)作用提出提高農(nóng)產(chǎn)品流通效率進(jìn)而促進(jìn)農(nóng)村消費(fèi)總量增加和消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)升級(jí)的政策建議。
[Abstract]:The insufficient consumption demand is a major restriction factor for the economic development of our country. The rural consumption market is not only an important part of the socialist market economy system, but also an important breakthrough to solve the problem of insufficient consumption demand. Therefore, it is of great significance to solve the problem of insufficient consumption demand in rural areas for perfecting the socialist market economy system, solving the problems of agriculture, rural areas and farmers, and improving farmers' living standards. The circulation of agricultural products is the middle link between agricultural production and consumption of agricultural products. Improving the circulation efficiency of agricultural products is not only conducive to developing agricultural production, increasing farmers' income, but also promoting the consumption of agricultural products and increasing rural consumption. Therefore, it is of great significance to study the effect of agricultural product circulation efficiency on rural consumption for increasing rural consumption, promoting rural economic development and balanced development of urban and rural areas. This paper mainly studies the effect of agricultural product circulation efficiency on rural consumption from the aspects of influence mechanism analysis and empirical analysis. In the aspect of influence mechanism analysis, the transmission mechanism of the effect of agricultural product circulation efficiency on rural consumption is studied from two aspects: the total amount of rural consumption and the rural consumption structure. Then, based on the DEA model, the agricultural product circulation efficiency of 28 provinces and cities in China from 2000 to 2012 is calculated, and the fixed effect model is used to analyze the effect of agricultural product circulation efficiency on the total rural consumption. Rural consumption is divided into subsistence consumption and enjoyment and development consumption, and the effect of agricultural product circulation efficiency on rural consumption structure is studied. In order to study the effect of agricultural product circulation efficiency on rural consumption among different regions, this paper divides the provinces studied into agricultural provinces and non-agricultural bank provinces for analysis. PVAR model is also used to analyze the impact of agricultural product circulation efficiency on rural consumption. The results based on the static panel model show that improving the circulation efficiency of agricultural products contributes to the increase of the total consumption of rural areas, and the circulation efficiency of agricultural products has a significant impact on the rural consumption structure, and the promotion effect on the enjoyment consumption is more obvious. In non-agricultural provinces, the circulation efficiency of agricultural products can significantly increase the total consumption of rural areas, and can have an impact on the rural consumption structure, but the related effects of agricultural provinces are not significant. The result of dynamic analysis based on PVAR model shows that the agricultural product circulation efficiency has lag behind in promoting rural consumption. Finally, based on the promotion effect of agricultural product circulation efficiency on rural consumption, some policy suggestions are put forward to improve agricultural product circulation efficiency and promote the increase of total rural consumption and the upgrading of consumption structure.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F326.6

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