本文選題：農(nóng)村土地流轉 + 發(fā)展水平　； 參考：《天津商業(yè)大學》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：土地改革作為關系我國6億農(nóng)民福祉的首要問題日益受到國家的重視,十八大召開之后出臺的一些列土地改革相關政策,預示著土地改革進程的加快。土地流轉作為土地改革中最重要的環(huán)節(jié),受到政府以及研究人員的關注。目前國內外學者對我國土地流轉進行了大量的研究,但是大多是從流轉農(nóng)戶的微觀角度出發(fā)進行實證分析,并且對于經(jīng)濟發(fā)展水平不同地區(qū)土地流轉的比較大多集中在省內的比較分析,很少進行全國性統(tǒng)計分析。本文從宏觀角度,對我國東部、中部各省份的土地流轉現(xiàn)進行對比分析,并通過建立面板模型分別對東部地區(qū)和中部地區(qū)的影響因素進行了實證分析。通過對比我國東部地區(qū)和中部地區(qū)土地流轉的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀,可以得出東部地區(qū)的土地流轉比例相對較高,但是近幾年發(fā)展速度較為緩慢。其中流轉面積最大的三個省份是:江蘇省、山東省和河北省,而流轉總面積占總經(jīng)營承包面積比例最高的省份三個省份則是:北京市、江蘇省和浙江省。而中部地區(qū)土地流轉總面積相對較大,土地流轉占承包經(jīng)營耕地面積的流轉比例相對較低,但是土地流轉的增長速度明顯高于東部地區(qū)。其中中部省份流轉總面積和流轉面積占總承包面積比例最大的三個省份都是:河南省、安徽省和湖南省。對于農(nóng)村土地流轉的影響因素分析,本文分別采用理論分析和應用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型對影響我國東部、中部地區(qū)的因素進行實證分析。本文分別選取第一產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值、非農(nóng)收入結構、農(nóng)戶土地經(jīng)營投資、農(nóng)業(yè)機械化水平、農(nóng)村社會保障和農(nóng)村人口老齡化程度六個因素進行實證分析。結果得出:對東部地區(qū)土地流轉的具有顯著影響的因素是第一產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值、農(nóng)業(yè)機械化水平、農(nóng)民非農(nóng)收入水平和農(nóng)村人口老齡化程度,并且各因素對東部地區(qū)土地流轉的影響均為正向影響。對中部地區(qū)土地流轉的具有顯著影響的因素有第一產(chǎn)業(yè)總價值、農(nóng)業(yè)機械化水平、農(nóng)民非農(nóng)收入水平、農(nóng)戶生產(chǎn)經(jīng)營投入和農(nóng)村人口老齡化程度,除去第一產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值對中部地區(qū)土地流轉的影響為負之外,其他個影響因素對中部地區(qū)對土地流轉的影響為正。東部和中部地區(qū),老齡化程度越高的省份,土地流轉市場發(fā)育越好;農(nóng)戶非農(nóng)收入結構越高、農(nóng)業(yè)機械化水平較高,對土地流轉的促進作用越大。并且,東部地區(qū)的單位耕地面積第一產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值越高,對土地流轉是促進作用,而中部地區(qū)則是,單位耕地面積第一產(chǎn)業(yè)增加值越低的地區(qū),土地流轉市場越活躍。在中部地區(qū),農(nóng)戶經(jīng)營投資越大的地區(qū),土地流轉越活躍。最后在分析結果的基礎上提出相應的政策建議。
[Abstract]:Land reform, as the most important issue related to the welfare of 600 million farmers in China, has been paid more and more attention by the state. Some policies related to land reform issued after the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China (CPC) indicate that the process of land reform is speeding up. As the most important link in land reform, land circulation has been concerned by the government and researchers. At present, scholars at home and abroad have carried out a lot of research on land circulation in China, but most of them are empirical analysis from the micro perspective of farmers. And the comparison of land circulation in different areas with different levels of economic development is mostly concentrated in the comparative analysis within the province, and few national statistical analysis is carried out. From the macro point of view, this paper makes a comparative analysis of the land circulation in the eastern and central provinces of China, and makes an empirical analysis of the influencing factors in the eastern region and the central region through the establishment of panel model. By comparing the present situation of land circulation in eastern China and central China, it can be concluded that the proportion of land circulation in eastern China is relatively high, but the speed of development is slow in recent years. The three provinces with the largest circulation area are Jiangsu Province, Shandong Province and Hebei Province, while the top three provinces with the highest proportion of total operating area are Beijing, Jiangsu and Zhejiang. The total area of land circulation in the central region is relatively large, and the proportion of land circulation to the area of contracted cultivated land is relatively low, but the growth rate of land circulation is obviously higher than that of the eastern region. The three provinces with the largest proportion of total contracted area and total circulation area in the central provinces are Henan Province, Anhui Province and Hunan Province. For the analysis of the influencing factors of rural land circulation, this paper uses theoretical analysis and panel data model to analyze the factors affecting the eastern and central areas of China. In this paper, six factors, namely, the added value of primary industry, the structure of non-agricultural income, the land management investment of farmers, the level of agricultural mechanization, the rural social security and the aging degree of the rural population, are selected for empirical analysis. The results show that the factors that have significant influence on the land circulation in the eastern region are the added value of the primary industry, the level of agricultural mechanization, the level of farmers' non-agricultural income and the aging degree of the rural population. And each factor to the eastern area land circulation influence is the positive influence. The factors that have significant influence on the land circulation in the central region are the total value of the primary industry, the level of agricultural mechanization, the level of farmers' non-agricultural income, the input of farmers' production and management and the degree of the aging of the rural population. In addition to the negative effect of the added value of the primary industry on the land circulation in the central region, the influence of other factors on the land circulation in the central region is positive. In the eastern and central regions, the higher the aging degree of the provinces, the better the development of land circulation market; the higher the structure of non-agricultural income of farmers, the higher the level of agricultural mechanization, the greater the promotion of land circulation. Moreover, the higher the added value of the primary industry per unit cultivated land area in the eastern region is, the more active the land circulation market is in the central region where the added value of the first industry per unit cultivated land area is lower. In the central region, the greater the investment of farmers, the more active land circulation. Finally, based on the analysis of the results, the corresponding policy recommendations are put forward.
【學位授予單位】：天津商業(yè)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F321.1

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