本文選題：動(dòng)態(tài)需求 + 收益共享契約��； 參考：《昆明理工大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：雖然近年來先進(jìn)的技術(shù)使的農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化取得了跨越式發(fā)展,互聯(lián)網(wǎng)技術(shù)保障了信息發(fā)布渠道的暢通、及時(shí)地發(fā)布市場上鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供需狀態(tài)以及相關(guān)鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場銷售價(jià)格,但是由于鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品是一類特殊的不同于工業(yè)品,其生產(chǎn)周期較長、產(chǎn)量極易受到自然災(zāi)害和不利天氣的影響、而且由于鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品自身的物理特性使其不能長期保存、遠(yuǎn)距離運(yùn)輸又會(huì)降低鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品到岸時(shí)的數(shù)量和新鮮度、銷售季節(jié)后剩余鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品殘余價(jià)值較低甚至為零,鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的這些不能規(guī)避的不利因素都大大阻礙了農(nóng)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和轉(zhuǎn)型升級。針對我國當(dāng)前種養(yǎng)殖業(yè)現(xiàn)狀,文章在考慮由單一供應(yīng)商和單一零售商組成的鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈協(xié)調(diào)研究中,當(dāng)市場需求變動(dòng)和隨機(jī)因子分布函數(shù)分別變動(dòng)下如何設(shè)計(jì)相應(yīng)的應(yīng)對策略,以降低動(dòng)態(tài)需求對鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈?zhǔn)找娴牟焕绊?實(shí)現(xiàn)協(xié)調(diào)鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈的目的。首先,研究了市場需求分布函數(shù)變動(dòng)時(shí)的鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈協(xié)調(diào)。由于鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈在原收益共享契約下處于協(xié)調(diào)狀態(tài),考慮擾動(dòng)使得生產(chǎn)成本和市場需求同時(shí)發(fā)生變動(dòng),提出了改進(jìn)的收益共享契約,用來在供應(yīng)鏈各參與成員之間合理分配因擾動(dòng)帶來的銷售風(fēng)險(xiǎn)或銷售收益,實(shí)現(xiàn)鮮活農(nóng)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈協(xié)調(diào)。通過建立收益函數(shù)模型,借助概率論等相關(guān)數(shù)學(xué)知識(shí)求解收益函數(shù)的最優(yōu)解以此確定供應(yīng)鏈?zhǔn)找婀蚕砥跫s相關(guān)參數(shù),促使供應(yīng)鏈各參與成員采取系統(tǒng)最優(yōu)時(shí)的經(jīng)營策略,并證明當(dāng)擾動(dòng)因素在一定范圍內(nèi)變動(dòng)時(shí)收益共享契約對供應(yīng)鏈協(xié)調(diào)具有一定的魯棒性;而且當(dāng)超出一定范圍時(shí),對原收益共享契約進(jìn)行必要的改進(jìn)仍然可以協(xié)調(diào)供應(yīng)鏈。其次,研究了隨機(jī)因子分布函數(shù)變動(dòng)時(shí)的鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈協(xié)調(diào)�；邗r活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的新鮮度和損耗都對零售商期望收益產(chǎn)生影響,考慮市場需求與反應(yīng)農(nóng)產(chǎn)品質(zhì)量的新鮮度和運(yùn)輸過程中產(chǎn)品損耗之間呈現(xiàn)一定的函數(shù)關(guān)系式,并設(shè)定一個(gè)隨機(jī)因子用以反映市場需求變動(dòng)。通過構(gòu)建市場需求與新鮮度、損失率和隨機(jī)因子之間的函數(shù)模型并引入庫存因子,設(shè)計(jì)了一種與隨機(jī)因子有關(guān)的收益共享契約,探討了穩(wěn)定情形下的最優(yōu)庫存因子,以及供應(yīng)鏈各成員在系統(tǒng)協(xié)調(diào)下的最優(yōu)決策。接著分析當(dāng)隨機(jī)因子分布函數(shù)受到突發(fā)事件影響發(fā)生擾動(dòng)時(shí),那么市場需求規(guī)模也會(huì)同時(shí)發(fā)生擾動(dòng),擾動(dòng)下的供應(yīng)鏈-在原收益共享契約下的協(xié)調(diào)被破壞,就需要提出一種改進(jìn)的收益共享契約用以應(yīng)對突發(fā)事件實(shí)現(xiàn)供應(yīng)鏈的協(xié)調(diào)。最后,從市場需求分布函數(shù)和隨機(jī)因子分布函數(shù)分別擾動(dòng)出發(fā),總結(jié)本文的研究內(nèi)容和驗(yàn)證結(jié)果,不論是市場需求分布函數(shù)變動(dòng)還是市場需求因隨機(jī)因子分布函數(shù)變動(dòng)而變動(dòng),收益共享契約對鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品供應(yīng)鏈都具有一定的魯棒性,而且改進(jìn)的收益共享契約都能夠?qū)崿F(xiàn)供應(yīng)鏈的協(xié)調(diào)應(yīng)對。而且兩種情形下都能夠?qū)崿F(xiàn)風(fēng)險(xiǎn)共擔(dān)和收益共享,促進(jìn)了供應(yīng)鏈的穩(wěn)定性,增強(qiáng)了鮮活農(nóng)產(chǎn)品整體的競爭優(yōu)勢,提高了供應(yīng)鏈各參與成員的收益。最后提出本文的研究不足以及接下來的工作方向。
[Abstract]:Although the advanced technology has made the rapid development of agricultural modernization in recent years, the Internet technology has guaranteed the unimpeded channel of information release, timely release the supply and demand of fresh agricultural products on the market and the market price of fresh agricultural products. However, the production of fresh agricultural products is a special kind of industrial product, which is different from industrial products. The production cycle is long, the yield is easily affected by natural disasters and unfavorable weather, and the physical properties of fresh agricultural products can not be preserved for a long time. Long distance transportation will reduce the number and freshness of the fresh agricultural products when they arrive, and the residual value of the remaining fresh agricultural products is low or even zero after the sale season. These unfavourable factors have greatly hindered the adjustment of agricultural structure and the transformation and upgrading. In view of the current situation of the breeding industry in China, the article considers how to design the supply chain of fresh agricultural products made up of a single supplier and a single retailer, when the change of market demand and the distribution function of the following factors are changed respectively. In order to reduce the adverse effects of dynamic demand on the supply chain income of fresh agricultural products and realize the purpose of coordinating the supply chain of fresh agricultural products, first, the supply chain coordination of fresh agricultural products is studied when the distribution function of market demand is changed. Considering that the disturbance makes the production cost and market demand change simultaneously, an improved income sharing contract is proposed, which is used to allocate the sales risk or the sales revenue caused by the disturbance among the members of the supply chain, and to realize the coordination of the supply chain of fresh agricultural and agricultural products. The optimal solution of knowledge solving return function determines the relevant parameters of the supply chain revenue sharing contract, prompting the members of the supply chain to take the optimal management strategy of the system, and prove that the revenue sharing contract has a definite robustness to the supply chain coordination when the disturbance factor changes in a certain range; and when it goes beyond a certain scope, The necessary improvement of the original income sharing contract can still coordinate the supply chain. Secondly, the supply chain coordination of fresh agricultural products is studied when the random factor distribution function is changed. The freshness and loss of fresh agricultural products have an impact on the expected return of the retailer, considering the market demand and the freshness and transportation of the quality of the agricultural products. In the course of the process, a certain function relation between product loss is presented, and a random factor is set to reflect the change of market demand. By constructing the function model between the market demand and freshness, the loss rate and the random factor and introducing the inventory factor, a revenue sharing contract related to the random factor is designed, and the stability situation is discussed. The optimal inventory factor under the shape and the optimal decision of each member of the supply chain under the system coordination. Then, when the stochastic factor distribution function is disturbed by the impact of the sudden event, the market demand scale will also be disturbed simultaneously. The supply chain under the disturbance under the original revenue sharing contract is destroyed. An improved revenue sharing contract is used to cope with the coordination of the supply chain. Finally, the research content and the verification results are summarized from the distribution function of the market demand and the random factor distribution function, and the change of the market demand distribution function is also the change of the distribution function of the market demand due to the random factor. The income sharing contract has a certain robustness to the fresh agricultural products supply chain, and the improved revenue sharing contract can achieve the coordinated response of the supply chain. Moreover, the two situations can realize the risk sharing and the benefit sharing, promote the stability of the supply chain and enhance the competitive advantage of the fresh agricultural products as a whole. The profit of each member of the supply chain is increased. Finally, the deficiency of the research and the direction of the next work are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：昆明理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F326.6

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本文編號(hào)：1940647