本文選題：中國(guó)-東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)　切入點(diǎn)：蔬菜貿(mào)易　出處：《華中農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：中國(guó)-東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的建立,推動(dòng)了雙方的友好經(jīng)濟(jì)合作,東盟成為了中國(guó)最大的蔬菜貿(mào)易出口市場(chǎng)之一。1998-2013年,中國(guó)對(duì)東盟的蔬菜貿(mào)易不斷增加,在東盟的市場(chǎng)份額也不斷擴(kuò)大,且超過(guò)了傳統(tǒng)蔬菜出口大國(guó)美國(guó)、荷蘭和澳大利亞,位居?xùn)|盟蔬菜出口市場(chǎng)首位,這對(duì)中國(guó)蔬菜出口貿(mào)易的發(fā)展既是發(fā)展也是挑戰(zhàn)。因此,研究中國(guó)對(duì)東盟蔬菜出口增長(zhǎng)模式及影響因素具有重要的意義。本文旨在分析中國(guó)對(duì)東盟蔬菜出口情況,并研究中國(guó)與東盟合作以來(lái),蔬菜出口的增長(zhǎng)模式,進(jìn)而探討中國(guó)對(duì)東盟蔬菜出口的國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力強(qiáng)弱與比較優(yōu)勢(shì),并試圖找出與其他蔬菜出口大國(guó)相比,中國(guó)的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)和競(jìng)爭(zhēng)劣勢(shì)。最后根據(jù)分析,提出進(jìn)一步提高中國(guó)對(duì)東盟蔬菜出口的政策和建議。本文首先分析了中國(guó)蔬菜出口概況,并研究了中國(guó)與東盟合作以來(lái),中國(guó)對(duì)東盟蔬菜出口規(guī)模和出口結(jié)構(gòu)的變化,運(yùn)用核密度分析法,簡(jiǎn)單描繪和闡述了1998年和2013年蔬菜出口增長(zhǎng)情況。其次,運(yùn)用三元邊際模型將中國(guó)對(duì)東盟蔬菜出口的增長(zhǎng)分解為廣度、數(shù)量和價(jià)格,并與其他蔬菜出口國(guó)家相對(duì)比,總結(jié)出中國(guó)對(duì)東盟蔬菜出口獨(dú)有的增長(zhǎng)模式。然后運(yùn)用恒定市場(chǎng)份額模型(CMS)分析這一增長(zhǎng)模式的主要影響因素——出口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力,并由顯性比較優(yōu)勢(shì)指數(shù)計(jì)算中國(guó)不同蔬菜品種的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力�；谝陨蠈�(duì)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力的分析,找出中國(guó)蔬菜出口的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)和競(jìng)爭(zhēng)劣勢(shì)。最后根據(jù)以上實(shí)證分析的結(jié)果提出政策建議。通過(guò)上述系統(tǒng)研究,得出以下基本結(jié)論:第一,中國(guó)與東盟友好合作以來(lái),中國(guó)對(duì)東盟蔬菜出口不斷增加,至2013年,中國(guó)占東盟蔬菜市場(chǎng)的70%以上,核密度分析顯示,這一增長(zhǎng)源于出口量的增長(zhǎng);第二,通過(guò)三元邊際模型分析得出,中國(guó)對(duì)東盟蔬菜出口增長(zhǎng)模式為“數(shù)量增長(zhǎng)為主,價(jià)格增長(zhǎng)為輔”,且這一增長(zhǎng)模式不具有廣泛性,對(duì)不同類型的蔬菜出口,同樣適用。鮮冷凍蔬菜和干蔬菜大量出口,奠定中國(guó)“出口大國(guó)”的基礎(chǔ),調(diào)理加工蔬菜出口量逐漸增加,彌補(bǔ)了深加工蔬菜市場(chǎng)的空缺;第三,通過(guò)恒定市場(chǎng)份額模型(CMS)研究出,促進(jìn)這一增長(zhǎng)模式的因素在于中國(guó)不斷增強(qiáng)的蔬菜出口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力,且鮮冷凍蔬菜的競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力對(duì)出口增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)逐漸減弱,而干蔬菜和調(diào)理加工蔬菜競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力對(duì)出口增長(zhǎng)貢獻(xiàn)不斷提高,這說(shuō)明中國(guó)在向多元化蔬菜品種出口轉(zhuǎn)變,且逐漸從初級(jí)加工蔬菜向深加工蔬菜出口模式延伸;第四,中國(guó)對(duì)東盟的出口競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力優(yōu)勢(shì)在于自然資源、地理位置、生產(chǎn)成本和中國(guó)-東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)合作,而競(jìng)爭(zhēng)劣勢(shì)在于,與發(fā)展中國(guó)家相比勞動(dòng)力成本高,與發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家相比,深加工技術(shù)水平落后,這兩點(diǎn)導(dǎo)致其與競(jìng)爭(zhēng)對(duì)手相比,蔬菜出口價(jià)格高,造成市場(chǎng)不穩(wěn)定。根據(jù)研究結(jié)論,我國(guó)應(yīng)做到以下幾點(diǎn):首先,進(jìn)一步擴(kuò)大對(duì)東盟出口規(guī)模,調(diào)整出口結(jié)構(gòu);其次,提高蔬菜出口的國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力,提高勞動(dòng)生產(chǎn)率,改進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)科技水平,加大機(jī)械化蔬菜生產(chǎn)和出口標(biāo)準(zhǔn)化;然后,政府要提供有利的蔬菜生產(chǎn)和出口條件,從粗放型生產(chǎn)經(jīng)營(yíng)向集約型生產(chǎn)經(jīng)營(yíng)轉(zhuǎn)變;最后,充分利用好中國(guó)-東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū),營(yíng)造更好的外部環(huán)境。
[Abstract]:The establishment of China ASEAN Free Trade Area, to promote friendly bilateral economic cooperation, ASEAN has become one of the largest vegetable export trade China market.1998-2013, China to ASEAN vegetable trade increasing, expanding its market share in ASEAN, and more than a traditional American vegetable exporting countries, Holland and Australia, among the ASEAN vegetable export market in the first, the China vegetables export trade development is the development and challenges. Therefore, the research China has important significance to the ASEAN factors vegetables export growth mode and effect. This paper aims at China exports to ASEAN vegetables, the analysis and Research on Chinese cooperation with ASEAN since the vegetable export growth model, then discuss Chinese vegetable export to ASEAN International Competitiveness and comparative advantage, and try to find out compared with other vegetable exporting countries, China's competition The advantages and disadvantages. Finally, according to the analysis, put forward to further improve the China policies and suggestions on ASEAN vegetable export. This paper firstly analyzes the general situation of China vegetable export, and study the Chinese cooperation with ASEAN since Chinese to change ASEAN vegetable export scale and export structure, using kernel density analysis method, and expounds the simple description in 1998 and 2013 growth in exports of vegetables. Secondly, the use of three yuan will be Chinese marginal model to ASEAN vegetable export growth into the scope, quantity and price, and compared with other vegetable export countries, summed up the Chinese of ASEAN vegetable export growth model. Then the unique uses constant market share model (CMS) analysis of the main influence this pattern of growth factors, export competitiveness, and the dominant comparative advantage index calculation of different varieties of vegetables China competitiveness. On the above competitiveness based on The analysis, find out China vegetable export competitive advantages and disadvantages. Finally, according to the results of the above empirical analysis and policy recommendations. Through the above-mentioned study, draws the following conclusions: first, since the Chinese friendly cooperation with ASEAN, ASEAN Chinese of vegetable exports continue to increase, to 2013, Chinese accounted for more than 70% of the vegetable market in ASEAN and the kernel density analysis showed that the growth of growth from exports; second, by three yuan margin model analysis, Chinese of ASEAN vegetables export growth model "growth, price growth supplement, and this growth mode is not widespread, is also applicable to different types of vegetable export fresh frozen vegetables and dried vegetables. A large number of exports, to lay the foundation Chinese" exporters ", cooking processing of vegetable exports gradually increased, to make up for the deep processing of vegetable market vacancy; third,. A constant market share model (CMS) developed, this pattern of growth promoting factors in China growing vegetables and fresh frozen vegetables export competitiveness, the competitiveness of the export growth gradually weakened, and dried vegetables and vegetable cooking processing competitiveness of export growth contribution increases, which shows that Chinese in diversified varieties of vegetables exports, and gradually from primary processing to deep processing vegetables vegetables export model extension; fourth, Chinese export competitive advantage to ASEAN is the natural resources, geographical location, regional economic cooperation and the production cost Chinese - ASEAN Free Trade Area, and competitive advantage compared with developing countries with high labor costs, compared with the developed countries deep processing, backward technology, both of which lead to the export of vegetables compared with competitors, the price is high, causing the market unstable. According to the research conclusion In our country, we should do the following: first, to further expand the scale of export to ASEAN, adjust the export structure; secondly, improve the international competitiveness of vegetable export, improve labor productivity, improve the level of agricultural science and technology, increase the mechanization of vegetable production and export standard; secondly, the government should provide favorable conditions for the production and export of vegetables, from extensive production management to intensive production management; finally, make full use of Chinese ASEAN Free Trade Area, to create a better external environment.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：華中農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F326.13;F752.62

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本文編號(hào)：1630109