本文選題：理性預(yù)期庫(kù)存模型　切入點(diǎn)：豬肉儲(chǔ)備　出處：《南京農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)(社會(huì)科學(xué)版)》2017年06期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：通過(guò)構(gòu)建包含政府干預(yù)的理性預(yù)期庫(kù)存模型,根據(jù)中國(guó)生豬和豬肉市場(chǎng)特征及儲(chǔ)備政策對(duì)模型各項(xiàng)參數(shù)進(jìn)行校準(zhǔn),模擬了政策干預(yù)對(duì)豬糧比、生產(chǎn)者和消費(fèi)者福利以及政策成本的影響。研究發(fā)現(xiàn),儲(chǔ)備調(diào)控下豬糧比基本在預(yù)設(shè)區(qū)間內(nèi),但豬糧比峰谷值的差距增大。在干預(yù)政策下,能夠增進(jìn)消費(fèi)者的福利,而對(duì)生產(chǎn)者的福利產(chǎn)生損失,政策成本主要由儲(chǔ)存成本決定。政府可以適當(dāng)控制儲(chǔ)備規(guī)模,完善生豬及豬肉市場(chǎng)的監(jiān)測(cè)預(yù)警體系,選擇合適的時(shí)機(jī)干預(yù)市場(chǎng)并加強(qiáng)對(duì)商業(yè)庫(kù)存的引導(dǎo)。
[Abstract]:By constructing a rational expected inventory model including government intervention and calibrating the parameters of the model according to the characteristics of Chinese pig and pork markets and the reserve policy, the ratio of policy intervention to pig grain is simulated. The effects of producer and consumer welfare and policy cost. The study found that the pig grain ratio is basically within the preset range under reserve regulation, but the gap between peak and valley values of pig grain ratio is larger. Under the intervention policy, the welfare of consumers can be enhanced. The policy cost is mainly determined by the storage cost. The government can properly control the size of the reserves and improve the monitoring and warning system for the pig and pork markets. Choose the right time to intervene in the market and strengthen the guidance to the commercial inventory.
【作者單位】： 南京農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院;南京林業(yè)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)管理學(xué)院;
【基金】：國(guó)家自然科學(xué)基金青年項(xiàng)目“儲(chǔ)備調(diào)控對(duì)豬肉價(jià)格波動(dòng)的影響研究”(71403123) 南京農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)中央高�；究蒲袠I(yè)務(wù)費(fèi)人文社科基金項(xiàng)目“家禽產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)崗位科學(xué)家培育”(SKGW2016001) 江蘇省高校優(yōu)勢(shì)學(xué)科建設(shè)工程資助項(xiàng)目(PAPD)
【分類號(hào)】：F323.7

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本文編號(hào)：1589938