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江蘇省農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化轉(zhuǎn)型的驅(qū)動機制及其區(qū)域效應(yīng)

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  本文關(guān)鍵詞: 農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化轉(zhuǎn)型 要素創(chuàng)新 四化協(xié)調(diào) 政策引導(dǎo) 江蘇省 出處:《江蘇師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


【摘要】:“新常態(tài)”背景下,農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化是農(nóng)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展的必由之路,是統(tǒng)籌推進城鄉(xiāng)一體化的必然要求,更是全面實現(xiàn)國家現(xiàn)代化的基礎(chǔ)保障。江蘇省是我國現(xiàn)代農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展和農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化發(fā)展的先行區(qū),科學(xué)揭示江蘇農(nóng)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展特征,厘清推動農(nóng)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展驅(qū)動機理,系統(tǒng)分析轉(zhuǎn)型驅(qū)動機制的區(qū)域效應(yīng),對推動江蘇乃至全國農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化發(fā)展具有重要意義。本研究采用數(shù)理統(tǒng)計方法從農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)效益、農(nóng)業(yè)機械化、農(nóng)業(yè)科技水平、農(nóng)業(yè)生態(tài)化等方面對江蘇省農(nóng)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型發(fā)展的時空特征分析發(fā)現(xiàn),江蘇農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展水平逐步提升,地區(qū)差異顯著,轉(zhuǎn)型特征明顯;并基于PSR模型框架,從壓力(P)、狀態(tài)(S)、響應(yīng)(R)三方面構(gòu)建農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化轉(zhuǎn)型的理論框架,重點分析生產(chǎn)要素創(chuàng)新、四化協(xié)調(diào)互動及政策引導(dǎo)激勵等驅(qū)動機制對農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化轉(zhuǎn)型的促動作用;并運用熵值法、數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)模型、耦合協(xié)同度模型、空間自相關(guān)等方法對轉(zhuǎn)型驅(qū)動機制的區(qū)域效應(yīng)進行探究,結(jié)論如下:(1)生產(chǎn)要素創(chuàng)新方面:2000年以來江蘇省農(nóng)業(yè)全要素生產(chǎn)率(TFP)的波動較為明顯,呈現(xiàn)下降趨勢,技術(shù)進步滯后是阻礙TFP提高的主要因素;農(nóng)業(yè)TFP高(低)呈現(xiàn)顯著的空間正相關(guān),空間集聚程度逐漸加強,呈現(xiàn)出“北高南低”的空間分布特征,熱點區(qū)、次熱點區(qū)逐漸由蘇南、蘇中逐漸向蘇北演進,蘇北中部的鹽城、淮安、宿遷等地成為主要的熱點區(qū);(2)“四化”協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展方面:江蘇省工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化、農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化、信息化均有不同程度提升,工業(yè)化、城鎮(zhèn)化、信息化的地區(qū)差異有所減小,農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化差異逐漸增加;四化耦合度指數(shù)在高值波動,協(xié)同度指數(shù)穩(wěn)步提升;耦合度的地區(qū)差異較小,呈現(xiàn)均衡分布態(tài)勢,協(xié)同度呈現(xiàn)“南高北低”的分布特征;四化協(xié)調(diào)效率逐步提升,呈現(xiàn)“北高南低”的空間格局,且四化協(xié)調(diào)效率與協(xié)同度呈現(xiàn)空間負相關(guān)關(guān)系,并以此為依據(jù),將江蘇省劃分成相應(yīng)的地域類型;(3)政策支持引導(dǎo)方面:從國家和省域?qū)用鎸陙戆l(fā)布的農(nóng)業(yè)政策文件進行歸納整理,從農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化地位、農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)力布局優(yōu)化、農(nóng)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)升級、新型經(jīng)營主體等方面對江蘇省農(nóng)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)型的政策效應(yīng)進行分析,并對今后江蘇省農(nóng)業(yè)政策制定需考慮的發(fā)展定位、經(jīng)濟效益、要素分配等方面進行探討。最后,基于農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化轉(zhuǎn)型驅(qū)動機制,針對性的提出了江蘇省農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化發(fā)展的調(diào)控路徑,以加快推動農(nóng)業(yè)現(xiàn)代化轉(zhuǎn)型健康發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:Under the background of "new normal", agricultural modernization is the only way for the transformation and development of agriculture, and it is the inevitable requirement to promote the integration of urban and rural areas as a whole. Jiangsu Province is the leading area for the development of modern agriculture and agricultural modernization in China. It scientifically reveals the characteristics of Jiangsu's agricultural transformation and development, and clarifies the driving mechanism of promoting agricultural transformation and development. It is of great significance to analyze the regional effects of the transformational driving mechanism for promoting the development of agricultural modernization in Jiangsu and even the whole country. This study adopts mathematical statistics to analyze the benefits of agricultural production, agricultural mechanization, and the level of agricultural science and technology. The analysis of the spatiotemporal characteristics of agricultural transformation and development in Jiangsu Province shows that the level of agricultural development in Jiangsu is gradually improved, the regional differences are significant, and the characteristics of transformation are obvious; and based on the framework of PSR model, The theoretical framework of agricultural modernization transformation is constructed from three aspects of pressure, state and response, and the driving mechanism of agricultural modernization transformation, such as innovation of production factors, coordination and interaction of the four modernizations and policy guidance and encouragement, is analyzed emphatically. Using entropy method, data envelope model, coupled synergy model, spatial autocorrelation and other methods to explore the regional effects of the transformational driving mechanism. Conclusion: (1) in terms of production factor innovation: since 2000, the fluctuation of agricultural total factor productivity (TFP) in Jiangsu Province is obvious, showing a downward trend, and the lag of technological progress is the main factor that hinders the improvement of TFP; The high (low) agricultural TFP showed significant spatial positive correlation, and the spatial agglomeration was gradually strengthened, showing the spatial distribution characteristics of "north high and south low". The hot spots and sub-hot spots gradually evolved from southern Jiangsu, central Jiangsu to northern Jiangsu. Yancheng, Huai'an, Suqian and other places in the central part of northern Jiangsu Province have become major hot spots in the area of "four modernizations": industrialization, urbanization, agricultural modernization, and information technology in Jiangsu Province have all been upgraded to varying degrees, industrialization, urbanization, and urbanization. The regional difference of informatization decreases, the difference of agricultural modernization increases gradually; the index of coupling degree fluctuates in high value, and the synergy index increases steadily; the regional difference of coupling degree is small, showing a balanced distribution situation. The coordination efficiency of the four modernizations increased gradually and presented the spatial pattern of "the north high and the south low", and the coordination efficiency of the four modernizations showed a negative correlation with the synergy degree, and based on this, the coordination efficiency of the four modernizations increased gradually, and the coordination efficiency of the four modernizations showed a negative correlation with the coordination degree. To divide Jiangsu Province into corresponding regional types and guide the policy support: to summarize and organize the agricultural policy documents issued in recent years from the national and provincial levels, to optimize the distribution of agricultural productivity from the status of agricultural modernization, and to optimize the distribution of agricultural productivity. This paper analyzes the policy effect of agricultural transformation in Jiangsu Province from the aspects of agricultural structure upgrading, new management subject and so on, and discusses the development orientation, economic benefit and factor distribution of agricultural policy making in Jiangsu Province in the future. Based on the driving mechanism of agricultural modernization transformation, this paper puts forward the regulation and control path of agricultural modernization development in Jiangsu Province, in order to accelerate the healthy development of agricultural modernization transformation.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:江蘇師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號】:F327

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