本文關(guān)鍵詞：基于DEA模型的山東省農(nóng)用地利用效率研究　出處：《曲阜師范大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 土地利用效率 數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析 Malm-quist指數(shù) Tobit-DEA 山東省

【摘要】：土地、資本和勞動力是生產(chǎn)過程中的三大基本要素,如何合理配置各生產(chǎn)要素來提高生產(chǎn)效率是經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)研究的重點之一。經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有兩種基本方式:一是增加要素投入量;二是提高要素的利用效率。山東省正處于快速城市化和工業(yè)化進(jìn)程中,協(xié)調(diào)好經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展與農(nóng)地保護(hù)之間的矛盾是實現(xiàn)社會經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)發(fā)展的重要基礎(chǔ)。隨著農(nóng)地非農(nóng)化趨勢日益加強(qiáng),提高土地資源的生產(chǎn)效率成為農(nóng)地保護(hù)的關(guān)鍵因素。土地利用效率與區(qū)域自然條件和生產(chǎn)要素投入量關(guān)系密切,由一個多投入、多產(chǎn)出系統(tǒng)構(gòu)成,一般是通過對多種投入與多種產(chǎn)出進(jìn)行比較,并結(jié)合其綜合效率來評判。本文首先闡述了研究背景、目的和意義,并對國內(nèi)外關(guān)于農(nóng)地利用效率的研究狀況進(jìn)行了綜述。其次介紹了理論基礎(chǔ)、界定了相關(guān)概念、闡述了模型方法。主體部分通過構(gòu)建土地利用效率評價體系,運用BC2-DEA模型、超效率DEA模型及Malm-quist指數(shù)模型對山東省17地市農(nóng)用地進(jìn)行了比較靜態(tài)和動態(tài)變化的實證分析,并做了空間分異分析;然后運用Tobit-DEA模型對影響農(nóng)地利用效率的因素進(jìn)行回歸分析。結(jié)果表明:從總體上看:①山東省農(nóng)用地利用綜合效率偏低,規(guī)模效率(0.960)高于純技術(shù)效率(0.857)。②農(nóng)用地利用效率非有效地市普遍存在農(nóng)民家庭人均純收入產(chǎn)出不足的問題。③農(nóng)用地利用效率有效地區(qū)農(nóng)地利用尚有很大潛力,需加大對各資源要素的合理投入,挖掘農(nóng)地利用潛力,實現(xiàn)土地利用最大化。從空間上看:①2000-2012年,農(nóng)用地利用效率有效地區(qū)空間格局發(fā)生明顯變化(圖4-1)。②農(nóng)用地利用效率地區(qū)差異明顯,山東省西部和南部地區(qū)(濱州、德州、聊城、菏澤、濟(jì)寧、棗莊、臨沂)為農(nóng)用地利用綜合效率較低地區(qū)。從變動趨勢上看:山東省農(nóng)用地Malm-quist全要素生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)整體增長較快,波動較強(qiáng),地區(qū)差異不顯著。2000-2012年,山東省農(nóng)用地Malm-quist全要素生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)年均增長率達(dá)3.4%,整體上可分為三個階段,迅速上升-波動下降-緩慢回升,其中2004和2010年達(dá)到兩個峰值。從農(nóng)用地Malm-quist全要素生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)增長的結(jié)構(gòu)來看,13年中全省農(nóng)用地Malm-quist全要素生產(chǎn)率指數(shù)的增長屬于技術(shù)誘導(dǎo)型,即主要源自于技術(shù)進(jìn)步的影響,而非技術(shù)效率的增長,技術(shù)進(jìn)步在山東省農(nóng)用地利用中的貢獻(xiàn)呈增強(qiáng)趨勢。山東省17地市農(nóng)用地利用的年平均全要素生產(chǎn)率的增長率幾乎均大于1(日照除外),而且技術(shù)進(jìn)步與技術(shù)創(chuàng)新是促進(jìn)各地市農(nóng)用地利用TFP提高的決定性因素。從影響因素上看,社會因素較自然因素能夠更大程度地影響山東省農(nóng)用地利用效率。通過對影響農(nóng)用地利用效率的幾種因素進(jìn)行分析,我們發(fā)現(xiàn),人均GDP、勞動力文化素質(zhì)與農(nóng)地利用效率正相關(guān);山東省人均播種面積對山東省農(nóng)用地利用效率有顯著負(fù)向影響,政策、農(nóng)產(chǎn)品價格等變量對于山東省農(nóng)用地利用效率的負(fù)影響稍弱,而受災(zāi)面積對農(nóng)地利用效率影響微弱,回歸結(jié)果通過了顯著性檢驗、異方差有效性檢驗等。最后,概括了本文主要的研究結(jié)果,并提出了對策建議。
[Abstract]:Land, capital and labor are the three basic elements of the production process, how rational allocation of production factors to improve production efficiency is the focus of the study of economics. Economic growth has two basic ways: one is to increase the inputs; two is to improve the efficiency of the elements. Shandong province is in the rapid City and in the process of industrialization, the contradiction between economic development and coordination of farmland protection is an important foundation to realize sustainable economic and social development. With the increasing trend of farmland conversion, improve the productive efficiency of land resources become the key factor of the farmland protection. The efficiency of land use and regional natural conditions and production inputs are closely related, by a multi input multi output system, which, generally through the comparison of several input and multiple output, combined with the comprehensive efficiency evaluation. This paper first describes the research The background, purpose and significance, and the domestic and foreign research status on the efficiency of agricultural land use are reviewed. Then introduced the theoretical basis, defines the related concepts, this paper expounds the model method. The main part of the construction land use efficiency evaluation system, using the BC2-DEA model, the super efficiency DEA model and Malm-quist index model to conduct the empirical analysis comparison of static and dynamic changes of the agricultural land of 17 cities in Shandong Province, and the spatial analysis; then using Tobit-DEA regression analysis on the factors affecting the efficiency of land use. The results showed that from the overall perspective: agricultural land in Shandong Province comprehensive utilization efficiency is low, the scale efficiency (0.960) was higher than that of the pure technology efficiency (0.857). The farmland use efficiency effectively, non universal output per capita net income of rural household is insufficient. The farmland use efficiency effectively farmland utilization There is a great potential, need to increase the reasonable input elements of the resources, mining potential of farmland utilization, realize the maximization of land use. From the perspective of space: 2000-2012 years, significant changes in the spatial pattern of regional agricultural land use efficiency (Figure 4-1). The efficiency of using the significant regional differences of agricultural land, and in the west of Shandong Province Southern Region (Binzhou, Dezhou, Liaocheng, Heze, Jining, Zaozhuang, Linyi) for agricultural land comprehensive utilization of low efficiency area. From the trend on agricultural land in Shandong province Malm-quist total factor productivity index of overall growth is relatively fast, strong fluctuations, no significant difference in.2000-2012 area, agricultural land of Shandong province Malm-quist factor productivity index average annual growth rate of 3.4%, on the whole can be divided into three stages, rapid rise in volatility decline slow rise, of which 2004 and 2010 reached two peak. From the agricultural land Malm-quist total factor production The structure of index growth, 13 years in the province's agricultural TFP growth index Malm-quist which belongs to the technical oriented, mainly from the influence of technological progress, instead of technical efficiency growth, technological progress in the utilization of agricultural land in Shandong province showed an increasing trend. The agricultural land of 17 cities in Shandong province by the average annual TFP growth rate is almost greater than 1 (except sunshine), and technological progress and technological innovation is the decisive factor to promote the agricultural land around the city, the use of TFP to improve. From the point of view of the influence factor, social factor is the natural factors to a greater degree of influence of agricultural land in Shandong province through the utilization efficiency. On several factors affecting agricultural land use efficiency analysis, we found that GDP per capita labor, cultural quality and land use efficiency are positively related; planting area per capita in Shandong Province on the agricultural land of Shandong Province Using efficiency has a significant negative impact, the policy, the price of agricultural products for the weaker negative effects of variables such as the use of agricultural land in Shandong province and the impact of the efficiency of the affected area on the efficiency of land use is weak, the regression results through a significant test for heteroscedasticity effectiveness test. Finally, it summarizes the main results of this paper, and put forward the countermeasures and suggestions.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：曲阜師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F301.2

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