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四川省農村勞動力產城轉移的影響因素及效用研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-01-03 20:26

  本文關鍵詞:四川省農村勞動力產城轉移的影響因素及效用研究 出處:《成都理工大學》2015年碩士論文 論文類型:學位論文


  更多相關文章: 農村勞動力轉移 影響因素 吸納能力 勞動力產業(yè)轉移效應


【摘要】:2004-2015年,連續(xù)12年的“中央一號文件”聚焦“三農”,說明政府和黨中央對“三農”問題的關心和重視程度。從改革開放之后的經驗看來,工業(yè)化對促進經濟發(fā)展發(fā)揮了極大的促進作用,同時對于解決三農問題和縮小城鄉(xiāng)收入差距也發(fā)揮了重要作用。四川省作為中國傳統的農業(yè)大省,農業(yè)部門的勞動生產率低,工業(yè)部門的勞動生產率高,要實現工業(yè)化就必須要將勞動力從勞動生產率低的農業(yè)部門轉移到勞動生產率高的工業(yè)部門,以此促進經濟發(fā)展和人民生活水平的提高。本文對四川省的農村勞動力轉移問題進行的研究,不僅對四川省的農村勞動力轉移問題具有重要作用,而且對其他勞動力大省或農村大省具有很強的借鑒意義,對國家的城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展也具有積極的促進作用。本文從理論研究和實證分析兩方面對農村勞動力轉移問題研究,主要包括:對農村勞動力轉移的相關理論進行研究、采用實證分析的方法對農村勞動力轉移的影響因素以及農村勞動力轉移對經濟增長的效應進行分析,以期尋找到解決四川省農村勞動力轉移問題的方法,來促進我省經濟發(fā)展和人民生活水平提高。具體來說,論文可以分為4大部分:第一部分是文章的第1-3章,為全文的理論研究基礎。首先分析文章的研究背景及研究意義,闡述文章主要采用的研究方法以及研究思路,然后對國內外相關文獻進行收集和整理,分別對農村勞動轉移的影響因素以及對經濟增長的作用進行歸納和總結,最后對國內外的農村勞動力轉移理論進行闡述。第二部分為文章的第4章,為全文的現實研究基礎。主要對四川省農村勞動力轉移的現狀進行描述性分析,具體包括對四川省第六次人口普查時的省內外流動人口情況、四川省歷年的勞動力轉移數量和四川省歷年農村勞動力在產業(yè)間轉移的數量,尋找其中存在的特點和趨勢。第三部分為文章的第5-7章,為全文的實證分析部分。具體包括兩大部分:一是采用LMDI分析方法對四川省農村勞動力轉移的影響因素進行分析尋找影響四川省農村勞動力轉移的主要因素;二是對農村勞動力轉移的效應進行分析,主要包括用逐步線性回歸方法對農村勞動力轉移對經濟增長的影響分析、經濟增長對農村勞動力的吸納能力分析以及使用shift-share分析方法對農村勞動力轉移對經濟增長產生的效用分析。第四部分為文章的結論,是全文的總結和結束部分。主要根據前文的研究和分析提出文章的結論,并相應的提出一些促進四川省農村勞動力轉移的政策建議。主要包括:優(yōu)化產業(yè)結構,加大創(chuàng)新力度,完善農村勞動力教育和技術培訓制度。同時在論文的最后一部分闡述本文研究的不足以及對今后研究的展望。本文研究結果發(fā)現,在1990年~2013年期間,影響四川省農村勞動力轉移的主要因素是農業(yè)經濟發(fā)展水平、產業(yè)結構和非農產業(yè)效率,四川省農村勞動力在產業(yè)間的轉移對經濟增長的貢獻率為5.63%,農村勞動力轉移能夠促進經濟的增長,同時經濟增長也能增強對農村勞動力的吸納能力。因此在制定農村勞動力轉移政策時,我們應該通過調整產業(yè)結構、進行技術創(chuàng)新等方式來促進農村勞動力的進一步轉移,從而來促進經濟增長。
[Abstract]:2004-2015, for 12 consecutive years of the "central document" focus on the "three rural" that the government and party central concern and attention to the problem of "three agriculture". From the point of view of reform and opening up after the experience of industrialization has played a significant role in promoting economic development, at the same time to solve the problems and to reduce the urban-rural income the gap has also played an important role in Sichuan Province as a major agricultural province China traditional agricultural sector, low labor productivity, the labor productivity of the industrial sector, to achieve industrialization must be the transfer of labor from low labor productivity of the agricultural sector to high productivity of the industrial sector, so as to promote the economic development and people's living standard this paper studies the transfer increase. The rural labor force in Sichuan province problems, plays an important role not only on rural labor transfer in Sichuan Province, and so on Has a strong reference to other provinces or rural labor force big province, also has a positive role in promoting the development of urbanization of the country. This article from two aspects of theoretical research and Empirical Analysis on the rural labor transfer research, mainly includes: the theory related to rural labor transfer of rural labor transfer and influence factors using the method of empirical analysis of the rural labor transfer effect to economic growth are analyzed, in order to find the solution to the problem of the transfer of rural labor in Sichuan Province, to promote the province's economic development and the improvement of people's lives. Specifically, the thesis can be divided into 4 parts: the first part is the chapter 1-3, for the basic theoretical research. Firstly, the research background and research significance of this article, this article mainly uses the research methods and research ideas, and then to the country Related literature collection and collation, respectively, on the impact of rural labor transfer factors and sum up of economic growth, the theory of domestic and foreign rural labor transfer in this paper. The second part is the fourth chapter, the research foundation for the reality. The main current situation of rural labor transfer in Sichuan province descriptive analysis, including the sixth census of the floating population in Sichuan province and outside the province, the number of rural labor force transfer and the number of years in Sichuan Province in the industrial transfer between Sichuan province labor, looking for the characteristics and trends of the existence. The third part is the chapter 5-7 is the part of empirical analysis. It includes two parts: one is using the LMDI analysis method to analyze the impact of Sichuan Province agricultural village looking for the influence factors of rural labor transfer in Sichuan Province The main factors of labor transfer; the two is on the effect of rural labor transfer are analyzed, including by stepwise linear regression analysis of the impact on economic growth on the rural labor transfer, economic growth analysis of the absorptive capacity of the rural labor force and the use of shift-share analysis method on the transfer of rural labor force has effect on the economic growth. The fourth part is the analysis of the conclusion is the summary of the main and end part. The conclusion is put forward according to the previous research and analysis, and put forward some corresponding to promote the transfer of rural labor in Sichuan province. The main policy suggestions include: optimizing the industrial structure, increase innovation, improve the rural labor education and technical training system. At the same time in the last the part of this paper studies the problems and prospects for future research. The results of this study found that in 1990 During the period of ~2013, main influencing factors of rural labor transfer in Sichuan province is the agricultural economic development level, industrial structure and industrial efficiency, the transfer of rural labor in Sichuan province between the industry's contribution to economic growth rate of 5.63%, can promote the economic growth of rural labor transfer, while economic growth can also enhance the ability of absorbing rural labor. Therefore in the development of rural labor transfer policy, we should adjust the industrial structure, technological innovation and other ways to further promote the transfer of rural labor force, so as to promote economic growth.

【學位授予單位】:成都理工大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F323.6

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