本文關(guān)鍵詞：山東省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)出口與農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。

山東省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)出口與農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究

Demonstration study on the relationship between the trade of agricultural products and agricultural economy growth in Shandong province

[1] [2] [3] [4]

GAI Xin, HAN Rui, GUO Cai-xia, LI Mei-gui （1. Wu Yuzhang Institute ,Sichuan University , Che ngdu 610065, China; 2. Yantai Research Institute ,Agriculture University of China

[1]四川大學(xué)吳玉章學(xué)院,四川成都610065; [2]中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)煙臺(tái)研究院,山東煙臺(tái)264670

文章摘要：采用1998--2011年度數(shù)據(jù)，運(yùn)用計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)Eviews6．0軟件，，根據(jù)平穩(wěn)性檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、誤差修正和格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)等方法，對(duì)山東省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)出口與農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析，確立了農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)、出口額與山東省農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間的長(zhǎng)期均衡和短期均衡關(guān)系。結(jié)果表明，山東省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)、出口額均與農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之間存在單向的格蘭杰因果關(guān)系，但農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)并不是山東省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)、出口的格蘭杰原因。結(jié)合山東省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易與農(nóng)業(yè)生產(chǎn)過(guò)程中存在的問(wèn)題提出了政策建議，以使農(nóng)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的促進(jìn)作用得到最好的發(fā)揮。

Abstr：Based on the data during 1998~2011, the demonstration anlysis of the relationship between the export and import of agricultral products and the agricultural economy growth in Shandong province was established through the Unit Root Test, Cointergration Test, Vector Error correction and Granger Causality Test by Eviews6.0 of Economitrics. The long-term and short-term equilibrium relationship between the foreign trade of agricultral products and the agricultural economy growth in Sbandong province were calculated. The results show that, LNX and LNM are both the Granger cause of LNY, but LNY is not the Granger cause of LNX neither of LNM. The policy suggertions were put forward according to the problems exsiting in the foreigh trade of agricuhral products and production, so that the trade of agricultral products could best promot agriculture growth.

文章關(guān)鍵詞：

Keyword：:import and export of agricultural products agricultural economy growth ADF Test JJ Test ECM Granger Causality Test

相關(guān)文章：

[1] 西部農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的要素分析   《統(tǒng)計(jì)與決策》  2004年04期
[2] 農(nóng)業(yè)全程技術(shù)創(chuàng)新的理論探索與實(shí)踐思考   《浙江經(jīng)濟(jì)》  2003年12期
[3] 高等教育對(duì)農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)率的貢獻(xiàn)測(cè)算及政策引導(dǎo)   《農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)問(wèn)題》  2004年12期
[4] 科技進(jìn)步對(duì)西部農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)貢獻(xiàn)的實(shí)證分析   《中國(guó)流通經(jīng)濟(jì)》  2007年08期
[5] 新疆兵團(tuán)農(nóng)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整與農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系研究——基于協(xié)整理論與VAR模型分析   《石河子大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào)：哲學(xué)社會(huì)科學(xué)版》  2009年03期
[6] 隋鳳富：發(fā)展“低碳”型現(xiàn)代化大農(nóng)業(yè)   《中國(guó)農(nóng)墾》  2010年04期
[7] 海南財(cái)政支農(nóng)與農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證分析   《熱帶農(nóng)業(yè)科學(xué)》  2010年06期
[8] 山東省農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)影響因素動(dòng)態(tài)分析   《萊陽(yáng)農(nóng)學(xué)院學(xué)報(bào)：社會(huì)科學(xué)版》  2011年02期
[9] 耕地面積與農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)：協(xié)整與Granger檢驗(yàn)——以安徽省為例   《安徽農(nóng)師院學(xué)報(bào)》  2011年04期
[10] 海南農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)影響因素的實(shí)證分析   《熱帶農(nóng)業(yè)科學(xué)》  2012年01期

課題項(xiàng)目：中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)大學(xué)煙臺(tái)研究院校級(jí)課題（YT201118）

  本文關(guān)鍵詞：山東省農(nóng)產(chǎn)品進(jìn)出口與農(nóng)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)關(guān)系的實(shí)證研究，由筆耕文化傳播整理發(fā)布。