彈用發(fā)動機研制、生產(chǎn)成本分析及估算方法研究
發(fā)布時間:2018-06-03 21:47
本文選題:彈用發(fā)動機 + 全壽命周期費用; 參考:《南京航空航天大學》2013年碩士論文
【摘要】:彈用發(fā)動機的技術在武器裝備的發(fā)展過程中具有重要的作用。隨著發(fā)動機性能不斷提高,發(fā)動機結(jié)構變得越來越復雜,發(fā)動機的設計、生產(chǎn)和維護費用不斷攀升。因此,降低彈用發(fā)動機的全壽命周期費用逐漸成為發(fā)動機設計、研制的重要設計要求和約束,將壽命周期費用作為獨立變量的方法也逐漸成為國外(特別是美國)武器裝備采辦的一項重要技術和管理方法。我國的國防預算開支一直比較有限,用于研制發(fā)展彈用發(fā)動機的經(jīng)費更是嚴重不足。因此,將降低全壽命周期費用或提高經(jīng)濟可承受性作為我國彈用發(fā)動機技術研究和發(fā)展的一項重要要求也變得十分迫切。 國外對彈用發(fā)動機等武器裝備的全壽命周期費用及其估算方法的研究要遠遠早于我國,但近些年國內(nèi)對于這一方面的研究也有了較大的進展。目前估算彈用發(fā)動機等武器裝備的全壽命周期費用的方法主要有參數(shù)估算法、工程估算法、類比估算法和專家判斷估算法,還有其他一些智能估算方法,比如神經(jīng)網(wǎng)絡法,灰色建模估算法等等。本文對這些方法的涵義、估算過程、優(yōu)缺點和適用范圍進行了分析。 本文在對彈用發(fā)動機研制成本和生產(chǎn)成本的詳細分解和分析的基礎上,,采用了灰色系統(tǒng)參數(shù)建模方法對彈用發(fā)動機的研制成本進行估算,選用GM(0,N)模型,系統(tǒng)闡述了建立了估算模型的思想和過程,由于國內(nèi)缺乏彈用發(fā)動機相關數(shù)據(jù),因此使用國外型號發(fā)動機成本和性能參數(shù)數(shù)據(jù)進行實例估算,并進行了精度檢驗,結(jié)果令人滿意。同時,采用工程估算法對彈用發(fā)動機的生產(chǎn)成本進行估算,首先對發(fā)動機機構進行分解和編碼,構建了生產(chǎn)成本類目,然后運用圖示和文字兩種方式描述了生產(chǎn)成本估算的詳細步驟和流程,并以軸流式壓氣機為例具體說明工程估算方法。 最后,本文提出了彈用發(fā)動機全壽命周期費用管理的原則,并且從技術和管理兩個層面分別提出了降低彈用發(fā)動機研制和生產(chǎn)成本的對策建議。
[Abstract]:The technology of missile engine plays an important role in the development of weapon equipment. With the improvement of engine performance, the structure of engine becomes more and more complicated, and the cost of engine design, production and maintenance is increasing. Therefore, reducing the whole life cycle cost of projectile engine has gradually become an important design requirement and constraint for engine design and development. Taking the life cycle cost as an independent variable has gradually become an important technology and management method for the acquisition of weapons and equipment abroad (especially in the United States). The national defense budget of our country has been limited all the time, and the funds for the development of projectile engines are even more insufficient. Therefore, it is very urgent to reduce the life-cycle cost or improve the economic affordability as an important requirement for the research and development of missile engine technology in China. The research on the whole life cycle cost and its estimation method of missile engine and other weapon equipments abroad is far earlier than that of our country, but in recent years, there has been great progress in this field in our country. At present, the main methods of estimating the life-cycle cost of weapon equipment such as missile engine are parameter estimation, engineering estimation, analogy estimation and expert estimation, and other intelligent estimation methods, such as neural network method. Grey modeling estimation method and so on. In this paper, the meaning, estimation process, advantages and disadvantages and applicable scope of these methods are analyzed. Based on the detailed decomposition and analysis of the development cost and production cost of the projectile engine, the grey system parameter modeling method is used to estimate the development cost of the projectile engine, and the GM0 / N) model is selected. The idea and process of establishing the estimation model are expounded systematically. Because of the lack of related data of missile engine in our country, the cost and performance parameter data of foreign model engine are used for example estimation, and the accuracy is tested. The result is satisfactory. At the same time, the engineering estimation method is used to estimate the production cost of the projectile engine. Firstly, the engine mechanism is decomposed and coded, and the production cost category is constructed. Then, the detailed steps and flow of production cost estimation are described by means of graph and text, and the engineering estimation method is explained in detail by taking axial flow compressor as an example. Finally, this paper puts forward the principle of the whole life cycle cost management of the missile engine, and puts forward the countermeasures and suggestions to reduce the development and production cost of the missile engine from the two aspects of technology and management respectively.
【學位授予單位】:南京航空航天大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2013
【分類號】:F234.2
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