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產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新動(dòng)態(tài)系統(tǒng)的進(jìn)化博弈模型研究

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-21 12:28

  本文選題:產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新 + 動(dòng)態(tài)系統(tǒng) ; 參考:《合肥工業(yè)大學(xué)》2008年碩士論文


【摘要】: 本論文以創(chuàng)新、進(jìn)化博弈、產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)、動(dòng)態(tài)系統(tǒng)理論為基礎(chǔ),建立了產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新動(dòng)態(tài)系統(tǒng)的進(jìn)化博弈數(shù)學(xué)模型并對(duì)該系統(tǒng)的進(jìn)化穩(wěn)定狀態(tài)進(jìn)行了參數(shù)分析,在此基礎(chǔ)上,研究了現(xiàn)階段中國實(shí)施的創(chuàng)新政策對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新系統(tǒng)的政策效果。本文的研究內(nèi)容從下面幾個(gè)方面展開: 1.產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新動(dòng)態(tài)系統(tǒng)與生物種群進(jìn)化系統(tǒng)的相似性,這是本文的邏輯模型。 2.產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新動(dòng)態(tài)系統(tǒng)數(shù)學(xué)模型的建立及進(jìn)化穩(wěn)定狀態(tài)分析。模型建立在復(fù)制動(dòng)態(tài)機(jī)制上,分析了固定參數(shù)下該系統(tǒng)的進(jìn)化均衡狀態(tài)。分析得出,系統(tǒng)的進(jìn)化均衡狀態(tài)取決于創(chuàng)新策略的收益、成本、保守策略的得益三個(gè)參數(shù)。從而,產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新是否能夠成功也取決于以上三者。這部分的研究提出了基本模型,是下面研究的基礎(chǔ)。 3.參數(shù)變化對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新動(dòng)態(tài)系統(tǒng)進(jìn)化穩(wěn)定狀態(tài)的影響研究。研究指出創(chuàng)新成本隨時(shí)間減少導(dǎo)致創(chuàng)新在整個(gè)產(chǎn)業(yè)中經(jīng)歷了引入、大量進(jìn)入、穩(wěn)定、淘汰的過程,即產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新生命周期。而當(dāng)創(chuàng)新收益隨著采用者數(shù)目的增加而減少時(shí),創(chuàng)新是否能夠在產(chǎn)業(yè)中成功由首家采用創(chuàng)新的企業(yè)是否能夠獲得超額剩余價(jià)值決定。 4.政府鼓勵(lì)創(chuàng)新政策對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新動(dòng)態(tài)系統(tǒng)的影響研究。在基本模型基礎(chǔ)上,分析指出,供給、需求政策直接作用于新技術(shù)本身,而環(huán)境政策則致力于構(gòu)建鼓勵(lì)創(chuàng)新的大環(huán)境。三者對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新系統(tǒng)的作用機(jī)制是不同的,環(huán)境政策的作用范圍較廣,且不同的政策效果不同。 本論文通過上面的研究指出,建立在競爭、模仿基礎(chǔ)上的企業(yè)與企業(yè)之間的關(guān)系上的產(chǎn)業(yè)中,盡管創(chuàng)新收益大于保守收益,創(chuàng)新并不能自發(fā)在產(chǎn)業(yè)中成功進(jìn)行。復(fù)制動(dòng)態(tài)機(jī)制下的產(chǎn)業(yè)創(chuàng)新是有條件的,因此政府的適當(dāng)干預(yù)是必要的。
[Abstract]:Based on the theory of innovation, evolutionary game, industrial economy and dynamic system, the mathematical model of evolutionary game of dynamic industrial innovation system is established in this paper, and the evolutionary stable state of the system is analyzed. This paper studies the effect of China's innovation policy on industrial innovation system. The research contents of this paper are as follows: 1. The similarity between the dynamic system of industrial innovation and the evolutionary system of biological population is the logical model of this paper. 2. The establishment of dynamic system mathematical model of industrial innovation and the analysis of the state of evolution stability. The model is based on the dynamic mechanism of replication, and the evolutionary equilibrium of the system with fixed parameters is analyzed. It is concluded that the evolution equilibrium of the system depends on three parameters: the income, the cost and the benefit of the conservative strategy. Thus, the success of industrial innovation depends on the above three. This part of the study proposed a basic model, which is the basis of the following research. 3. The influence of parameter change on evolution stability of industrial innovation dynamic system is studied. It is pointed out that the cost of innovation decreases with time leading to the process of introducing, entering, stabilizing and eliminating innovation in the whole industry, that is, the life cycle of industrial innovation. When the innovation income decreases with the increase of the number of adopters, the success of innovation in the industry depends on whether the first enterprise adopting innovation can obtain excess surplus value. 4. Research on the impact of the Government's Innovation Policy on the dynamic system of Industrial Innovation. On the basis of the basic model, it is pointed out that the supply and demand policies directly affect the new technology itself, while the environmental policy is devoted to the construction of the environment to encourage innovation. The action mechanism of the three on industrial innovation system is different, the scope of environmental policy is wide, and the effect of different policy is different. Through the above research, this paper points out that in the industry based on competition and imitation, the innovation can not be carried out successfully in the industry, although the innovation income is larger than the conservative income. Industrial innovation under dynamic replication mechanism is conditional, so appropriate government intervention is necessary.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:合肥工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2008
【分類號(hào)】:F062.9;F224.32

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