本文選題：流動性陷阱 + “三條龍”定律��； 參考：《現(xiàn)代財經(jīng)(天津財經(jīng)大學(xué)學(xué)報)》2011年12期

【摘要】：凱恩斯宏觀管理理論認(rèn)為,市場經(jīng)濟具有有效需求不足的必然性,由于存在"流動性"陷阱問題,貨幣政策本身是無效的,宏觀管理必須依靠實施赤字財政政策以解決有效需求不足問題。本文研究表明,"流動性陷阱"的存在并不意味著貨幣政策失效。從全口徑的角度分析,"流動性陷阱"表明貨幣政策對證券市場直接有效,對實體經(jīng)濟間接有效;從全過程角度分析,"流動性陷阱"具有暫時性,一般只存在幾個月,這是貨幣政策有效的另一表現(xiàn)形式,即存在政策時滯;從實體經(jīng)濟、虛擬經(jīng)濟、貨幣政策的"三條龍"運行規(guī)律分析,則實體經(jīng)濟、虛擬經(jīng)濟和貨幣政策之間具有協(xié)調(diào)運行的特征,運行中存在非同步性。在邊際消費遞減規(guī)律被證明并不存在的背景下,凱恩斯宏觀管理理論的三大假設(shè)條件都被證實是偽命題,因此,凱恩斯宏觀管理理論完全是非科學(xué)的。
[Abstract]:Keynesian macro-management theory holds that the market economy has the inevitability of insufficient effective demand, because of the "liquidity" trap, monetary policy itself is ineffective. Macro-management must rely on deficit fiscal policy to solve the problem of insufficient effective demand. This study shows that the existence of a liquidity trap does not mean that monetary policy is ineffective. From a full-caliber point of view, the "liquidity trap" indicates that monetary policy is directly effective for the securities market and indirectly effective for the real economy. From the perspective of the whole process, the "liquidity trap" is temporary and generally exists for only a few months. This is another manifestation of the effectiveness of monetary policy, that is, there is a policy lag. From the analysis of the "three dragons" of real economy, fictitious economy and monetary policy, the real economy, The virtual economy and monetary policy have the characteristics of coordinated operation, and there is non-synchronism in the operation. Under the background that the law of marginal consumption decline has not existed, the three hypotheses of Keynes' macro-management theory have been proved to be false propositions. Therefore, Keynesian macro-management theory is totally unscientific.
【作者單位】： 中南大學(xué)商學(xué)院;
【分類號】：F091.348

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