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可耗竭資源有限期限約束下的內(nèi)生經(jīng)濟(jì)增長

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-04-21 18:50

  本文選題:可耗竭資源 + 內(nèi)生經(jīng)濟(jì)增長模型 ; 參考:《廈門大學(xué)》2009年碩士論文


【摘要】: 世界經(jīng)濟(jì)的現(xiàn)代化,得益于化石能源,如石油、天然氣、煤炭等可耗竭資源的廣泛投入應(yīng)用,因而,現(xiàn)代經(jīng)濟(jì)是建立在化石能源基礎(chǔ)之上的,能源是整個(gè)世界發(fā)展和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的最基本的驅(qū)動(dòng)力,是人類賴以生存的基礎(chǔ)。但是,隨著可耗竭資源的大規(guī)模丌采使用,資源對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的“存量約束”越來越明顯,人們丌始擔(dān)憂一旦資源耗竭,整個(gè)世界經(jīng)濟(jì)體系會(huì)因此而崩潰。因此,如何在可耗竭資源約束下實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)增長,成為了經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)研究中的熱點(diǎn)問題。 20世紀(jì)80年代中期,以羅默、盧卡斯等人為代表的經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家們,通過對(duì)研究開發(fā)、人力資本等問題的研究,將技術(shù)進(jìn)步內(nèi)生化,解釋了經(jīng)濟(jì)可持續(xù)增長的內(nèi)在機(jī)制,形成了內(nèi)生經(jīng)濟(jì)增長理論。而隨著可耗竭資源對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展約束的加強(qiáng),經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)家開始把資源約束引入內(nèi)生經(jīng)濟(jì)增長理論,并采用最優(yōu)控制理論得到模型的穩(wěn)態(tài)增長解,試圖解釋如何在有限資源約束下實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)增長。 但是,追溯前人的研究可以發(fā)現(xiàn),之前的研究中在模型的設(shè)定方面存在一個(gè)問題,那就是可耗竭資源約束和效用函數(shù)的時(shí)間期限設(shè)定為0—∞之間的矛盾,既然資源將在某一時(shí)點(diǎn)出現(xiàn)耗竭,那么效用函數(shù)的時(shí)間期限就不應(yīng)該是無窮大。因此,本文中的模型修正了這一矛盾,將時(shí)間期限設(shè)定為0—T,其中T為可耗竭資源耗竭時(shí)點(diǎn)。 本文得到的模型的穩(wěn)態(tài)解說明,在可耗竭資源有限期限的約束條件下,要想實(shí)現(xiàn)經(jīng)濟(jì)的持續(xù)增長所需要的兩個(gè)必要條件是技術(shù)進(jìn)步和適度人口增長速度。根據(jù)這一結(jié)論,筆者接下來討論了這一結(jié)論在經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)上的意義,并以中國經(jīng)濟(jì)為例,證明了技術(shù)落后和人口規(guī)模過于龐大確實(shí)導(dǎo)致了中國高耗能經(jīng)濟(jì)增長模式,影響了經(jīng)濟(jì)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:The modern economy is based on fossil energy , such as petroleum , natural gas , coal and so on . As a result , the modern economy is based on fossil energy , and energy is the most basic driving force for the development and economic growth of the whole world .



In the mid - 1980s , economists , such as romer and lucas , have made researches on research and development , human capital and so on . Through the research on research and development , human capital and so on , endogenous economic growth theory has been formed . With the strengthening of economic development constraints , economists have begun to introduce resource constraints into endogenous economic growth theory , and adopt the optimal control theory to get the steady growth solution of the model , and try to explain how to realize sustained economic growth under limited resource constraints .



However , it can be found in the previous research that there is a problem in the setting of the model , that is , the time limit of the exhaustion resource constraint and the utility function is set to 0 - 鈭,

本文編號(hào):1783693

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