【摘要】：通貨膨脹預(yù)期的形成會(huì)受到市場(chǎng)環(huán)境變化的影響。從總供求視角分析,這種變化主要來(lái)自于央行貨幣政策、住房?jī)r(jià)格、外匯市場(chǎng)等方面。其中,如果央行的貨幣政策在短期內(nèi)出臺(tái)頻繁,這會(huì)直接造成居民短期預(yù)期水平的不穩(wěn)定,導(dǎo)致公眾的通脹預(yù)期值粘在較高水平。住房?jī)r(jià)格變動(dòng)對(duì)居民通脹預(yù)期值的沖擊使我們認(rèn)識(shí)到,政府要穩(wěn)定居民的通脹預(yù)期,就必須穩(wěn)定住房市場(chǎng),真正能夠有效引導(dǎo)居民通脹預(yù)期的工具,不僅是金融政策,更應(yīng)該是對(duì)民生問(wèn)題的持續(xù)改善。除此,實(shí)際通貨膨脹對(duì)通脹預(yù)期形成的反作用,也是形成較高通貨膨脹預(yù)期的重要原因。
[Abstract]:The formation of inflation expectations will be affected by changes in the market environment. From the perspective of total supply and demand, this change mainly comes from the central bank's monetary policy, housing prices, foreign exchange market and so on. Among them, if the central bank's monetary policy is frequent in the short term, this will directly lead to instability of residents' short-term expectations, resulting in higher inflation expectations of the public. The impact of changes in housing prices on residents' inflation expectations makes us realize that in order to stabilize residents' inflation expectations, the government must stabilize the housing market, and the tools that can effectively guide residents' inflation expectations are not just financial policies. It should be the continuous improvement of people's livelihood. In addition, the negative effect of real inflation on inflation expectations is also an important reason for the formation of higher inflation expectations.
【作者單位】： 中國(guó)農(nóng)業(yè)銀行博士后科研工作站;對(duì)外經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué)博士后科研流動(dòng)站;
【分類號(hào)】：F822.5;F014.32

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本文編號(hào)：2335162