虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)與實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)背離關(guān)系研究
本文選題:虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì) 切入點(diǎn):實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì) 出處:《天津師范大學(xué)》2003年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】: 二十世紀(jì)八十年代以來(lái),以強(qiáng)化競(jìng)爭(zhēng)、放松管制為核心的金融全球化浪潮席卷全球,不論是西方發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家,還是亞洲、拉美的發(fā)展中國(guó)家和東歐等新興轉(zhuǎn)型國(guó)家,都參與到金融全球化這一行列中來(lái),金融市場(chǎng)一體化形成,虛擬資產(chǎn)24小時(shí)不間斷地以“光的速度”在全球范圍內(nèi)流動(dòng),虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)迅速膨脹,與實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)的背離程度日趨擴(kuò)大。虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)這把“雙刃劍”一方面使各國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)不同程度地受益,但另一方面虛擬資產(chǎn)價(jià)格的破裂給這些國(guó)家留下了累累傷痕。1990年的日本,1994年的墨西哥,1997年的東南亞,1998年的俄羅斯,最近的阿根廷及其“多米諾骨牌”效應(yīng)波及的南方共同體成員國(guó),都無(wú)一幸免。因此研究虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)與實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)背離關(guān)系,不僅是世界各國(guó)面臨的重大課題,而且對(duì)我國(guó)化解與防范金融風(fēng)險(xiǎn)、防止金融危機(jī)、保持虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)和實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)的健康發(fā)展有著十分重要的意義。 本文結(jié)構(gòu)安排如下:在第一章中對(duì)虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)與實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)及其相關(guān)概念進(jìn)行界定,在此基礎(chǔ)上對(duì)虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)與實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)背離定義進(jìn)行分析研究,然后對(duì)當(dāng)前國(guó)內(nèi)外在此領(lǐng)域的研究現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行概括綜述,并指出其不足之處,,提出筆者自己的分析思路。第二章對(duì)虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)與實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)的背離進(jìn)行了實(shí)證分析,論證虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)與實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)之間確實(shí)存在背離,且對(duì)背離程度用不同的方法進(jìn)行了核算。第三章在第一、二兩章分析的基礎(chǔ)上,用數(shù)學(xué)模型對(duì)背離機(jī)制進(jìn)行詳細(xì)分析,指出虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)與實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)的經(jīng)常性背離機(jī)制。第四章首先從一般意義上指出傳統(tǒng)貨幣政策在新時(shí)期所表現(xiàn)出來(lái)的缺陷和不足之處,然后以中國(guó)實(shí)踐為例,分析貨幣政策與虛擬經(jīng)濟(jì)和實(shí)體經(jīng)濟(jì)背離的關(guān)系,對(duì)中國(guó)貨幣供應(yīng)量與背離的關(guān)系進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,指出在經(jīng)濟(jì)基礎(chǔ)已發(fā)生變化的情況下,應(yīng)把虛擬資產(chǎn)價(jià)格納入貨幣政策目標(biāo),最后對(duì)中國(guó)貨幣當(dāng)局貨幣政策的制訂提出自己的建議。
[Abstract]:Since 1980s, the wave of financial globalization, which focuses on strengthening competition and deregulation, has swept the world, not only in the developed countries of the West, but also in the developing countries of Asia, Latin America and other emerging countries in transition, such as Eastern Europe. All participate in the ranks of financial globalization, the integration of financial markets is formed, virtual assets flow around the world 24 hours without interruption at the speed of light, and the virtual economy expands rapidly. The degree of deviation from the real economy is increasing. On the one hand, the fictitious economy, as a "double-edged sword", benefits the economies of various countries to varying degrees. On the other hand, the collapse of virtual asset prices has left many scars on these countries. Japan in 1990, Mexico in 1994, Southeast Asia in 1997, Russia in 1997. None of the recent Argentina and its "domino" effects have been spared. Therefore, the study of the relationship between the virtual economy and the real economy is not only a major issue facing the countries of the world, Moreover, it is of great significance for our country to defuse and prevent financial risks, prevent financial crisis and maintain the healthy development of virtual economy and real economy. The structure of this paper is as follows: in the first chapter, the definition of virtual economy and real economy and its related concepts are defined, and on this basis, the definition of virtual economy and real economy deviation is analyzed and studied. Then it summarizes the current research situation in this field at home and abroad, points out its shortcomings, and puts forward the author's own analysis ideas. Chapter two makes an empirical analysis on the deviation between virtual economy and real economy. It is demonstrated that there is a real deviation between the virtual economy and the real economy, and the degree of deviation is calculated by different methods. Chapter three, on the basis of the first and second chapters, makes a detailed analysis of the departure mechanism with mathematical model. Chapter 4th points out the defects and deficiencies of the traditional monetary policy in the new period, and then takes the practice of China as an example, and points out the mechanism of frequent deviation between the virtual economy and the real economy. Chapter 4th points out the defects and deficiencies of the traditional monetary policy in the new era. This paper analyzes the relationship between monetary policy, virtual economy and real economy, analyzes the relationship between money supply and deviation in China, and points out that the price of fictitious assets should be included in the monetary policy goal when the economic base has changed. Finally, the author puts forward his own suggestions on the formulation of monetary policy of Chinese monetary authority.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:天津師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2003
【分類號(hào)】:F019
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