本文關(guān)鍵詞： 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟 邊緣區(qū)域 主導產(chǎn)業(yè) 政府博弈 風險分析　出處：《武漢理工大學》2007年博士論文　論文類型：學位論文

【摘要】： 進入九十年代，中國經(jīng)濟已進入到一個新的發(fā)展階段，但生產(chǎn)要素空間結(jié)構(gòu)不合理安排的情況也越來越突出，對中國工業(yè)化、城市化未來的進程形成極大阻礙。區(qū)域之間發(fā)展不均衡是現(xiàn)在我國經(jīng)濟發(fā)展的一個現(xiàn)狀，這樣的狀況長期存在，不利于整個國民經(jīng)濟的健康發(fā)展和安全。區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)是區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)系統(tǒng)中的經(jīng)濟主體和骨骼，能否正確地選擇和培育區(qū)域的主導產(chǎn)業(yè)，是實現(xiàn)區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)合理化的前提和關(guān)鍵，關(guān)系到區(qū)域經(jīng)濟的整體發(fā)展方向和發(fā)展速度。對于落后的邊緣地區(qū)而言，，區(qū)域內(nèi)的主導產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇更決定了該地區(qū)在今后的發(fā)展過程中的命運。 本文從“中心—邊緣”入手，全面回顧了國內(nèi)外的相關(guān)研究成果。從區(qū)域經(jīng)濟學和產(chǎn)業(yè)經(jīng)濟學兩個視角，對主導產(chǎn)業(yè)的選擇、發(fā)展、布局、開發(fā)和培育理論進行了綜述。 在總結(jié)國內(nèi)外有關(guān)區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)理論的基礎(chǔ)上，針對邊緣區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)的選擇基準、選擇原則、約束條件等進行了分析。本文認為區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)與區(qū)域支柱產(chǎn)業(yè)既有聯(lián)系又有區(qū)別；區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)的選擇要定量分析和定性分析相結(jié)合，還要考慮區(qū)域經(jīng)濟發(fā)展所處的階段等約束條件，同時還要遵循緊扣主導產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇的基本原則。依據(jù)區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇的原則，運用AHP(層次分析法)建立了區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇的集成模型。 通過對我國區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇活動的博弈分析，解釋了區(qū)域政府之間的關(guān)系，闡述了可能的均衡結(jié)果以及它們在現(xiàn)實中的體現(xiàn)。在博弈模型中，假定了政府是為了實現(xiàn)區(qū)域效用最大化的“經(jīng)濟人”，區(qū)域間政府通過選擇趨同或配套的主導產(chǎn)業(yè)形成競爭、合作或競合關(guān)系。并基于此博弈模型構(gòu)建了邊緣區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇的風險評價體系。 將理論應用于實踐，通過對陜西漢中地區(qū)的實際情況調(diào)研和運用本文提出的理論工具，對陜西漢中地區(qū)的主導產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇進行了實證分析。 本文的創(chuàng)新點主要體現(xiàn)在以下幾個方面： 建立了區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇的集成模型；設(shè)計了基于邊緣區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇與發(fā)展的地方政府博弈分析模型；構(gòu)建了邊緣區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇與發(fā)展的風險評價體系；提出了邊緣區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)培育與發(fā)展的路徑和對策建議。
[Abstract]:In 90s, China's economy has entered a new stage of development, but the irrational arrangement of the spatial structure of factors of production has become more and more prominent for China's industrialization. The process of urbanization in the future is greatly hindered. The unbalanced development between regions is a current situation of economic development in China, such a situation exists for a long time. Regional leading industry is the economic main body and skeleton in the regional industrial system. It is the premise and key to realize the rationalization of regional industrial structure, which is related to the overall development direction and speed of regional economy. The choice of leading industries in the region determines the fate of the region in the future development process. This paper starts with "centre-edge", and reviews the related research results at home and abroad. From the two perspectives of regional economics and industrial economics, the selection, development and layout of leading industries are discussed. The theory of development and cultivation is reviewed. On the basis of summing up the theory of regional leading industry at home and abroad, this paper aims at the selection criteria and selection principles of leading industries in marginal regions. The paper points out that the regional leading industry and the regional pillar industry are related and different. The choice of regional leading industry should be combined with quantitative analysis and qualitative analysis, and the constraints of the stage of regional economic development should be considered. According to the principle of regional leading industry selection, the integration model of regional leading industry selection is established by using AHP (Analytic hierarchy process). Through the game analysis of the regional leading industry selection activities in China, this paper explains the relationship between the regional governments, expounds the possible equilibrium results and their embodiment in reality. In the game model. It is assumed that the government is the "economic man" in order to maximize the regional utility, and the inter-regional government forms competition by choosing the leading industries that converge or support each other. Based on this game model, the risk evaluation system of leading industries in marginal regions is constructed. Applying the theory to practice, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the choice of leading industries in Hanzhong area of Shaanxi Province by investigating the actual situation in Hanzhong area of Shaanxi Province and using the theoretical tools proposed in this paper. The innovation of this paper is mainly reflected in the following aspects: The integration model of regional leading industry selection is established. The game analysis model of local government based on the choice and development of leading industries in marginal regions is designed. The risk evaluation system for the selection and development of leading industries in marginal regions is constructed. The paper puts forward the path and countermeasures for the cultivation and development of leading industries in marginal areas.
【學位授予單位】：武漢理工大學
【學位級別】：博士
【學位授予年份】：2007
【分類號】：F061.5

【引證文獻】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前1條

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相關(guān)博士學位論文 前3條

1 張麗;城鄉(xiāng)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展視角下的新疆城鎮(zhèn)化產(chǎn)業(yè)支撐研究[D];新疆農(nóng)業(yè)大學;2010年

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1 陳扎拉嘎呼;呼包鄂城市群產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)演進與產(chǎn)業(yè)集群培育[D];內(nèi)蒙古師范大學;2011年

2 孫佳;區(qū)域主導農(nóng)產(chǎn)品的選擇和評價[D];南京農(nóng)業(yè)大學;2009年

3 潘群群;基于主成分與灰色聚類相結(jié)合的安徽省主導產(chǎn)業(yè)選擇研究[D];合肥工業(yè)大學;2012年

4 鄭秀蘭;基于路徑依賴理論的區(qū)域主導產(chǎn)業(yè)評價研究[D];合肥工業(yè)大學;2012年

本文編號：1466343