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基于CA-Markov模型的香格里拉縣城市增長邊界設(shè)定研究

發(fā)布時間:2019-06-28 18:31
【摘要】:城鎮(zhèn)化是當(dāng)前城市發(fā)展和建設(shè)的重要課題,快速的城鎮(zhèn)化為經(jīng)濟發(fā)展提供強大的動力,同時也帶來了城市空間的無序擴張、城市空間結(jié)構(gòu)混亂等問題。隨著國內(nèi)旅游業(yè)的強勢發(fā)展,香格里拉縣伴隨“香格里拉”品牌效應(yīng)的升溫進入快速發(fā)展階段,城市空間面臨急速擴張的需求。從國際經(jīng)驗看,城市增長邊界是一種空間增長管理的有效政策工具,對于緩解資源約束和經(jīng)濟發(fā)展需求之間的尖銳矛盾有著積極的作用。 論文首先從研究背景入手,闡述了研究目的和意義,界定了城市增長邊界的概念和研究范圍;其次,詳解了城市增長邊界的內(nèi)涵和作用,并介紹了其構(gòu)成、劃定原則和主要影響因素;然后,回顧與評價目前國內(nèi)外城市增長邊界的研究進展,對城市空間管理、城市增長邊界設(shè)定的技術(shù)方法等進行了初步研究,介紹了CA模型和Markov模型理論體系及在城市空間形態(tài)演變過程中的應(yīng)用,提出城市增長邊界設(shè)定與CA-Markov模型的結(jié)合;再次,在介紹香格里拉縣城市概況基礎(chǔ)上,研究了城市空間擴張的動力機制,分析了城市增長邊界的構(gòu)成和設(shè)定影響因素;最后,通過ArcGIS軟件對香格里拉縣城衛(wèi)星圖像的處理,制作權(quán)重圖集,運用IDRISI軟件運行CA-Markov模型,預(yù)測城市建設(shè)用地規(guī)模,結(jié)合建設(shè)用地適宜性評價和城市空間管制,綜合劃定香格里拉縣城市增長邊界,并與《香格里拉縣城市總體規(guī)劃(2010-2030)》做對比分析,提出香格里拉縣城市增長邊界的實施管理和控制措施,為香格里拉的城市空間管理提供一種參考途徑,也為城市增長邊界的劃定提供一種技術(shù)手段。 主要結(jié)論包括:(1)香格里拉縣城市增長邊界包括城市增長彈性邊界和城市增長剛性邊界,城市增長彈性邊界規(guī)模約為27.79平方公里,城市增長剛性邊界規(guī)模約為49.94平方公里;(2)基于CA-Markov模型劃定香格里拉縣城市增長邊界的技術(shù)手段可以推廣至其他城市的增長邊界的劃定、城市空間管制區(qū)劃等領(lǐng)域;(3)將動態(tài)模擬的新思路應(yīng)用于城市規(guī)劃領(lǐng)域,堅持城市增長邊界的劃定以定量研究為主,定性分析為輔的基本思路;(4)為城市增長邊界在我國城市規(guī)劃領(lǐng)域的廣泛運用提供一定的理論鋪墊,也為我國其他生態(tài)敏感度高的城市的空間管理提供一定的借鑒。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is an important subject of urban development and construction at present. Rapid urbanization provides a strong driving force for economic development, but also brings about the disorderly expansion of urban space, urban spatial structure chaos and so on. With the strong development of domestic tourism, Shangri-La County has entered a stage of rapid development with the warming of Shangri-La brand effect, and the urban space is facing the demand of rapid expansion. From the international experience, urban growth boundary is an effective policy tool for spatial growth management, which plays a positive role in alleviating the sharp contradiction between resource constraints and economic development needs. First of all, starting from the research background, this paper expounds the purpose and significance of the study, defines the concept and scope of urban growth boundary, secondly, explains the connotation and function of urban growth boundary in detail, and introduces its composition, delimitation principle and main influencing factors. Then, the research progress of urban growth boundary at home and abroad is reviewed and evaluated, the urban spatial management and the technical methods of urban growth boundary setting are preliminarily studied, the theoretical system of CA model and Markov model and their application in the evolution of urban spatial form are introduced, and the combination of urban growth boundary setting and CA-Markov model is put forward. Thirdly, on the basis of introducing the general situation of Shangri-La County, this paper studies the dynamic mechanism of urban spatial expansion, and analyzes the composition and setting influencing factors of urban growth boundary. Finally, through the processing of satellite images of Shangri-La County by ArcGIS software, the weight atlas is made, and the CA-Markov model is run by IDRISI software to predict the scale of urban construction land. Combined with the suitability evaluation of construction land and urban spatial control, the urban growth boundary of Shangri-La County is comprehensively delineated and compared with the Shangri-La County Urban Master Plan (2010 / 2030). This paper puts forward the implementation management and control measures of the urban growth boundary in Shangri-La County, which provides a reference way for the urban space management of Shangri-La, and also provides a technical means for the delineation of the urban growth boundary. The main conclusions are as follows: (1) the urban growth boundary of Shangri-La County includes the elastic boundary of urban growth and the rigid boundary of urban growth, the scale of elastic boundary of urban growth is about 27.79 square kilometers, and the scale of rigid boundary of urban growth is about 49.94 square kilometers; (2) the technical means of delineating the urban growth boundary of Shangri-La County based on CA-Markov model can be extended to the delimitation of the growth boundary of other cities, the division of urban spatial control, and so on. (3) the new idea of dynamic simulation is applied to the field of urban planning, insisting that the delineation of urban growth boundary is mainly based on quantitative research and supplemented by qualitative analysis. (4) it provides a theoretical foundation for the wide application of urban growth boundary in the field of urban planning in China, and also provides a certain reference for the spatial management of other cities with high ecological sensitivity in China.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:云南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號】:F299.27

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