風險排隊與博弈模型分析及在物流瓶頸管理中的應(yīng)用
發(fā)布時間：2018-12-13 22:56
【摘要】：物流瓶頸管理問題是目前諸如管理科學(xué)與信息科學(xué)中的最重大的科學(xué)問題之一，也是社會經(jīng)濟生活中備受關(guān)注的熱點課題。物流資源的合理分配對提高整個供應(yīng)鏈物流系統(tǒng)的效益起著至關(guān)重要的作用。因而，對供應(yīng)鏈物流系統(tǒng)的瓶頸管理研究有著非常現(xiàn)實的意義。 本文以風險下的排隊理論為基礎(chǔ)，，分析了排隊論應(yīng)用于風險管理的可能性，并進行了風險下的排隊模型研究；然后以經(jīng)典瓶頸模型為基礎(chǔ)，對用戶需求與是否收費分別討論，這對進一步研究排隊博弈的風險瓶頸問題有一定的借鑒意義；接著進行排隊博弈的風險瓶頸模型研究，闡述了排隊博弈的風險瓶頸模型，重點針對該理論模型中的無剩余排隊NRQ進行分析，分別從嚴格優(yōu)先權(quán)排隊、非優(yōu)先權(quán)排隊和介于二者之間的弱優(yōu)先權(quán)排隊的情況進行分析討論，進而得出結(jié)論。 本文的主要研究成果有：首先，在以往排隊論的研究中融入風險因素。以往對排隊論的研究不管是現(xiàn)實的還是抽象的，大都是針對服務(wù)系統(tǒng)進行研究，本文從風險的角度去考慮，將風險的因素結(jié)合到排隊論的研究中去；其次，構(gòu)建了風險下的排隊模型以及排隊博弈的風險瓶頸模型，風險和排隊結(jié)合在一起的問題就是資源配置最優(yōu)化使得風險最低的問題；最后，運用排隊博弈的風險瓶頸模型進行實際問題的模擬分析處理，即分析供應(yīng)鏈物流瓶頸系統(tǒng)的流通能力。以上研究成果為管理者研究物流瓶頸系統(tǒng)提供了現(xiàn)實的指導(dǎo)意義。
[Abstract]:Logistics bottleneck management is one of the most important scientific problems such as management science and information science. It is also a hot topic in social and economic life. The rational allocation of logistics resources plays an important role in improving the efficiency of the whole supply chain logistics system. Therefore, the research on bottleneck management of supply chain logistics system has a very practical significance. Based on the queuing theory under risk, this paper analyzes the possibility of the application of queuing theory to risk management, and studies the queuing model under risk. Then, based on the classical bottleneck model, the author discusses the user demand and whether to charge, which has certain reference significance to further study the risk bottleneck problem of queuing game. Then, the risk bottleneck model of queuing game is studied, and the risk bottleneck model of queuing game is expounded. The NRQ of queuing without surplus in the theoretical model is analyzed, respectively, from strict priority queuing. The non-priority queue and the weak priority queue between them are analyzed and discussed, and the conclusion is drawn. The main results of this paper are as follows: firstly, risk factors are incorporated into the previous queuing theory. Previous researches on queuing theory, whether realistic or abstract, are mostly focused on service systems. This paper considers the risk from the point of view of risk, and combines the risk factors into the research of queuing theory. Secondly, the queueing model under risk and the risk bottleneck model of queueing game are constructed. The problem of combining risk and queuing is that the optimization of resource allocation makes the risk lowest. Finally, the risk bottleneck model of queueing game is used to simulate and deal with the actual problems, that is, the flow capacity of the supply chain logistics bottleneck system is analyzed. The above research results provide practical guidance for managers to study logistics bottleneck system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：燕山大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F224.32;F252
本文編號：2377400
[Abstract]:Logistics bottleneck management is one of the most important scientific problems such as management science and information science. It is also a hot topic in social and economic life. The rational allocation of logistics resources plays an important role in improving the efficiency of the whole supply chain logistics system. Therefore, the research on bottleneck management of supply chain logistics system has a very practical significance. Based on the queuing theory under risk, this paper analyzes the possibility of the application of queuing theory to risk management, and studies the queuing model under risk. Then, based on the classical bottleneck model, the author discusses the user demand and whether to charge, which has certain reference significance to further study the risk bottleneck problem of queuing game. Then, the risk bottleneck model of queuing game is studied, and the risk bottleneck model of queuing game is expounded. The NRQ of queuing without surplus in the theoretical model is analyzed, respectively, from strict priority queuing. The non-priority queue and the weak priority queue between them are analyzed and discussed, and the conclusion is drawn. The main results of this paper are as follows: firstly, risk factors are incorporated into the previous queuing theory. Previous researches on queuing theory, whether realistic or abstract, are mostly focused on service systems. This paper considers the risk from the point of view of risk, and combines the risk factors into the research of queuing theory. Secondly, the queueing model under risk and the risk bottleneck model of queueing game are constructed. The problem of combining risk and queuing is that the optimization of resource allocation makes the risk lowest. Finally, the risk bottleneck model of queueing game is used to simulate and deal with the actual problems, that is, the flow capacity of the supply chain logistics bottleneck system is analyzed. The above research results provide practical guidance for managers to study logistics bottleneck system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：燕山大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F224.32;F252
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