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風(fēng)險(xiǎn)排隊(duì)與博弈模型分析及在物流瓶頸管理中的應(yīng)用

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-12-13 22:56
【摘要】:物流瓶頸管理問題是目前諸如管理科學(xué)與信息科學(xué)中的最重大的科學(xué)問題之一,也是社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)生活中備受關(guān)注的熱點(diǎn)課題。物流資源的合理分配對(duì)提高整個(gè)供應(yīng)鏈物流系統(tǒng)的效益起著至關(guān)重要的作用。因而,對(duì)供應(yīng)鏈物流系統(tǒng)的瓶頸管理研究有著非,F(xiàn)實(shí)的意義。 本文以風(fēng)險(xiǎn)下的排隊(duì)理論為基礎(chǔ),,分析了排隊(duì)論應(yīng)用于風(fēng)險(xiǎn)管理的可能性,并進(jìn)行了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)下的排隊(duì)模型研究;然后以經(jīng)典瓶頸模型為基礎(chǔ),對(duì)用戶需求與是否收費(fèi)分別討論,這對(duì)進(jìn)一步研究排隊(duì)博弈的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)瓶頸問題有一定的借鑒意義;接著進(jìn)行排隊(duì)博弈的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)瓶頸模型研究,闡述了排隊(duì)博弈的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)瓶頸模型,重點(diǎn)針對(duì)該理論模型中的無剩余排隊(duì)NRQ進(jìn)行分析,分別從嚴(yán)格優(yōu)先權(quán)排隊(duì)、非優(yōu)先權(quán)排隊(duì)和介于二者之間的弱優(yōu)先權(quán)排隊(duì)的情況進(jìn)行分析討論,進(jìn)而得出結(jié)論。 本文的主要研究成果有:首先,在以往排隊(duì)論的研究中融入風(fēng)險(xiǎn)因素。以往對(duì)排隊(duì)論的研究不管是現(xiàn)實(shí)的還是抽象的,大都是針對(duì)服務(wù)系統(tǒng)進(jìn)行研究,本文從風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的角度去考慮,將風(fēng)險(xiǎn)的因素結(jié)合到排隊(duì)論的研究中去;其次,構(gòu)建了風(fēng)險(xiǎn)下的排隊(duì)模型以及排隊(duì)博弈的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)瓶頸模型,風(fēng)險(xiǎn)和排隊(duì)結(jié)合在一起的問題就是資源配置最優(yōu)化使得風(fēng)險(xiǎn)最低的問題;最后,運(yùn)用排隊(duì)博弈的風(fēng)險(xiǎn)瓶頸模型進(jìn)行實(shí)際問題的模擬分析處理,即分析供應(yīng)鏈物流瓶頸系統(tǒng)的流通能力。以上研究成果為管理者研究物流瓶頸系統(tǒng)提供了現(xiàn)實(shí)的指導(dǎo)意義。
[Abstract]:Logistics bottleneck management is one of the most important scientific problems such as management science and information science. It is also a hot topic in social and economic life. The rational allocation of logistics resources plays an important role in improving the efficiency of the whole supply chain logistics system. Therefore, the research on bottleneck management of supply chain logistics system has a very practical significance. Based on the queuing theory under risk, this paper analyzes the possibility of the application of queuing theory to risk management, and studies the queuing model under risk. Then, based on the classical bottleneck model, the author discusses the user demand and whether to charge, which has certain reference significance to further study the risk bottleneck problem of queuing game. Then, the risk bottleneck model of queuing game is studied, and the risk bottleneck model of queuing game is expounded. The NRQ of queuing without surplus in the theoretical model is analyzed, respectively, from strict priority queuing. The non-priority queue and the weak priority queue between them are analyzed and discussed, and the conclusion is drawn. The main results of this paper are as follows: firstly, risk factors are incorporated into the previous queuing theory. Previous researches on queuing theory, whether realistic or abstract, are mostly focused on service systems. This paper considers the risk from the point of view of risk, and combines the risk factors into the research of queuing theory. Secondly, the queueing model under risk and the risk bottleneck model of queueing game are constructed. The problem of combining risk and queuing is that the optimization of resource allocation makes the risk lowest. Finally, the risk bottleneck model of queueing game is used to simulate and deal with the actual problems, that is, the flow capacity of the supply chain logistics bottleneck system is analyzed. The above research results provide practical guidance for managers to study logistics bottleneck system.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:燕山大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2014
【分類號(hào)】:F224.32;F252

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