具損失概率厭惡和損失厭惡行為報(bào)童最優(yōu)訂貨量分析
發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-07-22 12:30
【摘要】:研究了具損失厭惡和損失概率厭惡行為的報(bào)童最優(yōu)訂貨策略問題。基于累積前景理論,建立了報(bào)童凹前景值函數(shù);比較靜態(tài)分析表明,對(duì)最大損失的重視程度越大,最優(yōu)訂貨量越小;對(duì)最大獲利的重視程度越大,最優(yōu)訂貨量越大;對(duì)損失概率敏感性越大,最優(yōu)訂貨量越小;對(duì)損失厭惡程度越大,最優(yōu)訂貨量越小,算例結(jié)果驗(yàn)證了上述分析。此外,算例結(jié)果還表明:對(duì)獲利概率敏感性越大,最優(yōu)訂貨量越大,并且有限理性行為報(bào)童最優(yōu)訂貨量偏離完全理性行為報(bào)童最優(yōu)訂貨量。
[Abstract]:The optimal ordering policy of newsboy with loss aversion and loss probability aversion is studied. Based on the cumulative foreground theory, the paper establishes the concavity foreground value function of newsboy, the comparative static analysis shows that the greater the attention to the maximum loss, the smaller the optimal order quantity, the greater the attention to the maximum profit, the greater the optimal order quantity. The greater the sensitivity to the loss probability, the smaller the optimal order quantity, and the greater the loss aversion, the smaller the optimal order quantity. In addition, the results also show that the more sensitive to the profit probability, the greater the optimal order quantity, and the more the optimal order quantity of the limited rational behavior newsboy deviates from the perfect rational behavior newsboy's optimal order quantity.
【作者單位】: 青島大學(xué);
【基金】:國家自然科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目,項(xiàng)目編號(hào):71371102 國際(地區(qū))合作與交流項(xiàng)目,項(xiàng)目編號(hào):71311120090
【分類號(hào)】:F274;F224
本文編號(hào):2137470
[Abstract]:The optimal ordering policy of newsboy with loss aversion and loss probability aversion is studied. Based on the cumulative foreground theory, the paper establishes the concavity foreground value function of newsboy, the comparative static analysis shows that the greater the attention to the maximum loss, the smaller the optimal order quantity, the greater the attention to the maximum profit, the greater the optimal order quantity. The greater the sensitivity to the loss probability, the smaller the optimal order quantity, and the greater the loss aversion, the smaller the optimal order quantity. In addition, the results also show that the more sensitive to the profit probability, the greater the optimal order quantity, and the more the optimal order quantity of the limited rational behavior newsboy deviates from the perfect rational behavior newsboy's optimal order quantity.
【作者單位】: 青島大學(xué);
【基金】:國家自然科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目,項(xiàng)目編號(hào):71371102 國際(地區(qū))合作與交流項(xiàng)目,項(xiàng)目編號(hào):71311120090
【分類號(hào)】:F274;F224
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