本文選題：中日貿(mào)易 + 隱含碳排放��； 參考：《安徽財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：自21世紀(jì)以來,中國對外進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易飛速發(fā)展,大規(guī)模的國際貿(mào)易給中國帶來了巨大的經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)值和就業(yè)機(jī)會,但也造成了大量的能源消耗、碳排放和環(huán)境破壞,國際貿(mào)易與碳排放的關(guān)系及相互作用日益受到國際社會的關(guān)注。隨著中日雙邊經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系的不斷深化,雙方都成為彼此非常重要的貿(mào)易伙伴。目前中國的碳排放量與十年前相比增長了兩倍多,中國成為全球碳排放最多的國家,而日本的碳排放量一直處于穩(wěn)定狀態(tài),研究中日之間是否因貿(mào)易引起了碳排放轉(zhuǎn)移具有十分重要的意義。 首先本文在提出隱含碳的概念,并分析貿(mào)易對環(huán)境的影響及國際貿(mào)易污染責(zé)任認(rèn)定原則等相關(guān)理論的基礎(chǔ)上,根據(jù)中日投入產(chǎn)出表、能源消耗統(tǒng)計和中日進(jìn)出口數(shù)據(jù)結(jié)合投入產(chǎn)出模型計算了2002-2011年間中日進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易中隱含碳排放量及其差額。結(jié)果表明,2002-2011年間中日貿(mào)易隱含碳排放量與進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易額的增減變動趨勢基本一致,以2009年為轉(zhuǎn)折點出現(xiàn)先增驟減又回升的現(xiàn)象。中日貿(mào)易中的凈出口隱含碳排放量說明中國在此雙邊貿(mào)易中是隱含碳排放凈出口國,這也表明日本通過雙邊貿(mào)易將部分碳排放轉(zhuǎn)移到了中國,這不利于我國碳減排目標(biāo)的實現(xiàn)。 然后,本文利用基于投入產(chǎn)出模型的結(jié)構(gòu)分解分析法從結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)、技術(shù)效應(yīng)、規(guī)模效應(yīng)三個方面對影響中日貿(mào)易隱含碳排放的因素進(jìn)行了分解分析。結(jié)果表明,中國對日本出口隱含碳排放的變化主要取決于規(guī)模效應(yīng)和技術(shù)效應(yīng)的共同作用,而規(guī)模效應(yīng)是促進(jìn)中國出口貿(mào)易隱含碳排放增長的主要因素,結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)的促進(jìn)作用較小,技術(shù)效應(yīng)是出口隱含碳排放增長的抑制因素。在進(jìn)口隱含碳排放中各年的規(guī)模效應(yīng)作用也均為正向,技術(shù)效應(yīng)為負(fù)向,結(jié)構(gòu)效應(yīng)先負(fù)后正。與出口情況相同的是規(guī)模效應(yīng)也是影響進(jìn)口貿(mào)易隱含碳排放的關(guān)鍵因素。從分行業(yè)部門分析,中國對日本出口的各行業(yè)隱含碳排放系數(shù)均比進(jìn)口行業(yè)高。最后本文結(jié)合實證分析結(jié)果提出了減少中國隱含碳排放的相關(guān)政策建議。
[Abstract]:Since the 21st century, China's foreign import and export trade has developed rapidly. The large-scale international trade has brought huge economic output and employment opportunities to China, but it has also caused a lot of energy consumption, carbon emissions and environmental damage. The relationship and interaction between international trade and carbon emissions have been paid more and more attention by the international community. With the deepening of bilateral economic and trade relations, both sides have become very important trading partners. China's carbon emissions have more than tripled compared with a decade ago, and China has become the world's largest carbon emitter, while Japan's carbon emissions have been stable. It is of great significance to study whether the trade between China and Japan has caused carbon transfer. First of all, on the basis of putting forward the concept of implied carbon, and analyzing the influence of trade on environment and the principle of pollution liability in international trade, this paper bases on the input-output table of China and Japan. The energy consumption statistics and the import and export data of China and Japan combined with the input-output model are used to calculate the implied carbon emissions and their differences in the Sino-Japanese import and export trade from 2002 to 2011. The results show that the change trend of implied carbon emissions from 2002 to 2011 is basically consistent with the increase and decrease of import and export trade. The implied carbon emissions from net exports in Sino-Japanese trade show that China is a net exporter of implied carbon emissions in the bilateral trade, which also indicates that Japan has transferred some of its carbon emissions to China through bilateral trade, which is not conducive to the realization of China's carbon emission reduction target. Then, the structural decomposition analysis method based on input-output model is used to analyze the factors that affect the implied carbon emissions of Sino-Japanese trade from three aspects: structural effect, technical effect and scale effect. The results show that the change of implied carbon emissions from China's exports to Japan mainly depends on the joint effect of scale effect and technological effect, and scale effect is the main factor to promote the increase of implied carbon emissions in China's export trade. The effect of structural effect is small and the technical effect is the restraining factor of export implied carbon emission growth. The scale effect in each year is positive, the technical effect is negative, and the structure effect is negative first and then positive. As with exports, scale effect is also a key factor affecting implied carbon emissions in import trade. The implied carbon emission coefficient of China's export to Japan is higher than that of import industry. Finally, based on the results of empirical analysis, the paper puts forward some policy recommendations to reduce China's implied carbon emissions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：安徽財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F752;F753.13;F205

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