本文選題：城市化水平 + 結(jié)構(gòu)方程模型�。� 參考：《天津財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：城市化是我國社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)建設(shè)的重要內(nèi)容和實(shí)現(xiàn)現(xiàn)代化的必經(jīng)之路。十七大報(bào)告提出“按照統(tǒng)籌城鄉(xiāng)、布局合理、節(jié)約土地、功能完善、以大帶小的原則,促進(jìn)大中小城市和小城鎮(zhèn)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展�！笔舜髨�(bào)告進(jìn)一步明確了新型城鎮(zhèn)化定義,加速推進(jìn)了城市化建設(shè)。城鄉(xiāng)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展關(guān)系到我國產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和人民生活水平的提高,對我國小康社會(huì)的全面建設(shè)意義重大。目前,城市化存在多種定義。從人口學(xué)角度,城市化為人口向城市集聚的過程。從地理學(xué)角度,城市化為居民集聚位置和用地集聚的過程。從社會(huì)學(xué)角度,城市化是居民生活方式不斷由農(nóng)村向城市轉(zhuǎn)化的過程。從生態(tài)學(xué)角度,城市化是人類不斷的尋求最適宜生活和生產(chǎn)活動(dòng)生態(tài)系統(tǒng)的過程。從經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)角度,城市化是各種要素在產(chǎn)業(yè)之間的轉(zhuǎn)移。另外,十八大報(bào)告的新型城鎮(zhèn)化是產(chǎn)業(yè)支撐、人居環(huán)境、社會(huì)保障、生活方式等方面由“鄉(xiāng)”到“城”的轉(zhuǎn)化。文章將城市化定義引申為人口、社會(huì)、經(jīng)濟(jì)和生態(tài)環(huán)境四個(gè)方面的整體評價(jià),并從四個(gè)方面對我國城市化水平測度。為了深入分析我國各省城市化水平,本文采用綜合指標(biāo)法從人口、經(jīng)濟(jì)、社會(huì)和生態(tài)環(huán)境四個(gè)方面構(gòu)建測度城市化的指標(biāo)體系,包括人口城市化、經(jīng)濟(jì)城市化、社會(huì)城市化和生態(tài)環(huán)境城市化4個(gè)二級指標(biāo)和16個(gè)三級指標(biāo)。利用我國31個(gè)省2008年和2010年的年度數(shù)據(jù),采用偏最小二乘法,建立我國省域城市化水平測度的結(jié)構(gòu)方程模型。將隨機(jī)干擾引入觀測數(shù)據(jù),分析結(jié)構(gòu)方程模型參數(shù)估計(jì)量的靈敏性,給出了更穩(wěn)健的經(jīng)驗(yàn)?zāi)Ｐ汀?008年的經(jīng)驗(yàn)?zāi)Ｐ惋@示,經(jīng)濟(jì)城市化、生態(tài)環(huán)境城市化是我國省域城市化發(fā)展的主導(dǎo)因素,其中經(jīng)濟(jì)城市化發(fā)揮的作用更大。2010年的經(jīng)驗(yàn)?zāi)Ｐ惋@示,生態(tài)環(huán)境城市化、經(jīng)濟(jì)城市化成為我國城市化發(fā)展的主導(dǎo)因素,其中生態(tài)環(huán)境城市化逐漸占據(jù)主導(dǎo)地位,成為我國城市化發(fā)展的新增長點(diǎn),社會(huì)城市化的作用越來越顯著。根據(jù)2010年經(jīng)驗(yàn)?zāi)Ｐ蛯ξ覈∮虺鞘谢町惙治鼋Y(jié)果顯示,生態(tài)指標(biāo)、經(jīng)濟(jì)指標(biāo)、城市生活指標(biāo)、人口指標(biāo)對城市化水平的效用依次減弱。所以加強(qiáng)城市生態(tài)建設(shè)對城市化的推進(jìn)有較快的效果,各省應(yīng)該高度關(guān)注生態(tài)指標(biāo)的改善。為了提高中西部地區(qū)城市化的發(fā)展,各省在保持生態(tài)指標(biāo)競爭優(yōu)勢的基礎(chǔ)上必須相應(yīng)的提高地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平。
[Abstract]:Urbanization is an important content of social and economic construction and the only way to realize modernization. According to the report of the 17th National Congress of the Communist Party of China, "according to the principle of overall planning of urban and rural areas, rational distribution, saving land, perfect function and promoting the coordinated development of large, medium and small cities and towns," The report of the 18th National Congress further clarified the definition of new urbanization and accelerated the construction of urbanization. The coordinated development of urban and rural areas is related to the adjustment of industrial structure and the improvement of people's living standard, which is of great significance to the overall construction of a well-off society in China. At present, there are many definitions of urbanization. From the perspective of demography, urbanization is the process of population agglomeration. From the point of view of geography, urbanization is the process of resident agglomeration and land agglomeration. From the sociological point of view, urbanization is the process of the residents' way of life changing from rural to urban. From the ecological point of view, urbanization is the process of seeking the most suitable ecosystem for life and productive activities. From the angle of economics, urbanization is the transfer of various elements between industries. In addition, the new urbanization reported by the 18th National Congress is the transformation from "township" to "city" in the aspects of industrial support, living environment, social security and lifestyle. In this paper, the definition of urbanization is extended to the overall evaluation of population, society, economy and ecological environment, and the level of urbanization in China is measured from four aspects. In order to analyze the urbanization level of every province in our country, this paper uses the comprehensive index method to construct the index system to measure urbanization from four aspects of population, economy, society and ecological environment, including population urbanization and economic urbanization. Social urbanization and eco-environmental urbanization four secondary indicators and 16 tertiary indicators. Based on the annual data of 31 provinces in China in 2008 and 2010, the structural equation model of the measurement of urbanization level in provincial area of China is established by using partial least square method. By introducing random disturbance into observation data, the sensitivity of parameter estimator of structural equation model is analyzed, and a more robust empirical model is presented. The empirical model of 2008 shows that economic urbanization, Ecological environment urbanization is the leading factor in the development of urbanization in our country, in which economic urbanization plays a more important role. The empirical model in 2010 shows that ecological environment urbanization and economic urbanization become the leading factors of urbanization development in China. The ecological environment urbanization gradually occupies the leading position and becomes the new growth point of the urbanization development of our country. The function of the social urbanization is more and more obvious. According to the empirical model in 2010, the results show that the utility of ecological index, economic index, urban life index and population index on urbanization level is weakened in turn. Therefore, the enhancement of urban ecological construction has a rapid effect on urbanization, and the provinces should pay close attention to the improvement of ecological indicators. In order to improve the development of urbanization in the central and western regions, each province must raise the level of economic development on the basis of maintaining the competitive advantage of ecological indicators.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F299.27

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