本文選題：長(zhǎng)沙市 + 房地產(chǎn)政策效果��； 參考：《湖南大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)是關(guān)系國(guó)計(jì)民生的市場(chǎng)，不僅與百姓生活水平息息相關(guān)，而且也體現(xiàn)一個(gè)國(guó)家的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展水平。隨著經(jīng)濟(jì)飛速發(fā)展，我國(guó)GDP總量超過(guò)日本成為世界第二大經(jīng)濟(jì)體，房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)也獲得更大的發(fā)展空間，發(fā)展速度迅猛。但在房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)快速發(fā)展的同時(shí)，也產(chǎn)生了許多問(wèn)題，房?jī)r(jià)只漲不跌就是其中一個(gè)嚴(yán)重的問(wèn)題。對(duì)此，政府實(shí)施了幾輪房地產(chǎn)調(diào)控，但調(diào)控效果都不盡如人意。因此，研究房地產(chǎn)調(diào)控政策效果，，提出有效對(duì)策顯得十分必要和迫切。 本文采用實(shí)證研究的方法，詳細(xì)梳理了2009年到2013年國(guó)家及長(zhǎng)沙市房地產(chǎn)調(diào)控稅收政策、貨幣政策和土地政策，并結(jié)合調(diào)控政策分析以長(zhǎng)沙市為例的房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)現(xiàn)狀，主要包括對(duì)長(zhǎng)沙市商品住宅成交價(jià)格、商品住宅供應(yīng)量、商品住宅成交量和土地供給面積的分析。通過(guò)向量自回歸模型和脈沖響應(yīng)函數(shù)的實(shí)證分析，以及向量誤差修正模型和方差分解的實(shí)證分析，得出結(jié)論：稅收政策對(duì)房?jī)r(jià)的脈沖響應(yīng)是先正向后負(fù)向的響應(yīng)，利率政策對(duì)房?jī)r(jià)的響應(yīng)是正向響應(yīng)，而土地購(gòu)置面積政策是負(fù)向響應(yīng)；稅收政策的影響貢獻(xiàn)率相對(duì)較小，貨幣政策對(duì)商品房成交量的影響最大，土地政策對(duì)房?jī)r(jià)影響效果相對(duì)顯著。根據(jù)結(jié)論，筆者運(yùn)用托馬斯·史密斯模型探討了以長(zhǎng)沙市為例的房地產(chǎn)調(diào)控政策，從四個(gè)方面進(jìn)行了分析：第一，房地產(chǎn)調(diào)控政策。存在稅收政策、貨幣政策和土地政策三個(gè)問(wèn)題；第二，房地產(chǎn)調(diào)控執(zhí)行機(jī)構(gòu)。存在長(zhǎng)沙市政府和銀行兩個(gè)問(wèn)題；第三，房地產(chǎn)調(diào)控目標(biāo)群體。存在購(gòu)房者和房地產(chǎn)商兩個(gè)問(wèn)題；第四，房地產(chǎn)調(diào)控環(huán)境。在對(duì)政策執(zhí)行進(jìn)行分析和總結(jié)的基礎(chǔ)上，研究分別從這四個(gè)方面提出了對(duì)于房地產(chǎn)市場(chǎng)調(diào)控的可行性政策建議。
[Abstract]:The real estate market is a market related to the national economy and the people's livelihood, which is not only closely related to the living standards of the people, but also reflects the level of economic development of a country. With the rapid development of economy, the gross domestic product of our country surpasses Japan to become the second largest economy in the world, the real estate market also obtains the bigger development space, the development speed is swift and violent. However, with the rapid development of the real estate market, there are also many problems, among which the rise or fall of house prices is one of the serious problems. In response, the government has implemented several rounds of real estate regulation and control, but the effect is not satisfactory. Therefore, it is necessary and urgent to study the effect of real estate regulation and control policy and put forward effective countermeasures. Monetary policy and land policy, combined with the regulation and control policy analysis of the real estate market situation in Changsha, mainly including the transaction price of commercial housing, the supply of commercial housing, the volume of commercial housing and land supply area analysis. Through the empirical analysis of vector autoregressive model, impulse response function, vector error correction model and variance decomposition, it is concluded that the impulse response of tax policy to house price is first positive and negative. The response of interest rate policy to house price is positive, while that of land purchase area policy is negative, the contribution rate of tax policy is relatively small, and monetary policy has the greatest influence on the transaction volume of commercial housing. The impact of land policy on housing prices is relatively significant. According to the conclusion, the author uses Thomas Smith model to discuss the real estate regulation and control policy in Changsha City, and analyzes it from four aspects: first, the real estate regulation policy. There are three problems: tax policy, monetary policy and land policy. Changsha City government and banks exist two problems; third, real estate control target groups. There are two problems: buyers and real estate developers; fourth, real estate regulatory environment. Based on the analysis and summary of the policy implementation, the paper puts forward the feasible policy recommendations for the real estate market regulation from these four aspects.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F299.27

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