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政府投資項目代建制風險管理研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-06-06 11:44

  本文選題:政府投資項目 + 代建制 ; 參考:《西安科技大學》2015年碩士論文


【摘要】:隨著我國加入WTO和全社會經(jīng)濟的不斷發(fā)展,特別是政府對大型項目的投資和興建,使得項目的建設模式越來越得到人們的關注,新型的代建制模式以其特有的優(yōu)越性吸引了大批專家學者和管理者。由于政府投資項目涉及金額巨大,社會影響力強,再加上其中錯綜復雜的關系和近年來突發(fā)事件的防不勝防,代建制的風險管理問題一直是困擾投資項目發(fā)展的關鍵性難題。因此,對政府投資項目代建制風險管理的研究和探討具有非常大的理論和現(xiàn)實意義。本文結(jié)合國外和我國政府投資項目代建制的發(fā)展情況,從政府投資項目、風險管理、代建制的相關理論入手,按照代建項目風險識別、風險分析的風險管理邏輯體系,歸納出在具體的代建實踐過程中,出現(xiàn)的各種風險因素,并應用風險識別的方法,通過專家意見法分析風險因素,并歸類為一、二階因素層次結(jié)構(gòu),構(gòu)建了風險因素指標體系,再應用層次分析法和模糊綜合評價法,得到政府投資項目代建制風險管理模型。同時,通過案例實證分析,將此模型用于實際的代建項目,結(jié)論表明此模型是科學合理的,所得的結(jié)論也是可靠的。最后,文章根據(jù)理論和實踐的相結(jié)合的方式、以及模型所得的結(jié)論,提出有效的風險管理應對建議,為完善代建制風險管理制度和提高代建制風險管理效率提供一定的參考。
[Abstract]:With China's entry into WTO and the continuous development of the whole society and economy, especially the investment and construction of large-scale projects by the government, more and more attention has been paid to the construction mode of the projects. The new agent system model attracts a large number of experts and managers for its unique advantages. Due to the huge amount of money involved in government investment projects, strong social influence, and the intricate relationship between them and the unexpected events in recent years, the risk management problem of agent system has always been a key problem puzzling the development of investment projects. Therefore, it is of great theoretical and practical significance to study and discuss the risk management of government investment projects. This paper combines the development of foreign and Chinese government investment projects, starting with the relevant theories of government investment projects, risk management and agent construction, and according to the risk identification and risk analysis logic system of agent construction projects. All kinds of risk factors appear in the concrete practice of agency construction are summarized, and the risk factors are analyzed by expert opinion method, and classified into the first and second order factor hierarchy structure, and the index system of risk factors is constructed by using the method of risk identification, and the expert opinion method is used to analyze the risk factors, which are classified as the hierarchical structure of first and second order factors. Then the risk management model of government investment project is obtained by using AHP and fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method. At the same time, through the case study, the model is applied to the actual construction project. The conclusion shows that the model is scientific and reasonable, and the conclusion is also reliable. Finally, according to the combination of theory and practice, as well as the conclusion of the model, the paper puts forward some effective risk management suggestions, which provides a certain reference for perfecting the system of risk management and improving the efficiency of agent system risk management.
【學位授予單位】:西安科技大學
【學位級別】:碩士
【學位授予年份】:2015
【分類號】:F283
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本文編號:1986408

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