本文選題：城鎮(zhèn)化 + 農(nóng)民收入��； 參考：《吉林財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文

【摘要】：農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展是國民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的基礎(chǔ)，確保農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展水平穩(wěn)步增長，直接關(guān)系到國民經(jīng)濟(jì)和社會發(fā)展進(jìn)步的穩(wěn)定性。農(nóng)民問題是農(nóng)業(yè)發(fā)展的根結(jié)所在，而農(nóng)民收入是農(nóng)民問題的核心，農(nóng)民增收不僅是個經(jīng)濟(jì)問題，而且是個社會和政治問題，從而增加農(nóng)民收入具有深遠(yuǎn)的意義。農(nóng)民增收問題的根本癥結(jié)是如何轉(zhuǎn)移農(nóng)村大量的剩余勞動力，農(nóng)業(yè)勞動力已經(jīng)不單純是剩余，而是嚴(yán)重剩余。在當(dāng)前形勢下能有效、大量轉(zhuǎn)移和吸收農(nóng)業(yè)剩余勞動力的根本途徑只有促進(jìn)城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展水平，提高城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展水平是實現(xiàn)農(nóng)民增收，解決農(nóng)民問題的根本出發(fā)點。吉林省是我國農(nóng)業(yè)大省，在農(nóng)村剩余勞動力偏多，農(nóng)民收入水平偏低的背景下，對于城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展水平如何增加吉林省農(nóng)民收入的研究具有重要的理論和實踐意義。 在本論文中，以吉林省城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展水平促進(jìn)農(nóng)民收入增加作為研究對象。首先系統(tǒng)地闡述了城鎮(zhèn)化促進(jìn)農(nóng)民增收的理論基礎(chǔ)，然后利用數(shù)據(jù)對吉林省農(nóng)民收入的發(fā)展形式和結(jié)構(gòu)狀況進(jìn)行深度剖析，同時對城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展理論的基本概念做了界定，并采用全面的指標(biāo)體系利用因子分析法和熵值法對吉林省的城鎮(zhèn)化水平進(jìn)行了全面地測度，為本文實證分析部分的指標(biāo)選取工作提供了理論依據(jù)。然后分析了城鎮(zhèn)化如何促進(jìn)農(nóng)民增收。城鎮(zhèn)化通過轉(zhuǎn)移農(nóng)業(yè)剩余勞動力，節(jié)約大量土地，提高農(nóng)業(yè)勞動生產(chǎn)率；城鎮(zhèn)化的發(fā)展拉動了農(nóng)產(chǎn)品市場的有效需求，促進(jìn)農(nóng)業(yè)剩余勞動力的非正規(guī)就業(yè)；城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展有助于輻射帶動農(nóng)村經(jīng)濟(jì)繁榮發(fā)展。最后是實證分析，本文借助EViews5.0利用協(xié)整和誤差修正模型對二者的長短期關(guān)系進(jìn)行檢驗，為了進(jìn)一步研究城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展因素對農(nóng)民收入的具體影響，本文利用灰色斜率關(guān)聯(lián)度計算得出了城鎮(zhèn)化水平的五大因素與農(nóng)民收入的關(guān)聯(lián)度大小。 通過本文研究分析得到吉林省城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展與農(nóng)民增收存在長短期關(guān)系的結(jié)論，，城鎮(zhèn)化發(fā)展水平每提高一個單位，就會促進(jìn)農(nóng)民收入增加1.4127個單位，對于短期內(nèi)農(nóng)民收入的22.31%的偏離均衡的部分會得到修正。通過灰色斜率關(guān)聯(lián)度的計算，城鎮(zhèn)化的五大類因素對農(nóng)民收入都具有正向促進(jìn)關(guān)系，五大因素與農(nóng)民收入的關(guān)聯(lián)度大小順序依次為經(jīng)濟(jì)因素、社會因素、生活環(huán)境因素、人口因素、空間因素。
[Abstract]:Agricultural development is the basis of national economic development. To ensure the steady growth of agricultural development level is directly related to the stability of national economic and social development progress. The problem of farmers is the root of agricultural development, and the income of farmers is the core of the problem of farmers. Increasing farmers' income is not only an economic problem, but also a social and political issue, so it is of far-reaching significance to increase farmers' income. The fundamental crux of the problem of increasing farmers' income is how to transfer a large amount of surplus labor force in rural areas. The agricultural labor force is not merely surplus, but serious surplus. Under the current situation, the basic way to transfer and absorb agricultural surplus labor force in large quantities is to promote the development level of urbanization, and to raise the level of urbanization development is the fundamental starting point to realize the increase of farmers' income and solve the problems of peasants. Jilin Province is a big agricultural province in China. Under the background of rural surplus labor force and low income level of farmers, the research on how to increase the income of farmers in Jilin Province has important theoretical and practical significance. In this paper, the level of urbanization in Jilin Province to promote the increase of farmers' income as the research object. Firstly, this paper systematically expounds the theoretical basis of urbanization to promote farmers' income, then makes a deep analysis of the development form and structure of farmers' income in Jilin Province by using data, and defines the basic concepts of urbanization development theory. The comprehensive index system is used to measure the urbanization level of Jilin Province by factor analysis and entropy method, which provides a theoretical basis for the selection of indicators in the empirical analysis part of this paper. Then it analyzes how urbanization promotes the increase of farmers' income. By transferring agricultural surplus labor force, urbanization can save a lot of land and improve agricultural labor productivity, the development of urbanization has stimulated the effective demand of agricultural product market and promoted the informal employment of agricultural surplus labor force. The development of urbanization helps to promote the prosperity and development of rural economy. Finally, the empirical analysis, this paper uses EViews5.0 cointegration and error correction model to test the long-term and short-term relationship between the two, in order to further study the specific impact of urbanization development factors on farmers' income. In this paper, the correlation degree between the five factors of urbanization level and farmers' income is calculated by using grey slope correlation degree. Through the research and analysis of this paper, it is concluded that there is a long-term and short-term relationship between the urbanization development of Jilin Province and the increase of farmers' income. For every unit raised in the level of urbanization development, it will promote the increase of farmers' income by 1.4127 units. For the short-term peasant income of 22.31% deviation from the equilibrium part will be corrected. Through the calculation of grey slope correlation degree, the five kinds of factors of urbanization have positive promoting relation to farmers' income. The order of correlation degree between the five factors and farmers' income is economic factor, social factor, living environment factor, etc. Population factor, spatial factor.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：吉林財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號】：F299.27;F323.8

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