本文關(guān)鍵詞：基于PCA和DEA方法的山西省可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力的評(píng)價(jià)研究　出處：《山西大學(xué)》2014年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：自上世紀(jì)80年代以來,人類全面闡述了可持續(xù)發(fā)展的概念,更加重視人與自然環(huán)境之間的可持續(xù)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,可持續(xù)協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展問題是當(dāng)今世界研究的焦點(diǎn)問題。作為一種嶄新的發(fā)展觀念,可持續(xù)發(fā)展需要應(yīng)用到具體的區(qū)域。可持續(xù)發(fā)展是許多學(xué)科,如地理學(xué),生態(tài)學(xué),經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué),管理學(xué),社會(huì)學(xué)和哲學(xué),以及其他學(xué)科共同關(guān)心的重大問題之一。尋求可持續(xù)發(fā)展是人類發(fā)展的必然歸宿。文章根據(jù)山西省的實(shí)際情況,結(jié)合相關(guān)文獻(xiàn),建立了山西省可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系,采用相關(guān)的統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù),運(yùn)用主成分分析(PCA)和數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析(DEA)對(duì)山西省2002-2011年的可持續(xù)發(fā)展能力的變化趨勢進(jìn)行評(píng)價(jià),以期能為山西省制定相關(guān)的可持續(xù)發(fā)展對(duì)策和戰(zhàn)略提供參考。研究結(jié)果如下：(1)山西省2002-2011年勞動(dòng)力和資金投入綜合指數(shù)、資源消耗綜合指數(shù)、環(huán)境污染綜合指數(shù)、經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展綜合指數(shù)、社會(huì)發(fā)展綜合指數(shù)和人口發(fā)展綜合指數(shù)基本呈逐年上升趨勢,山西省應(yīng)進(jìn)一步提高資源利用效率,轉(zhuǎn)變經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方式。(2)基于DEA的綜合指標(biāo)評(píng)價(jià)顯示：2005、2007、2008、2009、2011年評(píng)價(jià)結(jié)果為DEA有效,2002、2003、2004、2006、2010年均為非技術(shù)有效,近十年內(nèi)有五年DEA有效說明在山西省發(fā)展過程中已經(jīng)注意到了整個(gè)社會(huì)-經(jīng)濟(jì).自然系統(tǒng)的協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展,設(shè)法提高投入產(chǎn)出的效率。(3)通過對(duì)6種不同方案的DEA評(píng)價(jià)分析可知,山西省在發(fā)展過程中環(huán)境因素對(duì)山西省的可持續(xù)發(fā)展起到的作用有限,所以山西省應(yīng)進(jìn)一步加強(qiáng)環(huán)境治理的力度。(4)提出山西省自然-社會(huì)-經(jīng)濟(jì)系統(tǒng)持續(xù)發(fā)展的建議：加大資金投入,加強(qiáng)環(huán)境污染治理力度；加快產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整的進(jìn)程；積極推行清潔生產(chǎn)和發(fā)展循環(huán)經(jīng)濟(jì)；提高人口素質(zhì),控制人口數(shù)量。
[Abstract]:Since -20s, human beings have comprehensively expounded the concept of sustainable development and paid more attention to the sustainable and coordinated development between human and natural environment. As a new concept of development, sustainable development needs to be applied to specific regions. Sustainable development is a lot of disciplines, such as geography and ecology. Economics, management, sociology and philosophy, as well as other disciplines of common concern one of the major issues. The pursuit of sustainable development is the inevitable destination of human development. According to the actual situation in Shanxi Province. Combined with relevant literature, the evaluation index system of sustainable development ability of Shanxi Province is established, and relevant statistical data are adopted. Principal component Analysis (PCA) and data Envelopment Analysis (DEAA) were used to evaluate the trend of sustainable development in Shanxi Province from 2002 to 2011. The research results are as follows: 1) the comprehensive index of labor force and capital investment in Shanxi Province from 2002 to 2011. The comprehensive index of resource consumption, environmental pollution, economic development, social development and population development are on the rise year by year. Shanxi Province should further improve the efficiency of resource utilization. The comprehensive index evaluation based on DEA shows that the evaluation result of DEA in 2011 is DEA. In 2010, all of them were non-technical effective. In the past ten years, five years of DEA have effectively explained that the coordinated development of the whole socio-economic and natural system has been noticed in the development process of Shanxi Province. Through the DEA evaluation and analysis of six different schemes, it can be seen that the environmental factors of Shanxi Province play a limited role in the sustainable development of Shanxi Province in the process of development. Therefore, Shanxi Province should further strengthen the intensity of environmental control. (4) put forward the suggestions of sustainable development of natural, social and economic system in Shanxi Province: increase the investment of funds, strengthen the intensity of environmental pollution control; Speeding up the process of industrial structure adjustment; Actively promoting cleaner production and developing circular economy; Improve the quality of the population, control the number of population.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山西大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2014
【分類號(hào)】：F127;X22

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