【摘要】：作為工業(yè)經(jīng)濟(jì)的主體,制造業(yè)是國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要支撐,其規(guī)模和水平及其在價(jià)值鏈分工中的地位,是一個(gè)國(guó)家或地區(qū)綜合實(shí)力的重要標(biāo)志。安徽正處在由工業(yè)化初期向工業(yè)化中后期過(guò)渡的關(guān)鍵時(shí)期,工業(yè)特別是制造業(yè)已成為安徽省經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的主導(dǎo)力量。安徽省制造業(yè)近年來(lái)迅速發(fā)展,但是長(zhǎng)期的低端擴(kuò)張帶來(lái)的產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩、資源過(guò)度消耗、環(huán)境污染等問(wèn)題日益嚴(yán)重,隨著勞動(dòng)力成本上升,人口紅利也逐漸削弱。在垂直專業(yè)化分工以及新常態(tài)的大背景下,安徽省推出《加快調(diào)結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)方式促升級(jí)行動(dòng)計(jì)劃》,努力推動(dòng)產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)。研究安徽省制造業(yè)的低端鎖定及其升級(jí)問(wèn)題,對(duì)促進(jìn)安徽省制造業(yè)的優(yōu)化升級(jí)和持續(xù)發(fā)展有著重要的現(xiàn)實(shí)意義。針對(duì)安徽省制造業(yè)的發(fā)展?fàn)顩r與問(wèn)題,運(yùn)用統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)分析安徽省制造業(yè)發(fā)展及其低端鎖定的現(xiàn)狀,判斷出安徽省制造業(yè)主要處于加工裝配等低附加值環(huán)節(jié),然后利用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型分析國(guó)內(nèi)價(jià)值鏈分工與全球價(jià)值鏈分工對(duì)其是否存在低端鎖定,并對(duì)影響其升級(jí)的主要因素進(jìn)行考察,進(jìn)而提出促進(jìn)安徽省制造業(yè)升級(jí)的思路與對(duì)策建議。論文共分為以下三個(gè)部分:首先,分析安徽省制造業(yè)發(fā)展及其低端鎖定的現(xiàn)狀。運(yùn)用統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù)描述安徽省制造業(yè)的總量、結(jié)構(gòu)與布局以及參與價(jià)值鏈分工的現(xiàn)狀,然后,分析安徽省制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)間升級(jí)與產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)升級(jí)的趨勢(shì)以及“微笑曲線”兩端環(huán)節(jié)的能力,重點(diǎn)是結(jié)合現(xiàn)狀分析,對(duì)安徽省制造業(yè)低端鎖定的現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行判斷,進(jìn)而闡明安徽省制造業(yè)價(jià)值鏈升級(jí)的必要性。結(jié)果表明,安徽省制造業(yè)近年來(lái)發(fā)展迅速,貿(mào)易額以及引進(jìn)的資金額大幅上漲,參與價(jià)值鏈分工的程度日益加深,但承接的主要是價(jià)值鏈的低端環(huán)節(jié);同時(shí),安徽省制造業(yè)產(chǎn)業(yè)間升級(jí)與產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)升級(jí)顯露了背離的趨勢(shì),技術(shù)和市場(chǎng)環(huán)節(jié)較弱;判斷出安徽省制造業(yè)陷入價(jià)值鏈低端。其次,實(shí)證分析安徽省制造業(yè)價(jià)值鏈低端鎖定及其升級(jí)的影響因素。運(yùn)用2001-2014年間安徽省制造業(yè)分行業(yè)的面板數(shù)據(jù),分析國(guó)內(nèi)價(jià)值鏈分工與全球價(jià)值鏈分工對(duì)其是否存在低端鎖定,并對(duì)影響其升級(jí)的主要因素進(jìn)行考察。結(jié)果表明,全球價(jià)值鏈分工參與程度對(duì)安徽省制造業(yè)并未表現(xiàn)出顯著的鎖定效應(yīng),國(guó)內(nèi)價(jià)值鏈分工對(duì)安徽省制造業(yè)的低端鎖定效應(yīng)已經(jīng)顯現(xiàn);關(guān)于影響制造業(yè)價(jià)值鏈升級(jí)的因素,生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展水平、企業(yè)規(guī)模、研發(fā)投入對(duì)安徽省制造業(yè)升級(jí)均有顯著的正向作用。最后,提出安徽省制造業(yè)升級(jí)的思路和促進(jìn)安徽省制造業(yè)升級(jí)的對(duì)策建議。
[Abstract]:As the main body of industrial economy, manufacturing industry is an important support for the development of national economy. Its scale and level, as well as its position in the division of labor in the value chain, is an important symbol of the comprehensive strength of a country or region. Anhui is in the key period of transition from the early industrialization to the late industrialization. Industry, especially the manufacturing industry, has become the leading force in the economic development of Anhui Province. The manufacturing industry of Anhui Province has developed rapidly in recent years, but the problems of overcapacity, excessive consumption of resources and environmental pollution brought by long-term low-end expansion are becoming more and more serious. With the increase of labor costs, the demographic dividend is gradually weakened. Under the background of vertical specialization and the new normal, Anhui Province launched the Plan of Action to accelerate the Transformation of structure and promote upgrading, in order to promote the upgrading of industry. It is of practical significance to study the low-end locking and upgrading of manufacturing industry in Anhui Province, which will promote the optimization and sustainable development of manufacturing industry in Anhui Province. In view of the development situation and problems of manufacturing industry in Anhui Province, using statistical data to analyze the current situation of manufacturing development and low end locking in Anhui Province, it is concluded that the manufacturing industry in Anhui Province is mainly in low value-added links such as processing and assembly. Then the panel data model is used to analyze whether there is a low-end lock between domestic value chain division and global value chain division, and to investigate the main factors that affect its upgrading. And then put forward the ideas and suggestions to promote the upgrading of manufacturing industry in Anhui Province. The thesis is divided into the following three parts: first, the development of manufacturing industry in Anhui Province and its low-end locking status. Using statistical data to describe the total amount, structure and layout of manufacturing industry in Anhui Province and the current situation of participating in the division of labor in value chain. Then, the paper analyzes the trend of upgrading and intra-industry upgrading of manufacturing industry in Anhui Province and the ability of the two ends of the "smile curve". The key point is to judge the current situation of low end locking of manufacturing industry in Anhui Province, and then clarify the necessity of upgrading the value chain of manufacturing industry in Anhui Province. The results show that the manufacturing industry of Anhui Province has developed rapidly in recent years, the volume of trade and the amount of capital imported have increased substantially, and the degree of participation in the division of labor in the value chain has deepened day by day, but the main undertaking is the low end of the value chain. The inter-industry upgrading and intra-industry upgrading of manufacturing industry in Anhui Province show the trend of deviation, the technical and market links are weak, and it is judged that the manufacturing industry in Anhui Province is in the low end of the value chain. Secondly, empirical analysis of Anhui Province manufacturing value chain low-end locking and upgrading factors. Based on the panel data of manufacturing industry in Anhui province from 2001 to 2014, this paper analyzes whether there is a low end lock between domestic value chain division and global value chain division, and investigates the main factors that affect its upgrading. The results show that the degree of participation in global value chain division has no significant lock-in effect on Anhui manufacturing industry, and the low end locking effect of domestic value chain division on Anhui manufacturing industry has been shown. The factors affecting the upgrading of manufacturing value chain, the development level of producer services, the scale of enterprises and the investment of R & D have significant positive effects on the upgrading of manufacturing industry in Anhui Province. Finally, the author puts forward the idea of upgrading the manufacturing industry in Anhui Province and the countermeasures and suggestions to promote the upgrading of the manufacturing industry in Anhui Province.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：安徽財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號(hào)】：F427

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