本文選題：旅游專業(yè)化 + 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長　； 參考：《西南科技大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文

【摘要】：在全球經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化發(fā)展態(tài)勢下,旅游業(yè)作為一個新興產(chǎn)業(yè)在快速發(fā)展,我國政府在2012年提出將旅游業(yè)作為我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的一個戰(zhàn)略性支柱產(chǎn)業(yè),此后我國相繼有29個省份提出要建設(shè)旅游專業(yè)化大省,將旅游業(yè)作為振興本省經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的支柱性產(chǎn)業(yè),但是,我國各省在旅游資源分布和經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展方面均存在很大的異質(zhì)性,是否所有省份都適宜實施旅游專業(yè)化發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,這是一個具有現(xiàn)實意義的問題,本文將運(yùn)用理論知識對此問題進(jìn)行分析。本文首先運(yùn)用計量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)中格蘭杰因果關(guān)系分析法對1990-2013年間我國旅游總收入和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行了實證分析,證明了短期內(nèi)我國旅游業(yè)發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的因果關(guān)系不明顯,但是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展在促進(jìn)旅游業(yè)發(fā)展的單向因果關(guān)系明顯。隨后,本文以我國30個省份(重慶市除外)作為研究對象,運(yùn)用計量經(jīng)濟(jì)格蘭杰因果關(guān)系分析法對1994-2013年間我國各省份的旅游外匯收入與地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行實證研究,這對解決我國哪些省份適應(yīng)實施旅游專業(yè)化發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略提供了理論依據(jù),對優(yōu)化我國各省份旅游專業(yè)化以及實現(xiàn)我國旅游業(yè)發(fā)展與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展具有重要的理論意義和實際意義。通過研究,本文認(rèn)為我國有15個省份旅游外匯收入與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間存在因果關(guān)系,適應(yīng)實施旅游專業(yè)化發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,有13個省份旅游外匯收入不是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的因果關(guān)系,所以暫時還不適應(yīng)實施旅游專業(yè)化發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,剩下的2個省份兩者之間沒有明顯的因果關(guān)系。最后針對實證分析的結(jié)果提出我國各省份政府在實施旅游專業(yè)化發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略時應(yīng)該結(jié)合本省自身的特點制定適合自身旅游業(yè)發(fā)展的政策。
[Abstract]:With the development of global economic integration, tourism is developing rapidly as a new industry. In 2012, our government proposed that tourism should be regarded as a strategic pillar industry of China's economic growth. Since then, 29 provinces in China have proposed to build a major province of tourism specialization, and regard tourism as a pillar industry for revitalizing their economic growth. However, there is a great heterogeneity in the distribution of tourism resources and economic development in all provinces of our country. Whether it is appropriate for all provinces to implement the strategy of tourism specialization development is a question of practical significance. This paper will use theoretical knowledge to analyze this problem. This paper first uses the Granger causality analysis method in econometrics to analyze the relationship between total tourism income and economic growth in China from 1990 to 2013. It is proved that the causal relationship between tourism development and economic growth is not obvious in the short term, but the one-way causality between economic development and tourism development is obvious. Then, this paper takes 30 provinces (except Chongqing) as the research object, using the econometric Granger causality analysis method to study the relationship between the tourism foreign exchange income and the regional economic growth of the provinces in China from 1994 to 2013. This provides a theoretical basis for solving which provinces in China adapt to the implementation of the tourism specialization development strategy. It is of great theoretical and practical significance to optimize the tourism specialization in various provinces of China and to realize the harmonious development between tourism development and economic growth in China. Through the research, this paper holds that there is a causal relationship between tourism foreign exchange income and economic growth in 15 provinces of China, which is suitable for the implementation of tourism specialization development strategy, and tourism foreign exchange income is not the causality of economic growth in 13 provinces. Therefore, it is not suitable for the implementation of tourism professional development strategy for the time being, and there is no obvious causality between the remaining two provinces. Finally, according to the results of the empirical analysis, the author points out that the provincial governments should formulate policies suitable for their own tourism development in light of their own characteristics when implementing the tourism specialization development strategy.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F259.27
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本文編號：2098353