本文選題：貨幣政策 + 空間效應��； 參考：《內(nèi)蒙古財經(jīng)大學》2016年碩士論文

【摘要】：貨幣政策是國家進行宏觀經(jīng)濟調(diào)控的核心手段,對政府宏觀經(jīng)濟的調(diào)節(jié)發(fā)揮著重要作用,關于貨幣政策的效應研究長期以來都受到國內(nèi)外眾多學者的廣泛關注。就目前研究現(xiàn)狀來說,主要是基于宏觀經(jīng)濟的視角,以各地區(qū)同質(zhì)性為假設前提,通過不同的貨幣政策工具及傳導途徑來研究貨幣政策的有效性。但是,對貨幣政策區(qū)域因素即貨幣政策空間效應的研究仍有較大空白。自中國改革開放推行市場經(jīng)濟以來,一直在全國范圍內(nèi)實施高度集中統(tǒng)一的貨幣政策。隨著經(jīng)濟總量的快速增長及經(jīng)濟結構的不斷調(diào)整,各地區(qū)經(jīng)濟水平、產(chǎn)業(yè)結構、金融體系建設等方面的差異逐步顯現(xiàn),而這些差距及差異又直接關系到貨幣政策效果的發(fā)揮,貨幣政策的空間效應凸顯,造成了貨幣政策的實施力度和目標控制難以精準把握。因此,研究掌握貨幣政策的空間效應對于貨幣政策的制定、實施、評價、調(diào)整等具有重要的現(xiàn)實意義。不僅有利于從空間層面探尋貨幣政策效果減損的深層原因;而且有助于政策制定者綜合考量多種政策工具,促進地區(qū)健康發(fā)展。首先,本文運用最優(yōu)貨幣區(qū)的相關判斷標準,對中國貨幣政策是否存在空間效應進行初步檢驗,從理論上得出中國存在貨幣政策效應的空間差異。其次,運用統(tǒng)計分析和實證分析對貨幣政策的空間效應展開論證,綜合考察了時滯的地區(qū)差異及政策效果的地區(qū)差異兩方面內(nèi)容。研究結果表明:從時滯差異角度,各地區(qū)對貨幣政策的反應時滯存在地域差異,東部時滯最短,政策效果最好,中、西部居中,東北部時滯最長;從地區(qū)差異角度,構造31個省份的變系數(shù)固定效應面板數(shù)據(jù)模型展開分析,全國高度統(tǒng)一的貨幣政策傳導至各個省份后,會對各省份經(jīng)濟運行帶來方向各異、程度各異的影響,貨幣政策在空間層面具有顯著差異性,貨幣政策對于東部地區(qū)能夠起到更好的政策效果,但對東北地區(qū)產(chǎn)生負向影響,對中部地區(qū)的山西和河南產(chǎn)生最為嚴重的負向作用。在此基礎上,本文從經(jīng)濟金融環(huán)境、貨幣供應量、政策渠道及微觀主體行為四個角度分析了引起貨幣政策地區(qū)差異的原因。最后,結合貨幣政策帶來的社會成本——區(qū)域經(jīng)濟差距的擴大,提出了在制定政策時應適時搭配具有針對性的產(chǎn)業(yè)政策、金融政策等宏觀調(diào)控手段,不斷完善金融落后地區(qū)的金融體系,展開區(qū)域差別化的貨幣政策工具探索等政策建議,逐步縮小貨幣政策空間效應帶來的問題。
[Abstract]:Monetary policy is the core means of national macroeconomic regulation and control, and plays an important role in the regulation of government macro-economy. The study on the effect of monetary policy has long been widely concerned by many scholars at home and abroad. As far as the present research situation is concerned, it mainly studies the effectiveness of monetary policy through different monetary policy tools and transmission channels, based on the macro-economic perspective and taking the homogeneity of different regions as the premise. However, there is still a large gap in the study of the regional factors of monetary policy, I. E. the spatial effect of monetary policy. Since the reform and opening to the outside world, China has implemented a highly centralized and unified monetary policy throughout the country. With the rapid growth of economic aggregate and the constant adjustment of economic structure, the differences in economic level, industrial structure, financial system construction and so on gradually appear in various regions, and these differences and differences are directly related to the effectiveness of monetary policy. The spatial effect of monetary policy is prominent, which makes it difficult to accurately grasp the enforcement and target control of monetary policy. Therefore, it is of great practical significance to study and master the spatial effect of monetary policy for the formulation, implementation, evaluation and adjustment of monetary policy. It is not only helpful to probe into the deep reasons of the effect of monetary policy impairment from the spatial level, but also helpful for the policy makers to consider various policy tools comprehensively and promote the healthy development of the region. First of all, this paper makes a preliminary test on the spatial effect of China's monetary policy by using the relevant criteria of the optimal currency area, and draws a conclusion that there is a spatial difference in the monetary policy effect in China. Secondly, the spatial effect of monetary policy is demonstrated by statistical analysis and empirical analysis. The results show that: from the point of time delay difference, there are regional differences in regional response time delay to monetary policy, the eastern region has the shortest delay, the policy effect is the best, the middle, the west is the center, and the northeast is the longest. The data model of variable coefficient fixed effect panel of 31 provinces is constructed and analyzed. After the highly unified monetary policy is transmitted to each province, it will bring different directions and different degrees of influence to the economic operation of each province. Monetary policy has significant difference in spatial level, monetary policy can play a better policy effect on the eastern region, but it has a negative impact on the Northeast region, and the most serious negative effect on Shanxi and Henan in the central region. On this basis, this paper analyzes the causes of regional differences in monetary policy from the four angles of economic and financial environment, money supply, policy channels and microcosmic behavior. Finally, combined with the social cost brought by monetary policy-the widening of regional economic gap, it is proposed that the policy should be accompanied by targeted industrial policies, financial policies, and other macroeconomic control measures. We should constantly improve the financial system in the backward regions, explore regional differential monetary policy tools, and gradually reduce the problems caused by the spatial effects of monetary policies.
【學位授予單位】：內(nèi)蒙古財經(jīng)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：F822.0

【相似文獻】

相關期刊論文 前10條

1 闕方平,李明理;論金融監(jiān)管對貨幣政策的支撐與抑制[J];財貿(mào)經(jīng)濟;2000年07期

2 喬清彥;論我國貨幣政策工具的選擇及對策[J];工業(yè)技術經(jīng)濟;2000年01期

3 郭中海,李利英;制約我國貨幣政策的因素及對策建議[J];金融理論與實踐;2000年02期

4 王自力;論改革與發(fā)展中的有效貨幣政策[J];南方經(jīng)濟;2000年11期

5 王明津;用鄧小平的金融觀點看我國目前的貨幣政策[J];上海金融;2000年05期

6 王錦煜,徐宏;實施貨幣政策央行基層行大有可為[J];上海金融;2000年07期

7 戴相龍;繼續(xù)實行穩(wěn)健的貨幣政策[J];中國金融;2000年10期

8 陳永明;推行區(qū)域貨幣政策是實施西北大開發(fā)戰(zhàn)略的現(xiàn)實選擇[J];甘肅金融;2000年05期

9 ;繼續(xù)執(zhí)行穩(wěn)健的貨幣政策[J];黑龍江金融;2000年08期

10 陳炳才;對我國貨幣政策一些問題的思考[J];海南金融;2000年08期

相關會議論文 前10條

1 張帥;徐長生;;貨幣狀況指數(shù):我國貨幣政策的信息指示器[A];2009年全國博士生學術會議論文集[C];2009年

2 高珂;時光;;2008年我國貨幣政策出現(xiàn)倒‘V’型轉(zhuǎn)變原因淺析[A];中國會計學會審計專業(yè)委員會2010年學術年會論文集[C];2010年

3 許晉波;;新時期我國的貨幣政策[A];論中國式的社會主義現(xiàn)代化[C];2002年

4 徐洪才;;2012年貨幣政策及金融改革展望[A];中國經(jīng)濟年會（2011-2012）會刊[C];2012年

5 李，

本文編號：2013591