新疆旅游業(yè)發(fā)展效率研究
本文選題:旅游業(yè) 切入點(diǎn):效率 出處:《石河子大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文
【摘要】:旅游在新疆社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)及精準(zhǔn)扶貧攻堅(jiān)中發(fā)揮著重要作用。受經(jīng)濟(jì)水平、交通基礎(chǔ)設(shè)施、管理水平等因素制約,新疆旅游業(yè)發(fā)展效率水平不高、區(qū)域旅游經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展不平衡。為了推動(dòng)旅游業(yè)向集約類方向的加速轉(zhuǎn)變,實(shí)現(xiàn)新疆旅游業(yè)的均衡持續(xù)發(fā)展,對(duì)其效率問(wèn)題的研究就非常重要。通過(guò)實(shí)證分析新疆各地州旅游業(yè)發(fā)展效率及其時(shí)空分異規(guī)律,研究影響新疆旅游業(yè)發(fā)展效率的主客觀因素,探索提高旅游業(yè)發(fā)展效率的科學(xué)途徑和有效措施,可為推進(jìn)新疆旅游業(yè)健康協(xié)調(diào)發(fā)展提供理論依據(jù)。本文根據(jù)旅游經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)和可持續(xù)發(fā)展理論,結(jié)合國(guó)內(nèi)外相關(guān)研究成果,用統(tǒng)計(jì)分析及空間分析等方法,選擇旅行社數(shù)量等5種投入指標(biāo)和旅游總收入、入境旅游總?cè)舜?種產(chǎn)出指標(biāo),構(gòu)建了綜合性區(qū)域旅游業(yè)發(fā)展效率評(píng)價(jià)指標(biāo)體系,并運(yùn)用DEA-BCC模型,對(duì)新疆15個(gè)地州的旅游業(yè)發(fā)展效率進(jìn)行測(cè)算,從動(dòng)態(tài)發(fā)展、空間分析兩個(gè)層面對(duì)旅游業(yè)發(fā)展綜合效率和分解效率等三個(gè)維度進(jìn)行了綜合評(píng)價(jià),根據(jù)分析結(jié)果及存在問(wèn)題,提出了對(duì)提升旅游業(yè)發(fā)展效率的對(duì)策措施。主要結(jié)論如下:(1)在研究期內(nèi),只有吐魯番和塔城的旅游綜合效率八年來(lái)保持了DEA模型的最優(yōu)水平,烏魯木齊的綜合效率較為穩(wěn)定,保持在0.9以上,說(shuō)明新疆各地州的效率水平一般。(2)新疆旅游業(yè)的投入冗余情況比較嚴(yán)重。其中阿勒泰、喀什等八個(gè)地州存在比較嚴(yán)重的投入冗余情況。在所有投入要素中,旅游業(yè)從業(yè)人員的要素投入冗余最少。(3)新疆旅游業(yè)發(fā)展各項(xiàng)效率在波動(dòng)中下降,極低值出現(xiàn)在2009和2014年。并且在八年間,純技術(shù)效率對(duì)綜合效率的制約作用更強(qiáng)。對(duì)于單個(gè)地州來(lái)說(shuō),純技術(shù)效率和規(guī)模效率的變化均分為兩種情況:效率保持不變或者在小范圍內(nèi)波動(dòng);跳躍式變化。出現(xiàn)這種狀態(tài)主要是受2008年金融危機(jī)、2009年7·5事件、2013年及之后發(fā)生的暴恐事件的影響,新疆旅游業(yè)發(fā)展接連受挫,不同地州的基礎(chǔ)條件不同,所受危機(jī)事件的影響程度不同。(4)新疆旅游業(yè)發(fā)展各項(xiàng)效率的空間特征:地帶效應(yīng),各效率在北中南三大地帶的差異明顯。綜合效率表現(xiàn)出天山沿線大于北部和南部大于塔里木盆地沿線;純技術(shù)有效的范圍較廣,天山沿線、北部和南部大于塔里木盆地沿線,規(guī)模效率出現(xiàn)連片分布區(qū)?臻g方向性,各項(xiàng)效率的重心有規(guī)律的轉(zhuǎn)移。綜合效率與規(guī)模效率的高值重心向北疆轉(zhuǎn)移,低值重心向南疆轉(zhuǎn)移。(5)在未來(lái)旅游業(yè)的發(fā)展過(guò)程中,新疆主要從下面四個(gè)方面優(yōu)化新疆旅游業(yè)發(fā)展效率:基礎(chǔ)要素、技術(shù)與管理創(chuàng)新、調(diào)整產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)和要素投入水平、制度安排方面。
[Abstract]:Tourism plays an important role in Xinjiang's social economy and precision poverty alleviation. Restricted by factors such as economic level, transportation infrastructure and management level, the level of tourism development efficiency in Xinjiang is not high. In order to accelerate the transformation of tourism to intensive direction and realize the balanced and sustainable development of tourism in Xinjiang, It is very important to study the efficiency of tourism development in Xinjiang. Through the empirical analysis of tourism development efficiency and its temporal and spatial differentiation law in various states of Xinjiang, the subjective and objective factors affecting the efficiency of tourism development in Xinjiang are studied. To explore the scientific approaches and effective measures to improve the efficiency of tourism development can provide a theoretical basis for promoting the healthy and coordinated development of tourism in Xinjiang. According to the theories of tourism economics and sustainable development, this paper combines the relevant research results at home and abroad. With the methods of statistical analysis and spatial analysis, this paper selects five kinds of input indexes such as the number of travel agencies and total tourist income, and two kinds of output indexes of the total number of inbound tourism, and constructs the evaluation index system of comprehensive regional tourism development efficiency. Using DEA-BCC model, the paper calculates the tourism development efficiency of 15 counties in Xinjiang, and evaluates the comprehensive efficiency and decomposition efficiency of tourism development from two aspects of dynamic development and spatial analysis. According to the analysis results and existing problems, this paper puts forward countermeasures and measures to improve the efficiency of tourism development. The main conclusions are as follows: during the research period, only Turpan and Tacheng have maintained the optimal level of DEA model for the overall efficiency of tourism in the past eight years. The overall efficiency of Urumqi is relatively stable and remains above 0.9, indicating that the level of efficiency in all states in Xinjiang is generally. 2) the situation of redundancy in Xinjiang tourism investment is quite serious. Among them, Altay, Kashi and other eight prefectures have relatively serious input redundancy. Of all the input elements, the factor input redundancy of tourism employees is the least.) the efficiency of tourism development in Xinjiang decreases in fluctuation. Very low values occurred in 2009 and 2014. And in eight years, pure technical efficiency had a greater constraint on overall efficiency. For individual states, The change of pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency can be divided into two situations: the efficiency remains unchanged or fluctuates in a small range; This state of affairs was mainly affected by the financial crisis of 2008, the July 5 incident on 2009, the violent terrorist incident that occurred on 2013 and after, the tourism industry development in Xinjiang was thwarted one after another, and the basic conditions of different states were different. (4) the spatial characteristics of tourism development efficiency in Xinjiang: zone effect, The comprehensive efficiency shows that the Tianshan area is larger than the northern part and the southern part is larger than the Tarim basin, and the range of pure technical effectiveness is wider, along the Tianshan Mountains and in the north and south than along the Tarim basin, and the total efficiency is higher in the north and south than that in the Tarim basin. The distribution area of scale efficiency is continuous, spatial directionality, the center of gravity of each efficiency is shifted regularly. The high value center of gravity of comprehensive efficiency and scale efficiency transfers to north Xinjiang, and the center of gravity of low value transfers to south Xinjiang.) in the process of developing tourism in the future, Xinjiang mainly optimizes the efficiency of Xinjiang tourism development from the following four aspects: basic elements, technological and management innovation, adjustment of industrial structure and input level of elements, and institutional arrangements.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:石河子大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F592.7
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