本文關(guān)鍵詞： 結(jié)構(gòu)紅利 變系數(shù)模型 貢獻(xiàn)度測(cè)算　出處：《浙江工商大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：改革開放以來(lái),我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)保持了 30多年的快速增長(zhǎng),取得了舉世矚目的成就。經(jīng)過(guò)長(zhǎng)期的高速增長(zhǎng)之后,我國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展呈現(xiàn)出了一些新的態(tài)勢(shì),特別是近年來(lái),我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)增速放緩,在部分行業(yè)出現(xiàn)嚴(yán)重產(chǎn)能過(guò)剩的同時(shí),現(xiàn)代生產(chǎn)服務(wù)業(yè)、生活服務(wù)業(yè)出現(xiàn)了快速的增長(zhǎng)。不同行業(yè)發(fā)展環(huán)境存在巨大差別,促使我國(guó)亟需對(duì)產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)進(jìn)行調(diào)整。產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整不僅是三次產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整,更表現(xiàn)為各產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)的調(diào)整,隨著服務(wù)業(yè)在國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)中的比重不斷上升,服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展成為了研究的熱點(diǎn)。服務(wù)業(yè)內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)和服務(wù)業(yè)增長(zhǎng)是服務(wù)業(yè)研究的兩個(gè)重要領(lǐng)域,眾多學(xué)者對(duì)這兩個(gè)領(lǐng)域分別進(jìn)行了較多的研究,但是對(duì)兩者之間關(guān)系的研究卻相對(duì)較少。同時(shí),結(jié)構(gòu)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)派認(rèn)為結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)會(huì)產(chǎn)生結(jié)構(gòu)紅利,結(jié)構(gòu)紅利主要指要素結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的促進(jìn)作用�，F(xiàn)有結(jié)構(gòu)紅利的研究主要集中于對(duì)國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)整體的分析上,那么服務(wù)業(yè)內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)存在結(jié)構(gòu)紅利嗎?結(jié)構(gòu)紅利對(duì)服務(wù)業(yè)增長(zhǎng)有多大的促進(jìn)作用?結(jié)構(gòu)紅利應(yīng)該如何測(cè)算?本文從以上問(wèn)題出發(fā),提出了以生產(chǎn)函數(shù)為基礎(chǔ)的結(jié)構(gòu)紅利測(cè)算方法,并選擇經(jīng)濟(jì)較為發(fā)達(dá)的浙江省作為研究對(duì)象,對(duì)浙江省服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀、服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化與產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)的關(guān)系、結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)對(duì)浙江省服務(wù)業(yè)增長(zhǎng)貢獻(xiàn)度等方面進(jìn)行了研究。本文主要從以下三個(gè)方面對(duì)浙江省服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展進(jìn)行了分析研究:首先,從服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)出總量、內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)的現(xiàn)狀和發(fā)展趨勢(shì)入手,對(duì)浙江省和國(guó)外服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展進(jìn)行了對(duì)比分析。并通過(guò)大量的描述性統(tǒng)計(jì)分析,清晰地反映了浙江省服務(wù)業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀。其次,本文以服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)規(guī)律為理論基礎(chǔ),構(gòu)建了服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)優(yōu)化指標(biāo),即服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高級(jí)化指標(biāo)。通過(guò)協(xié)整檢驗(yàn)、格蘭杰因果檢驗(yàn),對(duì)浙江省服務(wù)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)高級(jí)化和服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)之間的關(guān)系進(jìn)行分析。最后,面對(duì)目前產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)貢獻(xiàn)度的研究文獻(xiàn)較多,卻缺乏較好測(cè)算方法的情況,本文從生產(chǎn)函數(shù)模型角度提出了測(cè)算結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的測(cè)算方法。本部分從傳統(tǒng)假定下的生產(chǎn)函數(shù)模型出發(fā),創(chuàng)造性的構(gòu)造了雙效應(yīng)生產(chǎn)函數(shù)模型,該模型同時(shí)考慮了技術(shù)水平和要素產(chǎn)出彈性的時(shí)間效應(yīng)和個(gè)體效應(yīng),從而更加客觀的反映了服務(wù)行業(yè)技術(shù)水平、要素產(chǎn)出彈性的時(shí)變性和行業(yè)異質(zhì)性�；陔p效應(yīng)生產(chǎn)函數(shù)模型,本文提出了結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)對(duì)服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)貢獻(xiàn)度測(cè)算的新方法,將產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)分解為內(nèi)涵型經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)、外延型經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)和結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)對(duì)產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)的促進(jìn)效應(yīng)。通過(guò)實(shí)證分析發(fā)現(xiàn),服務(wù)業(yè)內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu)變動(dòng)對(duì)浙江省服務(wù)業(yè)產(chǎn)出增長(zhǎng)存在顯著的促進(jìn)作用。
[Abstract]:Since the reform and opening up, China's economy has maintained rapid growth in the past 30 years, has made remarkable achievements. After a long period of rapid growth, China's economy developed some new trend, especially in recent years, China's economic growth slowed in some industries appear serious excess capacity at the same time, modern the production service industry, life service industry has seen a rapid growth. There is a huge difference between different industry development, China should promote the adjustment of the industrial structure. Industrial structure adjustment is not only three times the adjustment of industrial structure, but also the performance of internal industrial structure adjustment, with the proportion of the service industry in the national economy is rising the development of the service industry, has become a hot research topic. The service industry internal structure change and the growth of service industry are two important fields of service industry, many scholars respectively in these two areas A lot of research, but the research on the relationship between them is relatively small. At the same time, the structure of economics that structural changes will produce structure dividend, dividend structure mainly refers to the change of structure elements to promote economic growth. The existing structure bonus mainly focused on analysis of the whole national economy, so the service industry structure bonus changes in the internal structure? Structure bonus large role in promoting the growth of service industry structure? The bonus should be measurement? This paper starting from the above problems, put forward the structure of the red profit calculation method based on production function, and select the more economically developed Zhejiang Province as the research object, the development status of the service industry in Zhejiang province. Relationship between the growth of service industry structure optimization and output, studied the structure change on the growth of service industry in Zhejiang province contribution. This article mainly from the following three Study on development of service industry in Zhejiang Province: first of all, from the service industry output, starting with the current situation and development trend of the internal structure of Zhejiang Province, and the foreign service industry development are analyzed. And through the descriptive statistical analysis of a large number of development clearly reflect the service industry in Zhejiang Province. Secondly, based on the service industry structure changes as the theoretical basis, constructing the optimization index structure of service industry, the service industry structure level index. Through cointegration test, Grainger causality test, the relationship between the growth of service industry in Zhejiang province advanced structure and service output were analyzed. Finally, the face of the current industrial structure of the research literature more contribution to economic growth, but the lack of good methods, it proposes the measurement structure change on the calculation methods of economic growth. From the point of view of the production function model This part of the production function model from the traditional assumption, creatively constructed dual effect production function model, the model considering the time effect of the technical level and the output elasticity of factors and individual effects, and thus more objectively reflects the technical level of the service industry, time-varying and industry heterogeneity of output elasticity of factors. Dual effect based on the production function model, this paper proposes a new method of calculating degree of service industry output growth contribution of structural change, decomposes output growth into intensive economic growth and extensive economic growth and structural change of output growth promoting effect. Through the empirical analysis found that there is a significant promoting effect on the output growth of service industry in Zhejiang province the internal structure of the service industry.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：浙江工商大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F719

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