本文關(guān)鍵詞： 京津冀地區(qū) 能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu) 碳排放 碳足跡　出處：《天津大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

【摘要】：本文以京津冀地區(qū)自2000年至2013年的經(jīng)濟(jì)和能源消費(fèi)數(shù)據(jù)作為研究的對象。首先,本文整理和分析京津冀三地在2000-2013年間的能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu),并比較了地區(qū)差異;其次,以北京市為例,研究其分產(chǎn)業(yè)的能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)和變化特征;第三,根據(jù)IPCC方法對京津冀地區(qū)的碳排放變化特征、能源消費(fèi)強(qiáng)度和碳排放強(qiáng)度等指標(biāo)的變化規(guī)律進(jìn)行研究和分析。研究結(jié)果表明:(1)北京市的能源消費(fèi)總量、三大行業(yè)能源消費(fèi)量和居民能源消費(fèi)量在2000-2012年均呈現(xiàn)逐年增加的趨勢,其中:煤炭、原油、電力、天然氣是主要能源消費(fèi)類型。煤炭、焦炭和燃料油的消費(fèi)量較之前有所下降,其余能源類型的消費(fèi)量均顯著上漲,其中天然氣和電力的消費(fèi)增速最為明顯。北京市的碳排放總量略有增加,由2000年的2891萬噸增長到2012年的3242萬噸,煤炭在碳排放構(gòu)成中比例由40%下降到20%。北京市能源消費(fèi)強(qiáng)度與碳排強(qiáng)度呈逐年快速下降的態(tài)勢,分別降至0.40tce/萬元和0.18t/萬元,處于全國領(lǐng)先水平。北京市的碳足跡總體呈緩慢增長趨勢,但增速逐年放緩,并在2011年首次實(shí)現(xiàn)碳足跡的負(fù)增長。(2)天津市能源消費(fèi)總量在統(tǒng)計(jì)期間持續(xù)快速增長,煤炭、原油和電力是天津市最主要的能源消費(fèi)類型,其中煤炭的消費(fèi)比重一直在45%以上。天津市各能源類型在統(tǒng)計(jì)期間均出現(xiàn)了增長,其中電力和天然氣的增速最為顯著,煤炭消費(fèi)增速緩慢,導(dǎo)致其在消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)中的比重逐年下降。天津市碳排放總量由2000年的2608萬噸增長到2013年的6827萬噸,其中占據(jù)主導(dǎo)地位的能源是煤炭。天津市碳排放量的增速已明顯放緩,而能源消費(fèi)強(qiáng)度與碳排放強(qiáng)度分別以7.33%和8.53%的年均下降率持續(xù)降低。天津市的碳足跡數(shù)據(jù)以7.89%的年均增長率不斷上升。(3)河北省的能源消費(fèi)總量在2000-2012年呈逐年上升的趨勢,年均增速為7.95%。煤炭在能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)占據(jù)絕對主導(dǎo)地位,所有能源類型的消費(fèi)量均有所上升。河北省碳排放量由2000年的8278萬噸增長到2012年的22253萬噸,其中煤炭消費(fèi)導(dǎo)致的碳排放量占總排放量的90%。隨著地區(qū)生產(chǎn)總值的增長,河北省能源消費(fèi)強(qiáng)度與碳排放強(qiáng)度表現(xiàn)為逐年下降的趨勢,但下降速率小于GDP的的增長速度,河北省距離實(shí)現(xiàn)碳排放的負(fù)增長還有相當(dāng)距離。河北省碳足跡持續(xù)增加,年均增速為8.59%,快于能源消費(fèi)增速。(4)京津冀地區(qū)是傳統(tǒng)的輕重工業(yè)基地,煤炭在能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)中比重大,因此導(dǎo)致碳排放量增速居高不下,環(huán)境污染問題突出,這是京津冀地區(qū)節(jié)能減排所面臨的現(xiàn)實(shí)困境。區(qū)域內(nèi)的節(jié)能減排工作依賴于產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和技術(shù)升級、能源消費(fèi)結(jié)構(gòu)調(diào)整和利用效率提高。政府應(yīng)協(xié)調(diào)好低碳經(jīng)濟(jì)與原有產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)間的協(xié)調(diào)整合,建立符合地區(qū)的持續(xù)健康發(fā)展模式
[Abstract]:In this paper, the economic and energy consumption data from 2000 to 2013 in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region are taken as the research object. This paper analyzes the energy consumption structure of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei from 2000 to 2013, and compares the regional differences. Secondly, taking Beijing as an example, the paper studies the energy consumption structure and changing characteristics of its industries. Thirdly, according to the IPCC method, the change characteristics of carbon emissions in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region are analyzed. The changes of energy consumption intensity and carbon emission intensity were studied and analyzed. Energy consumption of three major industries and energy consumption of residents in 2000-2012 showed an increasing trend year by year, among them: coal, crude oil, electricity, natural gas are the main types of energy consumption. Coal. The consumption of coke and fuel oil was lower than before, and the consumption of other energy types increased significantly, with the consumption of natural gas and electricity the most obvious. The total amount of carbon emissions in Beijing increased slightly. From 28.91 million tons in 2000 to 32.42 million tons in 2012. The proportion of coal in the composition of carbon emissions decreased from 40% to 20. The intensity of energy consumption and carbon emission in Beijing decreased rapidly year by year. To 0.40tce10,000 yuan and 0.18t / 10,000 yuan respectively, it is the leading level in the whole country. The carbon footprint of Beijing has a slow growth trend, but the growth rate is slowing year by year. In 2011, the negative growth of carbon footprint was realized for the first time.) the total energy consumption in Tianjin continued to grow rapidly during the statistical period. Coal, crude oil and electricity are the most important types of energy consumption in Tianjin. Among them, the proportion of coal consumption has been more than 45%. The energy types in Tianjin have increased during the statistical period, among which electricity and natural gas growth rate is the most significant, coal consumption growth rate is slow. The total carbon emissions in Tianjin increased from 26.08 million tons in 2000 to 68.27 million tons in 2013. The dominant energy source is coal. The growth rate of Tianjin's carbon emissions has slowed markedly. The energy consumption intensity and carbon emission intensity decreased continuously by 7.33% and 8.53%, respectively. The carbon footprint data of Tianjin increased by 7.89% per year. The total energy consumption in Hebei Province increased year by year from 2000 to 2012. The average annual growth rate is 7.95. Coal occupies an absolute dominant position in the energy consumption structure. Consumption of all energy types has risen. Hebei's carbon emissions rose from 82.78 million tonnes in 2000 to 222.53 million tonnes in 2012. The carbon emissions caused by coal consumption account for 90% of the total emissions. With the growth of regional GDP, the energy consumption intensity and carbon emission intensity of Hebei Province are decreasing year by year. However, the decline rate is less than the growth rate of GDP, and Hebei Province is still far from realizing the negative growth of carbon emissions. The carbon footprint of Hebei Province continues to increase, with an average annual growth rate of 8.59%. Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region is a traditional light and heavy industrial base, coal has a large proportion in the energy consumption structure, which leads to the high growth rate of carbon emissions and environmental pollution. This is the real dilemma of energy saving and emission reduction in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, where energy saving and emission reduction work depends on the adjustment of industrial structure and technological upgrading. The adjustment of energy consumption structure and the improvement of utilization efficiency. The government should coordinate and integrate the low-carbon economy with the original industrial structure, and establish a sustainable and healthy development model in line with the region.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號】：X24;F426.2

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