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中國人力資本與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的實證研究

發(fā)布時間:2018-01-13 18:16

  本文關(guān)鍵詞:中國人力資本與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的實證研究 出處:《天津財經(jīng)大學(xué)》2012年碩士論文 論文類型:學(xué)位論文


  更多相關(guān)文章: 人力資本存量 經(jīng)濟(jì)增長 投資形成法 總量生產(chǎn)函數(shù)


【摘要】:經(jīng)濟(jì)增長理論和世界各國的發(fā)展歷史都表明人力資本是經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的重要因素,人力資本投資是一國經(jīng)濟(jì)長期持續(xù)增長的主要源泉之一。而我國的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中卻存在著高資源消耗、低勞動生產(chǎn)率、經(jīng)濟(jì)運行低質(zhì)量等現(xiàn)狀,使人力資本“收益遞增”的規(guī)律難以充分發(fā)揮,這成為中國經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的一個瓶頸;诖宋恼聫膶嵶C的角度研究人力資本在我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長中的作用。 文章首先概述了國內(nèi)外與人力資本和經(jīng)濟(jì)增長有關(guān)的重要理論及模型,之后運用投資形成法估算出中國1952-2008年的人力資本存量,然后在總量生產(chǎn)函數(shù)的基礎(chǔ)上,采用計量經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)理論中的單位根檢驗、協(xié)整檢驗、格蘭杰因果檢驗、誤差修正模型等進(jìn)行實證研究,探討人力資本與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長之間的長期均衡關(guān)系及其作用。 最后得出結(jié)論:顯性人力資本對于經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的解釋力不強,隱性人力資本在價值增值過程中起著關(guān)鍵和決定性的作用,教育投資對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長沒有發(fā)揮出相應(yīng)的的促進(jìn)作用,所以應(yīng)該加大教育投資,同樣健康投資對經(jīng)濟(jì)增長也沒有產(chǎn)生相應(yīng)的促進(jìn)作用。用平均教育年限法計算出的人力資本不能解釋經(jīng)濟(jì)增長,這是因為教育年限法沒有反映出教育質(zhì)量的差異而引起的測量誤差。最后針對以上問題提出促進(jìn)我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的人力資本發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,作為提高人力資本的相應(yīng)對策。
[Abstract]:The historical development of the theory of economic growth and the world that human capital is an important factor in economic development, human capital investment is one of the main source of economic growth. And the economic development of our country but there is a high resource consumption, low labor productivity, low quality of economic operation, the rule of human capital "increasing returns" to the full, which become a bottleneck China economic development. This article studies the human capital in the role of China's economic growth from the perspective of empirical research based on.
This article first summarizes the domestic and foreign human capital and economic growth of the important theory and model, then use the 1952-2008 method to estimate the investment China years of human capital stock, then based on the total production function, using unit root econometrics theory test, cointegration test, Grainger causality test, empirical research the error correction model, to explore the long-term equilibrium relationship and effect between human capital and economic growth.
Conclusion: the value of human capital for economic growth of the explanatory power is not strong, the hidden human capital plays a crucial and decisive role in the value-added process, investment in education does not play a corresponding role in promoting economic growth, so we should strengthen the education investment, health investment on economic growth also did not have the corresponding promotion. Calculated by the average years of education method, human capital can not explain economic growth, this is because the measurement error of education years method does not reflect the differences in educational quality and cause. Finally, to promote the economic growth of China human capital development strategy to solve the above problems, the corresponding countermeasures to enhance the human capital.

【學(xué)位授予單位】:天津財經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2012
【分類號】:F249.2;F124;F224

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