本文關(guān)鍵詞：京津冀城市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚效應(yīng)的空間計(jì)量分析　出處：《天津財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2016年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

  更多相關(guān)文章： 京津冀 空間計(jì)量 生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè) 集聚效應(yīng)

【摘要】：我國(guó)的服務(wù)行業(yè)起步較晚,從整體上而言,目前服務(wù)業(yè)的水平仍相對(duì)落后于整體經(jīng)濟(jì)層次。生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)是與工業(yè)密切聯(lián)系的新興第三產(chǎn)業(yè),對(duì)于地區(qū)經(jīng)濟(jì)水平的影響也越來(lái)越大。對(duì)于北京,天津和河北地區(qū)而言,三地整體性發(fā)展的趨勢(shì)越發(fā)明顯。生產(chǎn)服務(wù)業(yè)的集聚程度是該區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)達(dá)程度的晴雨表,也關(guān)系著我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的良性發(fā)展。因此該地區(qū)的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的集聚問(wèn)題對(duì)我國(guó)京津冀一體化的重大戰(zhàn)略具有深遠(yuǎn)影響。文章在理論層次探究的基礎(chǔ)上,使用空間計(jì)量經(jīng)濟(jì)模型進(jìn)行探究。首先,文章從概念、特征和形成原因等方面介紹了產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚的相關(guān)理論,從概念和分類的角度介紹了生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的相關(guān)理論,分析了國(guó)外生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的集聚情況以及集聚地的一般特征。其次,使用北京,天津和河北最新的統(tǒng)計(jì)數(shù)據(jù),對(duì)京津冀地區(qū)總體以及13個(gè)地級(jí)市的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展情況和產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)等概況進(jìn)行了分析,用空間基尼系數(shù)測(cè)算了京津冀生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)的集聚程度,并從橫向和縱向兩個(gè)維度對(duì)京津冀地區(qū)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展層次進(jìn)行探究,具有較強(qiáng)的時(shí)效性。再次,文章把空間和時(shí)間因素引入到面板數(shù)據(jù)的研究中,將模型由二維拓展至三維,通過(guò)構(gòu)建三個(gè)空間權(quán)重矩陣以及空間面板數(shù)據(jù)模型,結(jié)合對(duì)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)可能產(chǎn)生影響的五個(gè)指標(biāo),對(duì)集聚程度及其影響因素進(jìn)行分析。實(shí)證部分,文章根據(jù)莫蘭指數(shù)確定生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚程度的時(shí)間變化,根據(jù)Hausman檢驗(yàn)確定使用固定效應(yīng)模型,運(yùn)用MATLAB軟件測(cè)度各地固定效應(yīng)值,運(yùn)用stata軟件進(jìn)行普通面板數(shù)據(jù)回歸,并建立空間滯后模型進(jìn)行分析。根據(jù)模型結(jié)果得出的結(jié)論為:技術(shù)創(chuàng)新水平,信息化水平,地區(qū)人力資本水平對(duì)于生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚程度呈現(xiàn)正相關(guān),區(qū)域規(guī)模和政府級(jí)別對(duì)于生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚程度呈現(xiàn)負(fù)相關(guān)。結(jié)合研究結(jié)論,文章對(duì)于提升京津冀的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)提出了幾點(diǎn)可行的政策空間。
[Abstract]:The service industry of our country starts relatively late. On the whole, the level of service industry still lags behind the whole economic level. Producer service industry is a new tertiary industry closely related to industry. The impact on regional economic levels is also growing. For Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. The trend of the overall development of the three places is more and more obvious. The degree of agglomeration of the production and service industry is a barometer of the economic development of the region. It is also related to the benign development of our economy. Therefore, the concentration of producer services in this area has a profound impact on the great strategy of the integration of Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei. First of all, the paper introduces the theory of industrial agglomeration from the concept, characteristics and formation reasons. This paper introduces the related theories of producer services from the angle of concept and classification, analyzes the agglomeration situation of foreign producer services and the general characteristics of their agglomerations. Secondly, it uses Beijing. According to the latest statistics of Tianjin and Hebei, the general situation of economic development and industrial structure of the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region and 13 prefecture-level cities are analyzed. Using spatial Gini coefficient to calculate the concentration of producer services in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei, and from the horizontal and vertical dimensions to explore the level of economic development in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region, has a strong timeliness. In this paper, the spatial and temporal factors are introduced into the research of panel data, and the model is extended from two to three dimensions, and three spatial weight matrices and spatial panel data models are constructed. Combined with the five indicators of the possible impact on producer services, this paper analyzes the degree of agglomeration and its influencing factors. Empirical part, according to the Moran index to determine the producer services agglomeration degree of time change. According to Hausman test, fixed effect model is used, fixed effect value is measured by MATLAB software, and general panel data regression is carried out by stata software. According to the results of the model, the conclusion is: the level of technological innovation, the level of information technology, the level of regional human capital has a positive correlation with the concentration of producer services. There is a negative correlation between the regional scale and the level of government for the concentration of producer services. Combined with the conclusion of the study, this paper puts forward some feasible policy space for promoting producer services in Beijing, Tianjin and Hebei.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：天津財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2016
【分類號(hào)】：F719

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