本文關(guān)鍵詞：重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響研究　出處：《西南大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文　論文類型：學(xué)位論文

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【摘要】：隨著全球服務(wù)業(yè)的快速發(fā)展,專業(yè)化程度不斷提高與社會(huì)分工不斷深化,生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)從制造業(yè)中以外包形式分離出來(lái),并逐漸形成產(chǎn)業(yè)集聚效應(yīng)。生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)是一種高集聚、高福射、高知識(shí)化及高就業(yè)的現(xiàn)代服務(wù)產(chǎn)業(yè),具有較強(qiáng)的產(chǎn)業(yè)關(guān)聯(lián)性和高度的人力、知識(shí)資本密集性,在提升區(qū)域產(chǎn)業(yè)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力,推動(dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中發(fā)揮著重要作用。重慶市作為我國(guó)西部地區(qū)唯一直轄市,在2011年重慶市“十二五規(guī)劃”中提出:突出提升重慶市作為國(guó)家中心城市功能,積極建設(shè)西部地區(qū)現(xiàn)代服務(wù)業(yè)高地,大力發(fā)展高端生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè),努力提升金融、物流、交通樞紐、商貿(mào)等集聚輻射能力和綜合服務(wù)水平。重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚現(xiàn)象日趨明顯,可為經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)帶來(lái)新的機(jī)遇與挑戰(zhàn)。本文研究重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響作用。論文在回顧生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚相關(guān)理論的基礎(chǔ)上,首先分析生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的作用機(jī)理。其次,采用描述性統(tǒng)計(jì)法對(duì)重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚現(xiàn)狀的綜合程度進(jìn)行分析,分析目前重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展中存在的現(xiàn)實(shí)問(wèn)題,選用區(qū)位商指標(biāo)從整體和分行業(yè)角度對(duì)重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚水平進(jìn)行測(cè)度分析,并采用數(shù)據(jù)包絡(luò)分析法(DEA)進(jìn)行效率分析。最后,采取重慶市1997-2015年時(shí)間序列數(shù)據(jù),構(gòu)建向量自回歸模型分析重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的動(dòng)態(tài)影響作用,并以經(jīng)典的C-D生產(chǎn)函數(shù)為基礎(chǔ),將生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)各行業(yè)集聚變量作為解釋變量引入到生產(chǎn)函數(shù)中構(gòu)建計(jì)量回歸模型,并從影響經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)多因素情況下分析重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)分行業(yè)集聚對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響作用。本文通過(guò)描述性統(tǒng)計(jì)分析與實(shí)證分析得出以下研究結(jié)論:(1)重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)整體發(fā)展比較迅速,行業(yè)隊(duì)伍不斷壯大,緩解了全市的就業(yè)壓力。而相比于全國(guó)其他發(fā)達(dá)地區(qū)的生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展,重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展還存在整體規(guī)模較小、各行業(yè)發(fā)展不協(xié)調(diào)、缺乏必要的資金和專業(yè)技術(shù)人才等現(xiàn)實(shí)問(wèn)題。(2)重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)已呈現(xiàn)比較顯著的集聚現(xiàn)象,其區(qū)位商值在全國(guó)屬于中上水平。從分行業(yè)角度看,交通運(yùn)輸倉(cāng)儲(chǔ)和郵政業(yè)、金融業(yè)、房地產(chǎn)業(yè)的集聚度較高,各行業(yè)集聚水平差異較大,部分行業(yè)集聚水平出現(xiàn)較大波動(dòng)。(3)重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚一直處于規(guī)模報(bào)酬遞增趨勢(shì)。從分行業(yè)角度看,除房地產(chǎn)業(yè)之外,重慶市其余5個(gè)行業(yè)都一直處于規(guī)模報(bào)酬遞增的發(fā)展?fàn)顟B(tài)。且發(fā)展到2015年,重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)各分行業(yè)都不存在投入冗余或產(chǎn)出不足的狀況,可繼續(xù)擴(kuò)大行業(yè)規(guī)模提升集聚效率。(4)重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)存在長(zhǎng)期均衡的協(xié)整關(guān)系,在滯后1期的情況下生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的格蘭杰原因。重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚會(huì)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)產(chǎn)生長(zhǎng)期的正向響應(yīng),在長(zhǎng)期內(nèi)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的貢獻(xiàn)度會(huì)超過(guò)17.83%且會(huì)越來(lái)越顯著,重慶市生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚確實(shí)會(huì)促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)。(5)重慶市經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)lnY和LQ1、LQ2、LQ3、LQ4、lnL、lnK、EDU、OPEN變量間存在長(zhǎng)期均衡的協(xié)整關(guān)系,各變量在短期內(nèi)對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響作用與長(zhǎng)期均衡過(guò)程中的作用方向是一致的。重慶市勞動(dòng)力投入lnL、資本投入lnK和經(jīng)濟(jì)開(kāi)放程度OPEN會(huì)促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),而人力資本EDU對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響作用不顯著。重慶市交通運(yùn)輸倉(cāng)儲(chǔ)和郵政業(yè)LQ1、金融業(yè)LQ2和房地產(chǎn)業(yè)LQ3的集聚能夠在較大程度上促進(jìn)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng),且都是經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的單向格蘭杰原因�？茖W(xué)研究、技術(shù)服務(wù)與地質(zhì)勘查業(yè)集聚LQ4在模型中對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的影響作用不顯著,但該行業(yè)集聚與經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)互為雙向格蘭杰因果關(guān)系�；谏鲜鲅芯拷Y(jié)論,本文提出政策建議:(1)擴(kuò)大生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)集聚規(guī)模;(2)加強(qiáng)生產(chǎn)性服務(wù)業(yè)專業(yè)技術(shù)人才培養(yǎng);(3)提升現(xiàn)代物流服務(wù)水平,創(chuàng)新發(fā)展金融業(yè),穩(wěn)妥推進(jìn)房地產(chǎn)業(yè);(4)優(yōu)化行業(yè)內(nèi)部結(jié)構(gòu),促進(jìn)高技術(shù)服務(wù)業(yè)發(fā)展。
[Abstract]:With the rapid development of global service industry, constantly raise the level of professionalism and the deepening social division of labor, production from manufacturing to services in the form of outsourcing is separated, and gradually formed the industrial agglomeration effect. The productive service industry is a kind of high concentration, high radiation, high knowledge and high employment modern service industry, has a strong industrial relevance and the height of the human knowledge, capital intensive, to enhance the competitiveness of regional industries, plays an important role in promoting economic development in Chongqing city. As the only municipality in the western region of China, in 2011 12th Five-Year Chongqing "plan" put forward: to highlight to enhance Chongqing city as the National Center of the city function. Actively promote the construction of modern service industry in western highlands, vigorously develop the high-end production service industry, efforts to improve the financial, logistics, transportation hub, commercial radiation ability and comprehensive service level. Chongqing producer service industry agglomeration is becoming more and more obvious, can bring new opportunities and challenges for the economic growth. This paper studies the Chongqing production service industry agglomeration effect on economic growth. Based on the review of production service industry agglomeration theory, the mechanism of the first analysis of producer services agglomeration effect of economic growth the comprehensive degree. Secondly, using the descriptive statistical method of producer service industry in Chongqing city agglomeration situation analysis, analysis of the existing problem the development of producer services in Chongqing City, the location quotient index from the overall and sub industry perspective on the production of Chongqing service industry agglomeration level analysis to measure and analysis. By using the method of data envelopment analysis (DEA) efficiency. Finally, take the time series data of 1997-2015 in Chongqing City, the construction of vector auto regression model analysis of Chongqing productive service The service industry agglomeration effect on economic growth, and the C-D of the classic production function as the foundation, the producer services industry agglomeration variables as explanatory variables into the production function in the construction of econometric model, and analysis of producer service industry in Chongqing from the impact of economic growth factors under the condition of industry agglomeration effect on the impact of economic growth. This paper draws the following conclusions through descriptive statistical analysis and Empirical Analysis: (1) the overall development of producer service industry in Chongqing is relatively rapid, industry growing, alleviate the employment pressure of the city's development. Compared to other developed regions of the national productive service industry, the development of producer services Chongqing city also has small scale, the industry development coordination, lack of funds and professional technical personnel necessary and other practical problems. (2) the production of services in Chongqing city has been positive The obvious phenomenon of agglomeration, location quotient in the country belong to the upper level. From the perspective of industry, transportation, storage and postal industry, financial industry, the higher concentration of the real estate industry, the industry agglomeration level is different, part of the industry agglomeration level was fluctuated seriously. (3) has been a trend increasing returns to scale production service industry agglomeration in Chongqing. From the industry perspective, in addition to the real estate industry of Chongqing City, the remaining 5 industries have been developing state of increasing returns to scale and development. By 2015, Chongqing's producer service sub sectors do not exist insufficient input or output redundancy situation. Can continue to expand the scale of industry agglomeration to enhance efficiency. (4) there is a long-term co integration and economic growth of Chongqing producer service industry agglomeration of producer services in the 1 period lag under the condition of industry agglomeration is the growth of the Glen Jie. Producer service industry in Chongqing has a positive response in gathering on the long-term economic growth in the long term, the contribution to the economic growth of more than 17.83% and will be more and more obvious, it can promote the economic growth of producer services agglomeration in Chongqing. (5) Chongqing city economic growth of lnY and LQ1, LQ2 LQ3, LQ4, lnL, lnK, EDU, and there are long-term equilibrium cointegration relationship between OPEN variables, each variable in the short term to the direction of the effect of economic growth and long-term equilibrium process is the same. Chongqing city labor input lnL, lnK capital investment and economic openness of OPEN will promote economic growth EDU, while the human capital influence on economic growth is not significant. The Chongqing municipal transportation warehousing and postal industry LQ1, financial industry agglomeration of LQ2 and LQ3 in real estate can promote economic growth to a great extent, and is a one-way Grainger economic growth of the original For scientific research, technical services and geological prospecting industry agglomeration in LQ4 model on the effect of economic growth is not significant, but the industry agglomeration and economic growth are two-way causal relationship between Grainger. Based on the above research conclusion, this paper presents policy recommendations: (1) the expansion of productive service industry agglomeration scale; (2) strengthening professional and technical personnel of producer service training; (3) to improve the service level of modern logistics, the innovation and development of the financial industry, and steadily push forward the real estate industry; (4) optimize the internal structure of industry, promote the development of high-tech service industry.

【學(xué)位授予單位】：西南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F719;F127

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