人口老齡化、外商直接投資與金融發(fā)展——基于中國省際面板數(shù)據(jù)的門檻模型分析
發(fā)布時間:2018-09-16 20:00
【摘要】:隨著中國人口老齡化程度不斷加深,人口紅利日益減弱;尤其在地區(qū)金融發(fā)展參差不齊的情況下,中國人口老齡化與FDI流入之間的關(guān)系變得更加微妙。在梳理人口老齡化和金融發(fā)展對FDI影響機(jī)制的基礎(chǔ)上,本文利用面板門檻模型和2000-2014年中國的省際面板數(shù)據(jù)對其進(jìn)行實證分析,發(fā)現(xiàn)人口老齡化對FDI流入具有顯著的抑制作用,呈非線性負(fù)相關(guān),且其抑制作用會因金融發(fā)展和地區(qū)的不同而存在較大差異。因此,及時調(diào)整人口發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略、提高勞動要素生產(chǎn)率、深化金融市場改革,是中國應(yīng)對人口老齡化、促進(jìn)FDI流入的重要途徑。
[Abstract]:With the deepening of China's aging population, the demographic dividend is weakening day by day. Especially in the case of uneven regional financial development, the relationship between China's aging population and FDI inflow has become more subtle. The empirical analysis of China's inter-provincial panel data in 2014 shows that population aging has a significant inhibitory effect on FDI inflow, which is nonlinear and negatively correlated, and the inhibitory effect will vary greatly depending on the financial development and region. Therefore, we should adjust the population development strategy in time, improve the productivity of labor factors and deepen the financial market. Field reform is an important way for China to cope with population aging and promote FDI inflow.
【作者單位】: 武漢大學(xué)美國加拿大經(jīng)濟(jì)研究所;武漢大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家社科基金重大項目,項目編號:16ZDA039,15ZDA061
【分類號】:C924.24;F832.6
本文編號:2244633
[Abstract]:With the deepening of China's aging population, the demographic dividend is weakening day by day. Especially in the case of uneven regional financial development, the relationship between China's aging population and FDI inflow has become more subtle. The empirical analysis of China's inter-provincial panel data in 2014 shows that population aging has a significant inhibitory effect on FDI inflow, which is nonlinear and negatively correlated, and the inhibitory effect will vary greatly depending on the financial development and region. Therefore, we should adjust the population development strategy in time, improve the productivity of labor factors and deepen the financial market. Field reform is an important way for China to cope with population aging and promote FDI inflow.
【作者單位】: 武漢大學(xué)美國加拿大經(jīng)濟(jì)研究所;武漢大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院;
【基金】:國家社科基金重大項目,項目編號:16ZDA039,15ZDA061
【分類號】:C924.24;F832.6
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相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前2條
1 馬芳;人口老齡化對我國經(jīng)濟(jì)增長的影響研究[D];首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué);2017年
2 張慧鵬;河南省人口老齡化對人力資源影響研究[D];鄭州大學(xué);2017年
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