本文選題：適應(yīng)性學(xué)習(xí) + 收斂區(qū)域　； 參考：《南方經(jīng)濟(jì)》2017年07期

【摘要】：適應(yīng)性學(xué)習(xí)過程是從有限理性向理性預(yù)期均衡收斂的過程,其收斂性和收斂速度是制約貨幣政策效果的關(guān)鍵因素。文章先夯實了多種貨幣政策規(guī)則的收斂區(qū)域,而后通過在區(qū)域內(nèi)綜合比較不同規(guī)則的福利損失狀況,得到公眾向理性預(yù)期均衡收斂最快的貨幣政策規(guī)則形式,最后探索了影響適應(yīng)性學(xué)習(xí)向理性預(yù)期均衡收斂速度的原因,結(jié)果顯示:承諾下預(yù)期型最優(yōu)貨幣政策規(guī)則較其他規(guī)則有更快的收斂速度;而公眾的數(shù)據(jù)搜集能力和利用效率,對貨幣政策目的和預(yù)期效果的了解程度以及適應(yīng)性學(xué)習(xí)方法等因素是制約適應(yīng)性學(xué)習(xí)收斂速度的關(guān)鍵。
[Abstract]:The adaptive learning process is a process of convergence from bounded rationality to rational expectation equilibrium, and its convergence and convergence speed are the key factors restricting the effect of monetary policy. The paper first rammed up the convergence area of various monetary policy rules, and then, by synthetically comparing the welfare losses of different rules in the region, obtained the form of monetary policy rules that the public converges most rapidly to rational expectation equilibrium. Finally, the paper explores the reasons that affect the convergence rate of adaptive learning to rational expectation equilibrium. The results show that the expected optimal monetary policy rules have faster convergence speed than other rules, and the public's data collection ability and utilization efficiency. The degree of understanding of monetary policy objectives and expected effects, as well as adaptive learning methods are the key factors to restrict the convergence speed of adaptive learning.
【作者單位】： 吉林大學(xué)數(shù)量經(jīng)濟(jì)研究中心;
【基金】：國家社會科學(xué)基金重大項目“中國潛在經(jīng)濟(jì)增長率計算及結(jié)構(gòu)轉(zhuǎn)換路經(jīng)研究”(項目編號:12&ZD197) 國家自然科學(xué)基金青年基金項目“包含異質(zhì)消費者的DSGE框架下的中國房地產(chǎn)調(diào)控政策傳導(dǎo)機(jī)制與仿真研究”(項目編號:71403099)的資助
【分類號】：F822.0

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