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金融集聚、創(chuàng)新能力與綠色GDP:理論與來自中國(guó)省級(jí)層面的證據(jù)

發(fā)布時(shí)間:2018-05-08 04:29

  本文選題:金融集聚 + 創(chuàng)新能力。 參考:《上海師范大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文


【摘要】:在經(jīng)歷三十多年的高速經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)之后,目前中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)速度趨于放緩,為了獲取可持續(xù)增長(zhǎng)的最優(yōu)路徑,中國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)面對(duì)兩大挑戰(zhàn):如何增強(qiáng)創(chuàng)新能力?如何將經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展對(duì)環(huán)境的破壞程度降低到最低水平?本文首先對(duì)傳統(tǒng)的內(nèi)生經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)理論進(jìn)行了創(chuàng)新,將金融集聚、創(chuàng)新能力和綠色GDP納入到傳統(tǒng)模型中,從而為本文提供理論模型。在指標(biāo)構(gòu)建方面,本文在分析各相關(guān)指標(biāo)的基礎(chǔ)上,使用主成分分析法法,構(gòu)建了金融集聚指標(biāo)、創(chuàng)新能力指標(biāo)。在實(shí)證方面,本文主要使用了面板模型和空間面板模型,以2007-2013年中國(guó)31個(gè)省份為研究對(duì)象,考察了各省份的金融集聚、創(chuàng)新能力和綠色GDP之間的關(guān)系。通過不同的計(jì)量方法可以使我們從多角度看待這個(gè)問題,也可以通過不同的角度得到更加穩(wěn)健的實(shí)證結(jié)果。實(shí)證分析結(jié)果表明:第一,創(chuàng)新能力與綠色GDP存在顯著的相關(guān)性,但不同的模型得到的結(jié)論卻不相同。面板模型顯示創(chuàng)新能力(RD)可以在5%的顯著水平下促進(jìn)綠色GDP的增長(zhǎng),但是在考慮了空間因素后反而不利于促進(jìn)綠色GDP的增長(zhǎng),這種結(jié)果的出現(xiàn)有可能是各區(qū)域間創(chuàng)新產(chǎn)品的溝通無效造成的。第二,金融集聚與綠色GDP存在較為顯著的負(fù)相關(guān)關(guān)系。這與本文的研究假設(shè)2相反,不過這更好地說明了中國(guó)的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展中遇到的一個(gè)嚴(yán)峻的問題是快速的經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展是以犧牲環(huán)境為代價(jià)的。第三,三種模型均顯示,創(chuàng)新與金融集聚的交叉項(xiàng)(FLQ*RD)均與綠色GDP存在非常顯著的正相關(guān)關(guān)系,這個(gè)結(jié)果證明金融集聚可以通過提高當(dāng)?shù)氐膭?chuàng)新能力水平,這種創(chuàng)新水平可以改善當(dāng)?shù)氐慕?jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式,提高科技能力,降低污染,使經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)方式從粗放型向密集型轉(zhuǎn)變,從而提高了綠色GDP水平。本文的創(chuàng)新點(diǎn)在于將金融集聚對(duì)經(jīng)濟(jì)增長(zhǎng)的作用精確到金融集聚對(duì)綠色GDP的作用,在這一過程中將創(chuàng)新能力作為中間變量,即金融集聚會(huì)影響綠色GDP,從而影響到當(dāng)?shù)氐木G色GDP發(fā)展水平。在實(shí)證方便,本文采用面板數(shù)據(jù)模型和空間模型相結(jié)合的方式,從不同的角度對(duì)本文的研究?jī)?nèi)容進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,從而得到更加全面的分析結(jié)果。
[Abstract]:After more than 30 years of rapid economic growth, the current economic growth rate of China tends to slow down. In order to obtain the optimal path of sustainable growth, the Chinese economy faces two major challenges: how to enhance the ability of innovation? How to reduce the degree of environmental damage caused by economic development to the lowest level? In this paper, the traditional endogenous economic growth theory is first innovated, and financial agglomeration, innovation ability and green GDP are brought into the traditional model, thus providing the theoretical model for this paper. In the aspect of index construction, based on the analysis of relevant indexes, this paper constructs the index of financial agglomeration and the index of innovation ability by using principal component analysis method. In the empirical aspect, this paper mainly uses panel model and spatial panel model, taking 31 provinces of China from 2007 to 2013 as the research object, examines the relationship between financial agglomeration, innovation ability and green GDP of each province. Through different measurement methods, we can view this problem from different angles, and we can get more robust empirical results from different angles. The empirical results show that: first, there is a significant correlation between innovation ability and green GDP, but different conclusions of different models are different. The panel model shows that the innovation ability can promote the growth of green GDP at a significant level of 5%, but after taking spatial factors into account, it is not conducive to promoting the growth of green GDP. This result is likely to be the result of ineffective communication between regions of innovative products. Secondly, financial agglomeration has a significant negative correlation with green GDP. This is contrary to hypothesis 2 in this paper, but it better shows that a severe problem in China's economic development is that rapid economic development is at the expense of the environment. Thirdly, the three models show that there is a very significant positive correlation between the cross term of innovation and financial agglomeration and green GDP, which proves that financial agglomeration can improve the level of local innovation ability. This level of innovation can improve the local economic growth mode, improve the ability of science and technology, reduce pollution, and change the mode of economic growth from extensive to intensive, thus raising the level of green GDP. The innovation of this paper lies in that the role of financial agglomeration on economic growth is accurate to the role of financial agglomeration on green GDP, and the innovation ability is regarded as the intermediate variable in this process. That is, financial agglomeration will affect green GDP, thus affecting the local level of green GDP development. In order to obtain more comprehensive analysis results, this paper adopts the combination of panel data model and spatial model to analyze the research content from different angles.
【學(xué)位授予單位】:上海師范大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】:碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】:2017
【分類號(hào)】:F832.7;F127

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