發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-03-03 09:17

  本文選題：圖格里克匯率　切入點(diǎn)：蒙古國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易　出處：《內(nèi)蒙古社會(huì)科學(xué)(漢文版)》2017年04期 　論文類型：期刊論文

【摘要】：考慮蒙古國(guó)出口商品結(jié)構(gòu)單一,進(jìn)口商品具有不完全替代的特點(diǎn),構(gòu)建進(jìn)口和出口需求模型,采用蒙古國(guó)2000~2016年季度數(shù)據(jù)為樣本,分析并檢驗(yàn)了蒙古國(guó)圖格里克的匯率變動(dòng)對(duì)進(jìn)口貿(mào)易、出口貿(mào)易和貿(mào)易收支的影響。結(jié)果表明:圖格里克匯率的變動(dòng)能夠影響蒙古國(guó)的進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易,圖格里克的貶值能夠促進(jìn)出口、抑制進(jìn)口;馬歇爾—勒納條件在蒙古能夠得到驗(yàn)證,但圖格里克的貶值對(duì)貿(mào)易收支的影響是非線性的。
[Abstract]:Considering the single structure of Mongolian export commodities and the incomplete substitution of imported commodities, the model of import and export demand is constructed, and the quarterly data of Mongolia from 2000 to 2016 are taken as samples. This paper analyzes and tests the influence of the exchange rate change of Mongolia on the import trade, export trade and trade balance. The results show that the change of the exchange rate of Tugrik can affect the import and export trade of Mongolia. The devaluation of Tugrik can promote exports and restrain imports; the Marshall-Lerner condition can be verified in Mongolia, but the impact of Tuglick's depreciation on trade balance is nonlinear.
【作者單位】： 大連工業(yè)大學(xué)管理學(xué)院;蒙古國(guó)財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)院;
【基金】：中國(guó)博士后科學(xué)基金資助項(xiàng)目“制度環(huán)境對(duì)我國(guó)金融包容發(fā)展的影響”(編號(hào):2014M560199)
【分類號(hào)】：F753.11;F831.6
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本文編號(hào)：1560424