【摘要】：中國—新加坡自由貿易區(qū)作為中國和東盟單個國家之間首個建立的自貿區(qū),對于我國逐步構筑起立足周邊、輻射“一帶一路”、面向全球的自由貿易區(qū)網絡具有顯著的示范效應和借鑒意義。分析研究中國—新加坡自由貿易區(qū)成立后所帶來的經濟效應,能夠加快中新雙邊經貿合作的步伐,拓展兩國自由貿易關系的深度與廣度,進一步提升我國經濟的對外開放水平。在選用2004—2013年中國新加坡兩國進出口額作為樣本數(shù)據的基礎上,通過選取貿易結合度指數(shù)(TCD)、顯示性競爭優(yōu)勢指數(shù)(CA)、綜合貿易互補性指數(shù)(TCI)、產業(yè)內貿易指數(shù)(G-L指數(shù))這四個指數(shù)分別從兩國貿易聯(lián)系緊密程度、出口比較優(yōu)勢、互補性強弱程度和產業(yè)內貿易形式四個方面開展了實證研究。研究結果表明,兩國貿易聯(lián)系緊密,各自存在不同的出口比較優(yōu)勢產業(yè),雙邊貿易具有較強的互補性,貿易形式主要表現(xiàn)為產業(yè)內貿易。在對中國新加坡雙邊貿易現(xiàn)狀進行分析后,基于巴拉薩模型,分析研究了中國—新加坡自由貿易區(qū)成立后所帶來的貿易創(chuàng)造和貿易轉移效應。分析結果說明,由于受到各種因素的影響,《中國—新加坡自由貿易協(xié)定》的簽署,并沒有產生明顯的貿易創(chuàng)造和貿易轉移效應。隨后,對中國—新加坡自由貿易區(qū)成立后的動態(tài)經濟效應進行了探討,即研究了兩國自由貿易區(qū)協(xié)議簽署后所帶來的經濟增長效應、投資效應、競爭效應以及規(guī)模經濟效應等動態(tài)效應。通過以上分析我們知道,建立中國—新加坡自由貿易區(qū)有助于實現(xiàn)中國經濟的快速平穩(wěn)發(fā)展;新加坡對中國的直接投資額遠高于中國對新加坡的直接投資額,兩國在投資領域的選擇上存在著較大的不同,中國對新加坡投資還蘊含著巨大的增長空間和發(fā)展?jié)摿?中國—新加坡自由貿易區(qū)的建立顯著提高了競爭效應,相比中國,新加坡競爭力總體而言處于不利地位;得益于中國—新加坡自由貿易區(qū)的建立和發(fā)展,市場規(guī)模和商品需求分別得到擴大和增加,兩國比較優(yōu)勢商品產業(yè)里的廠商可以擴大生產規(guī)模,此時,產量的增加使得平均生產成本從長期來看呈現(xiàn)出下降趨勢,最終實現(xiàn)規(guī)模經濟效應。最后,為了推動中國新加坡兩國經貿合作關系實現(xiàn)新跨越、邁上新臺階,提出了進一步深化中國—新加坡自由貿易區(qū)發(fā)展的對策建議。深入開展政府間合作項目,加大合作共建力度,實現(xiàn)互惠互利、雙方共贏;優(yōu)化對新加坡貿易出口結構,擴大服務貿易比重,提升我國服務貿易在新加坡市場上的影響力和競爭力;鼓勵中方企業(yè)“走出去”,完善投資服務體系,保障好、維護好、發(fā)展好我國企業(yè)在新加坡的合法權益。
[Abstract]:As the first free trade area established between China and individual ASEAN countries, the China-Singapore Free Trade area has gradually built up a foothold in China's surroundings and radiated "Belt and Road Initiative". The global free trade area network has obvious demonstration effect and reference significance. An analysis of the economic effects brought by the establishment of the China-Singapore Free Trade area can speed up the pace of bilateral economic and trade cooperation between China and Singapore, expand the depth and breadth of the free trade relations between the two countries, and further promote the opening-up level of China's economy to the outside world. On the basis of selecting the import and export volume of China and Singapore from 2004 to 2013 as the sample data, through selecting the trade union index (TCD),) to show the competitive advantage index (CA), the (CA), comprehensive trade complementarity index (TCI),) is selected. The four indexes of intra-industry trade index are studied from four aspects: the degree of close trade connection, the comparative advantage of export, the degree of complementarity and the form of intra-industry trade. The results show that the two countries are closely connected with each other and have different export comparative advantage industries. The bilateral trade has strong complementarity and the trade form is mainly expressed as intra-industry trade. After analyzing the current situation of China-Singapore bilateral trade, based on the Barraza model, this paper analyzes and studies the trade creation and trade transfer effect brought by the establishment of China-Singapore Free Trade area. The results show that the signing of China-Singapore Free Trade Agreement has no obvious effect on trade creation and trade transfer due to the influence of various factors. Then, the dynamic economic effect after the establishment of the China-Singapore Free Trade area is discussed, that is, the economic growth effect and investment effect brought by the signing of the free trade area agreement between the two countries. Dynamic effects such as competition effect and scale economy effect. Through the above analysis, we know that the establishment of China-Singapore Free Trade area is conducive to the rapid and stable development of China's economy; Singapore's direct investment in China is much higher than that of China's in Singapore. There are great differences in the choice of investment between the two countries. China's investment in Singapore also contains huge growth space and development potential. The establishment of China-Singapore Free Trade area has significantly improved the competitive effect, compared with China, Singapore's competitiveness is generally at a disadvantage; Thanks to the establishment and development of the China-Singapore Free Trade area, the size of the market and the demand for commodities have been expanded and increased respectively. At this time, manufacturers in the comparative advantage commodity industries of the two countries can expand their production scale. The increase of output makes the average production cost show a downward trend in the long run, and finally realize the economies of scale effect. Finally, in order to promote the economic and trade cooperation between Singapore and China to achieve new leaps and bounds, this paper puts forward some suggestions to further deepen the development of China-Singapore Free Trade area. We will carry out in-depth intergovernmental cooperation projects, strengthen cooperation and joint construction, and achieve mutual benefit and win-win results between the two sides. To optimize the export structure of trade to Singapore, expand the proportion of trade in services, and enhance the influence and competitiveness of China's trade in services in the Singapore market; Chinese enterprises are encouraged to "go out", improve the investment service system, safeguard, safeguard and develop the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese enterprises in Singapore.
【學位授予單位】：哈爾濱工業(yè)大學
【學位級別】：碩士
【學位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F752.7;F753.39

【參考文獻】

相關期刊論文 前4條

1 李應振;;建立中國—新加坡雙邊FTA的經濟效應[J];對外經貿實務;2008年04期

2 毛其淋;;CAFTA框架下的中國與新加坡雙邊貿易分析[J];石家莊經濟學院學報;2010年02期

3 劉天然;;中新兩國貿易比較優(yōu)勢的實證研究[J];經濟視角;2007年01期

4 柳岸林;中國與新加坡之間的產業(yè)內貿易研究[J];經濟前沿;2004年07期

相關碩士學位論文 前1條

1 文文;中新服務業(yè)產業(yè)內貿易研究[D];云南財經大學;2014年

，

本文編號：2458654