【摘要】：中國—新加坡自由貿(mào)易區(qū)作為中國和東盟單個(gè)國家之間首個(gè)建立的自貿(mào)區(qū),對于我國逐步構(gòu)筑起立足周邊、輻射“一帶一路”、面向全球的自由貿(mào)易區(qū)網(wǎng)絡(luò)具有顯著的示范效應(yīng)和借鑒意義。分析研究中國—新加坡自由貿(mào)易區(qū)成立后所帶來的經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng),能夠加快中新雙邊經(jīng)貿(mào)合作的步伐,拓展兩國自由貿(mào)易關(guān)系的深度與廣度,進(jìn)一步提升我國經(jīng)濟(jì)的對外開放水平。在選用2004—2013年中國新加坡兩國進(jìn)出口額作為樣本數(shù)據(jù)的基礎(chǔ)上,通過選取貿(mào)易結(jié)合度指數(shù)(TCD)、顯示性競爭優(yōu)勢指數(shù)(CA)、綜合貿(mào)易互補(bǔ)性指數(shù)(TCI)、產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易指數(shù)(G-L指數(shù))這四個(gè)指數(shù)分別從兩國貿(mào)易聯(lián)系緊密程度、出口比較優(yōu)勢、互補(bǔ)性強(qiáng)弱程度和產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易形式四個(gè)方面開展了實(shí)證研究。研究結(jié)果表明,兩國貿(mào)易聯(lián)系緊密,各自存在不同的出口比較優(yōu)勢產(chǎn)業(yè),雙邊貿(mào)易具有較強(qiáng)的互補(bǔ)性,貿(mào)易形式主要表現(xiàn)為產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易。在對中國新加坡雙邊貿(mào)易現(xiàn)狀進(jìn)行分析后,基于巴拉薩模型,分析研究了中國—新加坡自由貿(mào)易區(qū)成立后所帶來的貿(mào)易創(chuàng)造和貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)移效應(yīng)。分析結(jié)果說明,由于受到各種因素的影響,《中國—新加坡自由貿(mào)易協(xié)定》的簽署,并沒有產(chǎn)生明顯的貿(mào)易創(chuàng)造和貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)移效應(yīng)。隨后,對中國—新加坡自由貿(mào)易區(qū)成立后的動態(tài)經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)進(jìn)行了探討,即研究了兩國自由貿(mào)易區(qū)協(xié)議簽署后所帶來的經(jīng)濟(jì)增長效應(yīng)、投資效應(yīng)、競爭效應(yīng)以及規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)等動態(tài)效應(yīng)。通過以上分析我們知道,建立中國—新加坡自由貿(mào)易區(qū)有助于實(shí)現(xiàn)中國經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速平穩(wěn)發(fā)展;新加坡對中國的直接投資額遠(yuǎn)高于中國對新加坡的直接投資額,兩國在投資領(lǐng)域的選擇上存在著較大的不同,中國對新加坡投資還蘊(yùn)含著巨大的增長空間和發(fā)展?jié)摿?中國—新加坡自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的建立顯著提高了競爭效應(yīng),相比中國,新加坡競爭力總體而言處于不利地位;得益于中國—新加坡自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的建立和發(fā)展,市場規(guī)模和商品需求分別得到擴(kuò)大和增加,兩國比較優(yōu)勢商品產(chǎn)業(yè)里的廠商可以擴(kuò)大生產(chǎn)規(guī)模,此時(shí),產(chǎn)量的增加使得平均生產(chǎn)成本從長期來看呈現(xiàn)出下降趨勢,最終實(shí)現(xiàn)規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)。最后,為了推動中國新加坡兩國經(jīng)貿(mào)合作關(guān)系實(shí)現(xiàn)新跨越、邁上新臺階,提出了進(jìn)一步深化中國—新加坡自由貿(mào)易區(qū)發(fā)展的對策建議。深入開展政府間合作項(xiàng)目,加大合作共建力度,實(shí)現(xiàn)互惠互利、雙方共贏;優(yōu)化對新加坡貿(mào)易出口結(jié)構(gòu),擴(kuò)大服務(wù)貿(mào)易比重,提升我國服務(wù)貿(mào)易在新加坡市場上的影響力和競爭力;鼓勵中方企業(yè)“走出去”,完善投資服務(wù)體系,保障好、維護(hù)好、發(fā)展好我國企業(yè)在新加坡的合法權(quán)益。
[Abstract]:As the first free trade area established between China and individual ASEAN countries, the China-Singapore Free Trade area has gradually built up a foothold in China's surroundings and radiated "Belt and Road Initiative". The global free trade area network has obvious demonstration effect and reference significance. An analysis of the economic effects brought by the establishment of the China-Singapore Free Trade area can speed up the pace of bilateral economic and trade cooperation between China and Singapore, expand the depth and breadth of the free trade relations between the two countries, and further promote the opening-up level of China's economy to the outside world. On the basis of selecting the import and export volume of China and Singapore from 2004 to 2013 as the sample data, through selecting the trade union index (TCD),) to show the competitive advantage index (CA), the (CA), comprehensive trade complementarity index (TCI),) is selected. The four indexes of intra-industry trade index are studied from four aspects: the degree of close trade connection, the comparative advantage of export, the degree of complementarity and the form of intra-industry trade. The results show that the two countries are closely connected with each other and have different export comparative advantage industries. The bilateral trade has strong complementarity and the trade form is mainly expressed as intra-industry trade. After analyzing the current situation of China-Singapore bilateral trade, based on the Barraza model, this paper analyzes and studies the trade creation and trade transfer effect brought by the establishment of China-Singapore Free Trade area. The results show that the signing of China-Singapore Free Trade Agreement has no obvious effect on trade creation and trade transfer due to the influence of various factors. Then, the dynamic economic effect after the establishment of the China-Singapore Free Trade area is discussed, that is, the economic growth effect and investment effect brought by the signing of the free trade area agreement between the two countries. Dynamic effects such as competition effect and scale economy effect. Through the above analysis, we know that the establishment of China-Singapore Free Trade area is conducive to the rapid and stable development of China's economy; Singapore's direct investment in China is much higher than that of China's in Singapore. There are great differences in the choice of investment between the two countries. China's investment in Singapore also contains huge growth space and development potential. The establishment of China-Singapore Free Trade area has significantly improved the competitive effect, compared with China, Singapore's competitiveness is generally at a disadvantage; Thanks to the establishment and development of the China-Singapore Free Trade area, the size of the market and the demand for commodities have been expanded and increased respectively. At this time, manufacturers in the comparative advantage commodity industries of the two countries can expand their production scale. The increase of output makes the average production cost show a downward trend in the long run, and finally realize the economies of scale effect. Finally, in order to promote the economic and trade cooperation between Singapore and China to achieve new leaps and bounds, this paper puts forward some suggestions to further deepen the development of China-Singapore Free Trade area. We will carry out in-depth intergovernmental cooperation projects, strengthen cooperation and joint construction, and achieve mutual benefit and win-win results between the two sides. To optimize the export structure of trade to Singapore, expand the proportion of trade in services, and enhance the influence and competitiveness of China's trade in services in the Singapore market; Chinese enterprises are encouraged to "go out", improve the investment service system, safeguard, safeguard and develop the legitimate rights and interests of Chinese enterprises in Singapore.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：哈爾濱工業(yè)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號】：F752.7;F753.39

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