【摘要】：國(guó)際貿(mào)易規(guī)則重塑的大環(huán)境之下，西方發(fā)達(dá)經(jīng)濟(jì)體積極促進(jìn)貿(mào)易區(qū)域化發(fā)展，新興經(jīng)濟(jì)體經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展突飛猛進(jìn)，爭(zhēng)奪貿(mào)易戰(zhàn)略的主導(dǎo)權(quán)。在這場(chǎng)無(wú)硝煙的戰(zhàn)爭(zhēng)，中國(guó)的對(duì)外貿(mào)易發(fā)展面臨著機(jī)遇和挑戰(zhàn)，對(duì)外貿(mào)易愈加頻繁和擴(kuò)張，，隨之而來(lái)的是貿(mào)易摩擦和爭(zhēng)奪的頻頻發(fā)生。 1995-2013年間，全球共發(fā)生4519起反傾銷(xiāo)調(diào)查案件，而中國(guó)遭遇反傾銷(xiāo)調(diào)查989件，儼然已成為“眾矢之的”。涉案產(chǎn)品涉及我國(guó)化工、機(jī)電、紡織等多個(gè)行業(yè)，其中，化工行業(yè)是遭遇反傾銷(xiāo)的“重災(zāi)區(qū)”，約占總案件數(shù)量的22%，磷化工業(yè)作為化工行業(yè)中重要的分支之一，產(chǎn)品屢屢遭到進(jìn)口國(guó)發(fā)起反傾銷(xiāo)調(diào)查，繼而征收高額的反傾銷(xiāo)稅，行業(yè)的發(fā)展受到影響，解決該問(wèn)題成為磷化工業(yè)規(guī)劃中的重要一環(huán)。 本文首先對(duì)傾銷(xiāo)和反傾銷(xiāo)相關(guān)的文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行梳理總結(jié)，繼而從經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)角度分析傾銷(xiāo)和反傾銷(xiāo)的福利影響，以及征收反傾銷(xiāo)稅導(dǎo)致的貿(mào)易效應(yīng)。之后，描述性分析國(guó)外對(duì)華反傾銷(xiāo)總體概況和我國(guó)磷化工業(yè)的發(fā)展現(xiàn)狀，針對(duì)1995-2014年印度、歐盟等11國(guó)家（地區(qū)）對(duì)華磷化工業(yè)發(fā)起的29件反傾銷(xiāo)調(diào)查，從國(guó)別、產(chǎn)品、案件狀態(tài)等方面進(jìn)行比較，以具體反傾銷(xiāo)申訴國(guó)進(jìn)出口量、涉案產(chǎn)品市場(chǎng)份額為研究對(duì)象，GDP、關(guān)稅、反傾銷(xiāo)稅等為影響因子構(gòu)建面板模型，進(jìn)行回歸分析，得出，進(jìn)口份額對(duì)數(shù)的滯后項(xiàng)、GDP值的對(duì)數(shù)、以及產(chǎn)品的顯示性比較指數(shù)（RCA）均是影響涉案產(chǎn)品在反傾銷(xiāo)市場(chǎng)發(fā)起國(guó)進(jìn)口量和市場(chǎng)份額的因素，印度、澳大利亞等國(guó)的關(guān)稅（TAR）雖影響進(jìn)口量，但實(shí)踐中，關(guān)稅逐步降低，對(duì)進(jìn)口量的影響甚微。反傾銷(xiāo)調(diào)查階段，印度和阿根廷已發(fā)生貿(mào)易破壞效應(yīng)，印度、澳大利亞、歐盟和阿根廷有明顯的貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)向效應(yīng)，其后征收反傾銷(xiāo)稅確實(shí)同步存在貿(mào)易破壞效應(yīng)和貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)向效應(yīng)，然而，由于中國(guó)涉案產(chǎn)品在主要涉案國(guó)家具有較強(qiáng)的現(xiàn)實(shí)性比較優(yōu)勢(shì)，削弱了反傾銷(xiāo)的貿(mào)易救濟(jì)效果，從而進(jìn)口量和產(chǎn)品市場(chǎng)份額的減少能夠有所彌補(bǔ)。 最后，結(jié)合我國(guó)磷化工產(chǎn)業(yè)特點(diǎn)，從政府、行業(yè)和企業(yè)角度分別提出相應(yīng)的政策建議，以期該產(chǎn)業(yè)能夠做出長(zhǎng)期規(guī)劃，優(yōu)化產(chǎn)業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)，走出頻繁遭遇反傾銷(xiāo)的困境。
[Abstract]:Under the environment of reshaping the rules of international trade, the developed western economies actively promote the regional development of trade, while the emerging economies develop by leaps and bounds, and strive for the dominant power of the trade strategy. In this war, China's foreign trade is facing opportunities and challenges. Foreign trade is becoming more frequent and expanding, followed by frequent trade friction and competition. Between 1995 and 2013, There are 4519 anti-dumping cases in the world and 989 anti-dumping investigations in China. The products involved involve many industries, such as chemical industry, electromechanical industry, textile industry and so on. Among them, the chemical industry is a "disaster area" that has been hit by anti-dumping, accounting for about 22% of the total number of cases. The phosphating industry is one of the important branches of the chemical industry. The products are frequently subject to anti-dumping investigations by importing countries, and then high anti-dumping duties are levied. The development of the industry is affected, so solving this problem has become an important part in the phosphating industry planning. This paper firstly summarizes the relevant literatures of dumping and antidumping, and then analyzes the welfare effects of dumping and anti-dumping from the angle of economics, as well as the trade effects caused by anti-dumping duties. After that, the general situation of foreign anti-dumping against China and the development status of China's phosphating industry are analyzed, and 29 anti-dumping investigations against China's phosphating industry initiated by 11 countries (regions), such as India and the European Union, from 1995 to 2014, from country to country and product, are analyzed. Comparing the case status and other aspects, taking the specific anti-dumping countries' import and export volume, the market share of the products involved as the object of study, such as GDP, tariff, anti-dumping duty and so on, the panel model is constructed, and the regression analysis is carried out. The logarithm of import share and the comparative index of (RCA) are the factors that influence the import quantity and market share of the products involved in the anti-dumping market. Although the tariff (TAR) of Australia and other countries affect the import quantity, in practice, the tariff gradually decreases and has little effect on the import quantity. At the stage of anti-dumping investigation, India and Argentina have already had trade destructive effects. India, Australia, the European Union and Argentina have obvious trade diversion effects. However, because Chinese products involved in the case have a strong realistic comparative advantage in the major countries involved, it weakens the effect of anti-dumping trade relief, thus the reduction of import volume and product market share can make up for it. Finally, according to the characteristics of phosphorus chemical industry in China, the corresponding policy suggestions are put forward from the angle of government, industry and enterprise respectively, in the hope that the industry can make long-term planning, optimize the industrial structure, and get out of the dilemma of frequently encountered anti-dumping.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：上海海關(guān)學(xué)院
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F741.2;F416.7

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 唐宇;反傾銷(xiāo)保護(hù)引發(fā)的四種經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)分析[J];財(cái)貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì);2004年11期

2 王晰;張國(guó)政;;國(guó)際反傾銷(xiāo)的成因、經(jīng)濟(jì)效應(yīng)和績(jī)效優(yōu)化:一個(gè)國(guó)外文獻(xiàn)綜述[J];財(cái)貿(mào)經(jīng)濟(jì);2009年10期

3 馬榮;;非關(guān)稅貿(mào)易壁壘的經(jīng)濟(jì)分析[J];北方經(jīng)貿(mào);2005年11期

4 沈瑤,王繼柯;中國(guó)反傾銷(xiāo)實(shí)施中的貿(mào)易轉(zhuǎn)向研究:以丙烯酸酯為例[J];國(guó)際貿(mào)易問(wèn)題;2004年03期

5 胡麥秀 ,嚴(yán)明義;反傾銷(xiāo)保護(hù)引致的市場(chǎng)轉(zhuǎn)移效應(yīng)分析——基于中國(guó)彩電出口的實(shí)證分析[J];國(guó)際貿(mào)易問(wèn)題;2005年10期

6 于鐵流,李秉祥;中美貿(mào)易摩擦的原因及其解決對(duì)策[J];管理世界;2004年09期

7 謝建國(guó);;經(jīng)濟(jì)影響、政治分歧與制度摩擦——美國(guó)對(duì)華貿(mào)易反傾銷(xiāo)實(shí)證研究[J];管理世界;2006年12期

8 沈國(guó)兵;;美國(guó)對(duì)中國(guó)反傾銷(xiāo)的貿(mào)易效應(yīng):基于木制臥室家具的實(shí)證分析[J];管理世界;2008年04期

9 李淑貞;;中國(guó)反傾銷(xiāo)的貿(mào)易保護(hù)效應(yīng):基于產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口傾向性的比較研究[J];國(guó)際貿(mào)易問(wèn)題;2013年06期

10 羅琪;;歐盟產(chǎn)業(yè)地理集中對(duì)我國(guó)實(shí)施反傾銷(xiāo)的影響趨勢(shì)分析——探索歐盟對(duì)外反傾銷(xiāo)的新視角[J];對(duì)外經(jīng)貿(mào)實(shí)務(wù);2014年01期

本文編號(hào)：2244355