發(fā)布時間：2018-06-26 09:33

  本文選題：對外貿(mào)易 + 就業(yè)　； 參考：《遼寧大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：當(dāng)前,伴隨著經(jīng)濟全球化的迅猛發(fā)展,遼寧省依據(jù)有利的地理位置,在對外貿(mào)易上取得了顯著的收益。遼寧省的對外貿(mào)易基本上呈持續(xù)增長得勢態(tài)。在2015年,對外貿(mào)易總值達(dá)到960.8億美元,出口總值達(dá)508.4億美元,進(jìn)口總值達(dá)452.4億美元。貿(mào)易總額較1992年相比增長約13倍,增速迅猛,遼寧省進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易實力顯著增強。投資與貿(mào)易一體化的快速融合給其帶來巨大的發(fā)展機會,貿(mào)易不僅為經(jīng)濟的發(fā)展做出貢獻(xiàn),也在一定程度上促進(jìn)了就業(yè)。遼寧省的就業(yè)量從1992年的1957.8萬人增長到2015年的2409.9萬人,約20年左右,就業(yè)總?cè)藬?shù)增長了452.1萬人。但是,遼寧省的失業(yè)問題仍然嚴(yán)峻,每年增加的就業(yè)總?cè)藬?shù)很少,并且每年增加的幅度也是不確定的,近20多年來,遼寧省的就業(yè)增長率不是很高,年就業(yè)增長率基本上是小于2%的,且2015年的就業(yè)增長率為負(fù)增長。就業(yè),人民生存的根本,亦是一國進(jìn)行宏觀調(diào)控的關(guān)鍵,所以,探究貿(mào)易對就業(yè)總量的影響能改進(jìn)外貿(mào)政策,從而在廣度和深度上提升對外貿(mào)易的水平,從而在一定程度上增加就業(yè)量,推動遼寧省經(jīng)濟邁上一個新平臺。本文將對遼寧省1992-2015年的對外貿(mào)易對就業(yè)的影響進(jìn)行研究。本文先對有關(guān)貿(mào)易與就業(yè)二者關(guān)系的基本理論進(jìn)行歸納整理,然后對國內(nèi)外的文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行分析,并在對文獻(xiàn)進(jìn)行分析的前提下,提出了本文研究的出發(fā)點。繼而,運用大量的數(shù)據(jù)與圖表,全面直觀地分析遼寧省的對外貿(mào)易基本情況,并從貿(mào)易規(guī)模、貿(mào)易主體、依存度,貿(mào)易結(jié)構(gòu)等方面深入的分析遼寧省對外貿(mào)易所存在的問題,此外,分別從就業(yè)數(shù)量、就業(yè)結(jié)構(gòu)的角度呈現(xiàn)遼寧省就業(yè)的基本情況,然后,根據(jù)國際貿(mào)易理論,分析了貿(mào)易影響就業(yè)的傳導(dǎo)路徑,分別從貿(mào)易對就業(yè)的總體影響和對結(jié)構(gòu)上的影響兩方面進(jìn)行探討,本文的重點,也就文章的第四章節(jié),進(jìn)行實證分析來研究貿(mào)易的就業(yè)效應(yīng),即運用Eviews軟件對貿(mào)易與就業(yè)進(jìn)行計量分析,實證檢驗進(jìn)口,出口與就業(yè)二者之間的具體聯(lián)系,得出結(jié)論。最后,根據(jù)相關(guān)的研究結(jié)論,本文提出一些建議。
[Abstract]:At present, with the rapid development of economic globalization, Liaoning Province has made remarkable gains in foreign trade according to its favorable geographical position. The foreign trade of Liaoning Province is in a state of sustained growth. In 2015, foreign trade totaled $96.08 billion, exports $50.84 billion and imports $45.24 billion. The total trade volume was 13 times higher than that in 1992, and the import and export trade strength of Liaoning Province increased significantly. The rapid integration of investment and trade brings great opportunities for its development. Trade not only contributes to the development of economy, but also promotes employment to a certain extent. The employment of Liaoning Province increased from 19.578 million in 1992 to 24.099 million in 2015, about 20 years, the total number of employment increased by 4.521 million. However, the unemployment problem in Liaoning Province is still severe. The total number of people who increase employment every year is very small, and the annual increase rate is also uncertain. In the last 20 years, the growth rate of employment in Liaoning Province has not been very high. The annual employment growth rate is basically less than 2%, and the employment growth rate is negative in 2015. Employment, the root of people's survival, is also the key to a country's macroeconomic regulation and control. Therefore, exploring the impact of trade on total employment can improve foreign trade policies, thereby raising the level of foreign trade in scope and depth. Thus, to a certain extent, increase employment, promote Liaoning Province economy on a new platform. This paper will study the effects of foreign trade on employment in Liaoning Province from 1992 to 2015. This paper first summarizes the basic theory of the relationship between trade and employment, then analyzes the literature at home and abroad, and on the premise of analyzing the literature, puts forward the starting point of this study. Then, using a large number of data and charts, the basic situation of foreign trade in Liaoning Province is analyzed completely and intuitively, and the problems existing in foreign trade of Liaoning Province are deeply analyzed from the aspects of trade scale, main body of trade, degree of dependence, trade structure, etc. In addition, the basic situation of employment in Liaoning Province is presented from the angles of employment quantity and employment structure respectively. Then, according to the international trade theory, the transmission path of trade affecting employment is analyzed. Respectively from the overall impact of trade on employment and the impact on the structure of two aspects, the focus of this paper, also on the fourth chapter of the article, empirical analysis to study the employment effect of trade, This paper uses Eviews software to analyze trade and employment empirically to test the specific relationship between import, export and employment, and draw a conclusion. Finally, according to the relevant research conclusions, this paper puts forward some suggestions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：遼寧大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號】：F752.8;F249.27

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