本文選題：引力模型 + 汽車出口　； 參考：《山西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)》2017年碩士論文

【摘要】：作為我國(guó)重要的國(guó)民經(jīng)濟(jì)支柱產(chǎn)業(yè),汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)對(duì)帶動(dòng)我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展正發(fā)揮著越來(lái)越重要的作用。目前我國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)銷量均突破2800萬(wàn)量,國(guó)內(nèi)出現(xiàn)產(chǎn)銷兩旺的市場(chǎng)狀況,但我國(guó)汽車出口量在2012年突破100萬(wàn)輛高峰后卻呈逐年下滑趨勢(shì)。暴露出我國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)科技水平低、出口市場(chǎng)集中、低價(jià)競(jìng)爭(zhēng)等問(wèn)題,嚴(yán)重影響我國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)的國(guó)際化進(jìn)程。本文基于對(duì)我國(guó)汽車出口現(xiàn)狀的剖析,結(jié)合汽車出口中存在的問(wèn)題,運(yùn)用引力模型實(shí)證分析了我國(guó)汽車出口的影響因素,據(jù)此對(duì)企業(yè)出口規(guī)模進(jìn)行潛力測(cè)算,并進(jìn)一步借鑒發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家汽車出口的成功經(jīng)驗(yàn),對(duì)促進(jìn)我國(guó)汽車出口提出相關(guān)政策和建議。文中選取進(jìn)口國(guó)人均GDP、貿(mào)易依存度等多個(gè)因素作為解釋變量,截取2006-2015年間美國(guó)、韓國(guó)、埃及等31個(gè)國(guó)家的時(shí)間面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行引力模型的實(shí)證研究,結(jié)果顯示進(jìn)口國(guó)人均收入與雙邊貿(mào)易政策對(duì)我國(guó)汽車出口影響最為突出。進(jìn)口國(guó)人均收入水平越高,我國(guó)向其出口的汽車數(shù)量越多;并且我國(guó)對(duì)有雙邊貿(mào)易政策的國(guó)家汽車出口數(shù)量要顯著高于沒(méi)有雙邊貿(mào)易政策的貿(mào)易國(guó)。出口潛力測(cè)算進(jìn)一步顯示出我國(guó)在美國(guó)、日本、韓國(guó)、意大利、俄羅斯等國(guó)家“出口不足”,意味著我國(guó)汽車企業(yè)在這些國(guó)家面臨著競(jìng)爭(zhēng)激烈的市場(chǎng)環(huán)境,汽車產(chǎn)品的國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力不足。在阿爾及利亞、伊朗、委內(nèi)瑞拉等發(fā)展中國(guó)家出現(xiàn)“過(guò)度出口”現(xiàn)象,容易引發(fā)進(jìn)口國(guó)貿(mào)易保護(hù)“情緒”,貿(mào)易保護(hù)壁壘的潛在威脅較大。最后對(duì)日本、韓國(guó)、德國(guó)的相關(guān)汽車出口政策及成功經(jīng)驗(yàn)進(jìn)行研究,從中總結(jié)出適用于我國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)的技術(shù)研發(fā)、政策扶持等方面的成功經(jīng)驗(yàn)。本文認(rèn)為,我國(guó)汽車出口應(yīng)在借鑒國(guó)外成功經(jīng)驗(yàn)的基礎(chǔ)上,重點(diǎn)通過(guò)制定科學(xué)長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)的海外發(fā)展戰(zhàn)略,逐步規(guī)范出口秩序和提升出口效率,以及以研發(fā)投入和市場(chǎng)需求為導(dǎo)向的技術(shù)創(chuàng)新,特別是通過(guò)提高質(zhì)量、服務(wù)來(lái)提高品牌形象。此外,從國(guó)家層面來(lái)說(shuō),仍需加強(qiáng)財(cái)稅支持、金融扶持,完善出口公共服務(wù),以此來(lái)促進(jìn)中國(guó)汽車的出口。
[Abstract]:As an important pillar industry of national economy, automobile industry is playing a more and more important role in driving the economic development of our country. At present, China's automobile production and sales volume exceeds 28 million, and the domestic market is booming. However, after the peak of 1 million cars in 2012, China's automobile export volume has been declining year by year. The problems such as low level of science and technology, concentrated export market and low price competition in China's automobile industry have seriously affected the internationalization process of China's automobile industry. Based on the analysis of the present situation of China's automobile export and the problems existing in the automobile export, this paper empirically analyzes the influencing factors of our country's automobile export by using the gravity model, and then calculates the potential of the enterprise's export scale. Furthermore, the paper draws lessons from the successful experiences of the developed countries, and puts forward some relevant policies and suggestions to promote the automobile export of our country. This paper selects several factors such as per capita GDP, trade dependence and other factors as explanatory variables, intercepts the time panel data from 31 countries such as the United States, South Korea, Egypt and so on from 2006 to 2015 to carry out an empirical study of gravity model. The results show that the import country's per capita income and bilateral trade policy have the most prominent influence on China's automobile export. The higher the level of per capita income in importing countries, the more cars China exports to them, and the higher the number of automobile exports to countries with bilateral trade policies is higher than that of trading countries without bilateral trade policies. The measurement of export potential further shows that China's "export shortage" in the United States, Japan, South Korea, Italy, Russia and other countries means that Chinese automobile enterprises are facing a competitive market environment in these countries. The international competitiveness of automobile products is insufficient. In Algeria, Iran, Venezuela and other developing countries, the phenomenon of "excessive exports" is likely to trigger the "sentiment" of importing countries' trade protection, and the potential threat of trade protection barriers is greater. Finally, this paper studies the relevant automobile export policies and successful experiences of Japan, South Korea and Germany, and summarizes the successful experiences in technology research and development, policy support and so on, which are suitable for China's automobile industry. This paper holds that China's automobile export should gradually standardize export order and improve export efficiency by formulating a scientific and long-term overseas development strategy on the basis of drawing up successful foreign experiences. And R & D investment and market demand oriented technological innovation, especially through improving quality, service to improve brand image. In addition, at the national level, we still need to strengthen fiscal and tax support, financial support, and improve the export of public services to promote the export of Chinese cars.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：山西財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2017
【分類號(hào)】：F426.471;F752.62

【參考文獻(xiàn)】

相關(guān)期刊論文 前10條

1 何奕;程凱;;我國(guó)汽車行業(yè)出口貿(mào)易的影響因素及出口潛力研究——基于面板數(shù)據(jù)模型的實(shí)證分析[J];工業(yè)技術(shù)經(jīng)濟(jì);2016年12期

2 沈慶;馬勝;曲婕;;中國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)國(guó)際化發(fā)展趨勢(shì)及相關(guān)建議研究[J];汽車與配件;2016年38期

3 秦冰洋;;日本《汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)戰(zhàn)略2014》的啟示[J];汽車工業(yè)研究;2016年07期

4 林秋容;;“一帶一路”戰(zhàn)略背景下中國(guó)汽車出口東盟市場(chǎng)的機(jī)遇與挑戰(zhàn)[J];汽車工業(yè)研究;2016年06期

5 任力;黃崇杰;;國(guó)內(nèi)外環(huán)境規(guī)制對(duì)中國(guó)出口貿(mào)易的影響[J];世界經(jīng)濟(jì);2015年05期

6 劉得宇;;我國(guó)汽車出口現(xiàn)狀及措施研究[J];中外企業(yè)家;2015年06期

7 楊薇;;貿(mào)易自由化背景下中國(guó)自主汽車品牌國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力分析[J];商場(chǎng)現(xiàn)代化;2014年31期

8 康凱;王軍雷;;我國(guó)五大汽車集團(tuán)產(chǎn)能布局及產(chǎn)能規(guī)劃分析[J];汽車工業(yè)研究;2014年10期

9 孫江永;王新華;;產(chǎn)品異質(zhì)和引力模型視角下中國(guó)汽車出口分析[J];中南財(cái)經(jīng)政法大學(xué)學(xué)報(bào);2014年05期

10 陳翌;孔德洋;;德國(guó)新能源汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)政策及其啟示[J];德國(guó)研究;2014年01期

相關(guān)博士學(xué)位論文 前1條

1 苗壯;“市場(chǎng)換技術(shù)”策略與中國(guó)汽車業(yè)對(duì)外開(kāi)放研究[D];武漢大學(xué);2013年

相關(guān)碩士學(xué)位論文 前10條

1 馬歇爾;中德汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)國(guó)際競(jìng)爭(zhēng)力比較研究[D];浙江大學(xué);2016年

2 董廣遠(yuǎn);技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘對(duì)我國(guó)汽車出口的影響分析[D];吉林大學(xué);2016年

3 程真;我國(guó)自主品牌汽車出口策略研究[D];蘭州財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué);2015年

4 馬博;奇瑞汽車出口戰(zhàn)略研究[D];首都經(jīng)濟(jì)貿(mào)易大學(xué);2014年

5 胡宇;遼寧省汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)政策優(yōu)化研究[D];大連理工大學(xué);2014年

6 李珍英;中韓兩國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)發(fā)展及對(duì)中韓FTA啟示[D];復(fù)旦大學(xué);2013年

7 狄文秀;中德汽車產(chǎn)品產(chǎn)業(yè)內(nèi)貿(mào)易實(shí)證分析及對(duì)策研究[D];中國(guó)海洋大學(xué);2013年

8 沈慶;中國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)業(yè)國(guó)際化戰(zhàn)略的研究[D];天津大學(xué);2013年

9 向銳;技術(shù)性貿(mào)易壁壘（TBT）對(duì)中國(guó)汽車產(chǎn)品出口的影響及對(duì)策研究[D];西南財(cái)經(jīng)大學(xué);2010年

10 蔡速平;德國(guó)汽車競(jìng)爭(zhēng)優(yōu)勢(shì)研究[D];南昌大學(xué);2009年

，

本文編號(hào)：2069818