本文選題：二元邊際 + 中國出口增長　； 參考：《浙江工商大學(xué)》2013年碩士論文

【摘要】：改革開放的一系列政策使得中國與世界的聯(lián)系越來越緊密,中國在國際貿(mào)易發(fā)展中正扮演著越來越重要的角色。從大體上看。中國對外貿(mào)易有其自身的發(fā)展規(guī)律。20世紀(jì)70年代末至80年代這段時間正是中國改革開放初期。而在20世紀(jì)80年代至90年代這段時期,中國除了產(chǎn)業(yè)轉(zhuǎn)移政策導(dǎo)向外,還加大了利用外資的力度。因而可以說這段時期在中國對外發(fā)展中顯得尤為關(guān)鍵。中國在2001年的入世再一次為中國出口貿(mào)易的發(fā)展增添了動力。隨著走出去和引進(jìn)來戰(zhàn)略的實(shí)施,通過吸引跨國公司的在國內(nèi)投資及建立研發(fā)基地,中國可以憑借國外的先進(jìn)技術(shù)和管理理念來提高出口產(chǎn)品的規(guī)模和種類,進(jìn)一步推進(jìn)了中國出口的可持續(xù)增長道路。通過改革開放,中國逐漸于世界經(jīng)濟(jì)接軌,對外貿(mào)易在中國經(jīng)濟(jì)中占有越來越重要的地位。但與此同時,我們也看到中國出口在歷次金融危機(jī)面前所表現(xiàn)出來的不穩(wěn)定性也非常明顯,充分說明中國的出口貿(mào)易對外部環(huán)境的沖擊抵御能力較弱。 基于中國出口增長大幅波動和貿(mào)易條件持續(xù)惡化的事實(shí),本文以異質(zhì)性企業(yè)貿(mào)易理論為指導(dǎo),從貿(mào)易的二元邊際視角切入,通過分解中國出口總量數(shù)據(jù),分析中國出口增長的周期波動及其特征。通過對異質(zhì)性企業(yè)與出口增長理論體系及相關(guān)研究脈絡(luò)梳理和理論分析,揭示貿(mào)易的二元邊際對出口增長的作用機(jī)理。通過對Melitz (2003)模型擴(kuò)展和采用Tobit技術(shù),實(shí)證研究中國出口增長中的二元邊際決定因子,揭示中國出口大幅波動的深層原因,據(jù)此提煉出中國出口可持續(xù)增長的機(jī)制和路徑,并依理提出后危機(jī)時代我國制定出口貿(mào)易政策的思路和策略。
[Abstract]:China is playing a more and more important role in the development of international trade because of a series of policies of reform and opening to the outside world. By and large. China's foreign trade has its own law of development. The period from the late 1970s to the 1980s is the beginning of China's reform and opening up. During the period of 1980s and 1990s, China increased the use of foreign capital in addition to industrial transfer policy. Therefore, this period can be said to be particularly critical in China's external development. China's accession to the WTO in 2001 once again added impetus to the development of China's export trade. With the implementation of the strategy of going out and bringing in, by attracting multinational companies to invest in China and establishing research and development bases, China can increase the scale and variety of export products by virtue of advanced foreign technology and management concepts. It further promoted the sustainable growth of China's exports. Through reform and opening up, China is gradually in line with the world economy, foreign trade plays an increasingly important role in China's economy. But at the same time, we also see that the instability of China's exports in the face of previous financial crises is very obvious, which fully shows that the impact of China's export trade on the external environment is weak. Based on the fact that China's export growth fluctuates sharply and the terms of trade continue to deteriorate, this paper, under the guidance of heterogeneous enterprise trade theory, cuts through the dual marginal perspective of trade and decomposes the total export data of China. This paper analyzes the cyclical fluctuation of China's export growth and its characteristics. By combing and analyzing the theoretical system of heterogeneous enterprises and export growth, the paper reveals the mechanism of dualistic marginal trade on export growth. By extending the Melitz (2003) model and adopting Tobit technology, this paper empirically studies the dualistic marginal determinants in China's export growth, reveals the deep reasons for the large fluctuation of China's exports, and extracts the mechanism and path of China's sustainable export growth. And put forward the thinking and strategy of our country's export trade policy in the post-crisis era.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：浙江工商大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2013
【分類號】：F752.62;F224

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