本文選題：出口貿(mào)易 + 能源消費(fèi)�。� 參考：《西安科技大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：2009年,我國(guó)出口貿(mào)易成為全球第一。出口貿(mào)易作為我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展的三駕馬車(chē)之一,拉動(dòng)了我國(guó)經(jīng)濟(jì)的快速增長(zhǎng),然而一定程度上破壞了我們賴以生存的生活環(huán)境,如不可再生資源的大量消耗,自然資源無(wú)節(jié)制的開(kāi)采,使山川、河流、大氣受到嚴(yán)重污染等等。近年來(lái),我國(guó)向歐洲、美洲、亞洲等出售大量的商品,但生產(chǎn)過(guò)程中的污染卻沒(méi)有隨商品“比翼雙飛”,而是留在了我國(guó)。近年來(lái),環(huán)境保護(hù)與經(jīng)濟(jì)發(fā)展之間的矛盾日益激化,尤其是大氣污染已成為我國(guó)環(huán)境污染中最可怕的、最迫切需要解決的問(wèn)題。全國(guó)范圍頻頻出現(xiàn)的霧霾天氣不僅對(duì)我國(guó)居民的身體、心理造成極大的傷害,還抑制植物的光合作用,影響到國(guó)家的小麥、大米、蔬菜的產(chǎn)量。由于上述原因,本論文將出口貿(mào)易與我國(guó)能源消費(fèi)碳排放的關(guān)系研究作為研究主題,出口貿(mào)易總額、商品結(jié)構(gòu)、方式和地區(qū)對(duì)我國(guó)的碳排放會(huì)產(chǎn)生怎樣的影響?我國(guó)政府以及出口產(chǎn)業(yè)和企業(yè)又該采取什么樣的對(duì)策?這些都是本論文研究的重點(diǎn)。本文采用規(guī)范分析與實(shí)證分析相結(jié)合的方法,運(yùn)用碳排放這個(gè)概念,定量估算了1978-2013年間我國(guó)能源消費(fèi)的碳排放情況,數(shù)據(jù)顯示:我國(guó)1978-2013年碳排放呈現(xiàn)持續(xù)上升趨勢(shì),尤其是2002年之后的幾年碳排放增長(zhǎng)飛速。接著借助相關(guān)性分析、單位根檢驗(yàn)、協(xié)整分析、格蘭杰因果關(guān)系檢驗(yàn)分析研究碳排放總量與我國(guó)出口貿(mào)易總額、出口貿(mào)易商品結(jié)構(gòu)、出口貿(mào)易方式、出口貿(mào)易地區(qū)之間的長(zhǎng)期變化影響。研究結(jié)論是:我國(guó)的出口貿(mào)易與能源消費(fèi)碳排放之間存在著長(zhǎng)期均衡和短期波動(dòng)的關(guān)系,碳排放與出口貿(mào)易規(guī)模互為格蘭杰因果原因;中國(guó)的碳排放和中國(guó)的初級(jí)產(chǎn)品、工業(yè)制成品的之間呈單向格蘭杰原因,中國(guó)的碳排放增加是工業(yè)制成品的主要推動(dòng)力之一,即中國(guó)的出口貨物主要是建立在消耗大量可再生或者不可再生能源基礎(chǔ)上;能源消費(fèi)碳排放是引起出口貿(mào)易方式的單向格蘭杰原因;東部地區(qū)、中部地區(qū)和西部地區(qū)的出口貿(mào)易總量與我國(guó)能源消費(fèi)碳排放是正相關(guān)關(guān)系。結(jié)果表明中國(guó)出口貿(mào)易是低附加值粗放型、高碳排放的“非環(huán)境友好型”發(fā)展模式。
[Abstract]:In 2009, China's export trade became the first in the world. As one of the troika of China's economic development, export trade has stimulated the rapid economic growth of our country. However, to some extent, it has destroyed the living environment on which we rely for survival, such as the massive consumption of non-renewable resources. The unrestrained exploitation of natural resources causes serious pollution of mountains, rivers, atmosphere, and so on. In recent years, China has sold a large number of goods to Europe, America, Asia and so on, but the pollution in the production process did not fly with the goods, but stayed in our country. In recent years, the contradiction between environmental protection and economic development has become increasingly acute, especially air pollution has become the most terrible environmental pollution in China, the most urgent need to solve the problem. The frequent occurrence of smog weather in the whole country not only causes great harm to the body and psychology of the residents of our country, but also inhibits the photosynthesis of plants and affects the output of wheat, rice and vegetables in our country. Because of the above reasons, the relationship between export trade and China's energy consumption carbon emissions as the research theme, the total export trade, commodity structure, ways and regions will affect China's carbon emissions. What countermeasures should our government and export industries and enterprises take? These are the key points of this paper. Using the concept of carbon emissions, this paper quantitatively estimates the carbon emissions of energy consumption in China from 1978 to 2013 by combining normative analysis with empirical analysis. The data show that the carbon emissions in China from 1978 to 2013 have continued to increase. In particular, carbon emissions increased rapidly in the years after 2002. Then with the help of correlation analysis, unit root test, cointegration analysis, Granger causality test analysis, the total amount of carbon emissions and China's total export trade, export trade commodity structure, export trade mode, The impact of long-term changes between export trading regions. The conclusions are as follows: there is a long-term equilibrium and short-term fluctuation relationship between China's export trade and energy consumption carbon emissions, carbon emissions and export trade scale are the cause of Granger causality, China's carbon emissions and China's primary products, China's carbon emissions increase is one of the main driving forces of manufactured products, that is, China's exports are mainly based on the consumption of a large number of renewable or non-renewable energy sources. Energy consumption carbon emission is the one-way Granger cause of export trade mode, and the total export trade volume in eastern, central and western regions is positively related to China's energy consumption carbon emissions. The results show that China's export trade is a "non-environmental friendly" development model with low added value and high carbon emissions.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：西安科技大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類(lèi)號(hào)】：F752.62

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本文編號(hào)：1995925