發(fā)布時(shí)間：2018-04-28 05:18

  本文選題：中國(guó)東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū) + 區(qū)域經(jīng)濟(jì)一體化　； 參考：《大連理工大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：中國(guó)-東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)(CAFTA)建立的主要目的是加強(qiáng)中國(guó)與東盟十個(gè)國(guó)家之間的貿(mào)易發(fā)展關(guān)系,促進(jìn)區(qū)域貿(mào)易自由化發(fā)展。關(guān)于中國(guó)—東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)建設(shè)的想法,從20世紀(jì)90年代以來(lái)雙方就開(kāi)始合作談判。2002年在柬埔寨首都金邊舉行協(xié)議簽署會(huì)議上,中國(guó)與東盟十國(guó)的領(lǐng)導(dǎo)人簽署了《中國(guó)與東盟全面經(jīng)濟(jì)合作框架協(xié)議》,這意味著雙方建立自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的進(jìn)程正式開(kāi)始啟動(dòng)。中國(guó)-東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的成功建立意味著覆蓋人口面積最多的全球第三大自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的誕生了。從此,該協(xié)議的簽署和雙方開(kāi)始的頻繁的貿(mào)易合作促進(jìn)了雙方的貿(mào)易的迅猛發(fā)展。2002年,中國(guó)和東盟自貿(mào)區(qū)的進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易總額是547億美元,而到了2012年雙方貿(mào)易總額突破了4000億美元,相比2002年的增長(zhǎng)了7.3倍,事實(shí)證明中國(guó)對(duì)東盟國(guó)家自由貿(mào)易區(qū)的形成促進(jìn)了雙邊的經(jīng)貿(mào)關(guān)系更加深化、長(zhǎng)遠(yuǎn)的發(fā)展。由于近幾年中國(guó)—東盟國(guó)家的貿(mào)易額度大幅增長(zhǎng),貿(mào)易關(guān)系不斷加深,本文運(yùn)用2002-2012年間中國(guó)對(duì)東盟10國(guó)出口貿(mào)易的海關(guān)數(shù)據(jù)分析,基于貿(mào)易增長(zhǎng)的二元邊際視角深度分析中國(guó)向東盟出口增長(zhǎng)的問(wèn)題并做出詳細(xì)闡述。從協(xié)議簽訂的初始發(fā)展到目前為止,中國(guó)的出口增長(zhǎng)主要依賴于集約的貿(mào)易邊際,然而擴(kuò)展的貿(mào)易邊際也在不斷上升,但是所占比例較小。此外,本文通過(guò)構(gòu)建引力模型進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究分析中國(guó)對(duì)東盟出口增長(zhǎng)的二元邊際的影響因素,發(fā)現(xiàn)各個(gè)因素對(duì)二元邊際影響作用均不相同。研究結(jié)果表明,國(guó)家經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模越大對(duì)二元邊際的促進(jìn)作用越突出；出口的目的地國(guó)越遠(yuǎn),可變貿(mào)易成本越高,致使對(duì)二元邊際的影響為負(fù)向；雙邊交易國(guó)的使用同一語(yǔ)言和地理接壤等因素對(duì)二元邊際有正向影響并促進(jìn)可變貿(mào)易成本的降低。本文分析結(jié)果與貿(mào)易引力模型的基礎(chǔ)理論是一致的。本文研究主要內(nèi)容分為四章。第一章緒論,簡(jiǎn)要描述研究背景與研究意義、國(guó)內(nèi)外相關(guān)文獻(xiàn)綜述、研究方法及創(chuàng)新之處。第二章關(guān)于中國(guó)至東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)出口增長(zhǎng)的二元邊際分解,本章研究分析中國(guó)對(duì)東盟各國(guó)出口的出口產(chǎn)品種類、出口產(chǎn)品價(jià)值與雙邊貿(mào)易的產(chǎn)品種類對(duì)二元邊際的增長(zhǎng)影響效應(yīng)。第三章針對(duì)中國(guó)向東盟出口二元邊際的影響因素進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析。本章運(yùn)用引力模型進(jìn)行實(shí)證研究,主要考察經(jīng)濟(jì)規(guī)模、地理距離、語(yǔ)言的相同性與地接壤近等影響因素對(duì)出口增長(zhǎng)的二元邊際影響作用。第四章結(jié)論與政策建議,本章歸納中國(guó)對(duì)東盟自由貿(mào)易區(qū)出口增長(zhǎng)的實(shí)證分析結(jié)論并提出相關(guān)政策性建議。
[Abstract]:The main purpose of the establishment of CAFTAA is to strengthen the trade development relationship between China and 10 ASEAN countries and to promote the development of regional trade liberalization. On the idea of building a China-ASEAN Free Trade area, the two sides have been negotiating cooperation since the 1990s. At the agreement signing meeting held in Phnom Penh, Cambodia's capital, in 2002, The leaders of China and ASEAN signed the Framework Agreement on Comprehensive Economic Cooperation between China and ASEAN, which means that the process of establishing a free trade area between China and ASEAN has officially begun. The successful establishment of China-ASEAN Free Trade area means the birth of the world's third largest free trade area with the largest population. Since then, the signing of the agreement and the frequent trade cooperation between the two sides have promoted the rapid development of bilateral trade. In 2002, the total import and export trade between China and the ASEAN Free Trade area was 54.7 billion US dollars. By 2012, the total trade volume between China and ASEAN had exceeded 400 billion US dollars, a 7.3-fold increase compared with 2002. It has been proved that the formation of China's Free Trade area with ASEAN countries has promoted the deepening and long-term development of bilateral economic and trade relations. As the trade quota between China and ASEAN countries has increased dramatically in recent years and trade relations have been deepened, this paper analyzes the export trade between China and ASEAN from 2002 to 2012. Based on the dual marginal perspective of trade growth, the problem of China's export growth to ASEAN is analyzed and elaborated in detail. From the beginning of the agreement to now, China's export growth mainly depends on the intensive trade margin, but the expanding trade margin is also rising, but the proportion is small. In addition, this paper makes an empirical study on the influence factors of China's dual margin of export growth to ASEAN through the establishment of gravity model, and finds that each factor has different effects on dual marginal. The results show that the larger the national economic scale is, the more prominent the promotion effect is to the dualistic margin, and the further the destination country of export is, the higher the variable trade cost is, which leads to the negative impact on the dualistic margin. The use of the same language and geographical border in bilateral trading countries has a positive impact on the duality margin and promotes the reduction of variable trade costs. The results of this paper are consistent with the basic theory of trade gravity model. The main content of this paper is divided into four chapters. The first chapter is introduction, briefly describes the research background and significance, domestic and foreign literature review, research methods and innovations. The second chapter is about the dualistic marginal decomposition of the export growth between China and ASEAN Free Trade area. This chapter analyzes the types of export products that China exports to ASEAN countries. The effect of export product value and bilateral trade product category on the growth of dualistic margin. The third chapter makes an empirical analysis on the influence factors of the dualistic margin of China's export to ASEAN. In this chapter, an empirical study using gravity model is conducted to investigate the dual marginal effects of economic scale, geographical distance, language similarity and proximity to land on export growth. Chapter four concludes with policy recommendations. This chapter summarizes the empirical analysis of China's export growth to ASEAN Free Trade area and puts forward relevant policy recommendations.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：大連理工大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F752.62

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