本文選題：中間產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口 + 高技術(shù)行業(yè)　； 參考：《湖南大學(xué)》2015年碩士論文

【摘要】：在國(guó)內(nèi)產(chǎn)能過剩、產(chǎn)業(yè)升級(jí)的背景下,政府提出了中國(guó)版“馬歇爾計(jì)劃”,大力發(fā)展“一帶一路”建設(shè),高技術(shù)出口型企業(yè)和產(chǎn)業(yè)“走出去”成了國(guó)家未來發(fā)展的重中之重,高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)迎來歷史發(fā)展機(jī)遇期。近十年來,我國(guó)對(duì)外貿(mào)易取得了舉世矚目的成績(jī),尤其是高技術(shù)產(chǎn)品貿(mào)易額增速驚人。然而,現(xiàn)階段我國(guó)高技術(shù)行業(yè)進(jìn)出口貿(mào)易主要以加工貿(mào)易為主,且技術(shù)含量低,嚴(yán)重阻礙了我國(guó)高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展。所以在未來高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)的發(fā)展中,我們不能只注重貿(mào)易數(shù)量,更要注重貿(mào)易質(zhì)量。本文首先分析了中間產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口對(duì)高技術(shù)產(chǎn)品出口技術(shù)含量的影響機(jī)制,一是具體從技術(shù)溢出、規(guī)模經(jīng)濟(jì)以及貿(mào)易競(jìng)爭(zhēng)角度進(jìn)行效應(yīng)機(jī)制分析,二是從全球化生產(chǎn)、垂直專業(yè)化以及投資貿(mào)易一體化角度來進(jìn)行路徑機(jī)制分析。接著分析我國(guó)中間產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口與高技術(shù)產(chǎn)品出口技術(shù)含量的現(xiàn)狀,具體分析了中間產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口的規(guī)模與結(jié)構(gòu),同時(shí)采用Hausmann(2007)模型測(cè)算了中國(guó)高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)出口技術(shù)含量,分析我國(guó)高技術(shù)產(chǎn)業(yè)出口技術(shù)含量的變動(dòng),并對(duì)其進(jìn)行橫向和縱向的比較。得出雖然我國(guó)高技術(shù)產(chǎn)品出口額多,但是技術(shù)含量比較低,與發(fā)達(dá)國(guó)家比還有一定距離。之后利用2000—2013年我國(guó)高技術(shù)五大行業(yè)面板數(shù)據(jù)進(jìn)行實(shí)證分析,首先選取中間產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口、全球化生產(chǎn)指數(shù)和垂直專業(yè)化指數(shù)等變量,利用靜態(tài)面板模型和動(dòng)態(tài)GMM模型對(duì)高技術(shù)出口技術(shù)含量進(jìn)行總體性分析,然后再引入虛擬變量,分析高技術(shù)五大行業(yè)中間產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口對(duì)其出口技術(shù)含量的影響。實(shí)證結(jié)果認(rèn)為總體的中間產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口對(duì)高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)品出口技術(shù)含量具有顯著地正向影響,同時(shí),生產(chǎn)全球化、垂直專業(yè)化以及投資貿(mào)易一體化均對(duì)高新技術(shù)產(chǎn)品出口技術(shù)含量有正向影響,且垂直專業(yè)化對(duì)其影響程度最大。FDI、RD和中間產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口均有助于提升產(chǎn)品的出口技術(shù)含量。但對(duì)細(xì)分行業(yè)的中間產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口與出口技術(shù)含量的關(guān)系是不確定的,醫(yī)藥制造業(yè)等三類產(chǎn)品的中間產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口會(huì)促進(jìn)高技術(shù)產(chǎn)品出口技術(shù)含量的提升,而其余兩大類中間產(chǎn)品進(jìn)口則會(huì)阻礙其出口技術(shù)含量的提升。最后,在實(shí)證結(jié)果的基礎(chǔ)上,提出了相關(guān)政策建議。
[Abstract]:Against the background of overcapacity in China and industrial upgrading, the government has put forward a Chinese version of the Marshall Plan, vigorously developed the construction of "Belt and Road", and high-tech export-oriented enterprises and industries have become the top priority of the country's future development.The high-tech industry ushered in the historical development opportunity period.In the past ten years, China's foreign trade has made remarkable achievements, especially the rapid growth of the volume of high-tech products.However, at the present stage, the import and export trade of high-tech industry in China is mainly focused on processing trade, and the technology content is low, which seriously hinders the development of high and new technology industry in our country.Therefore, in the future development of high-tech industries, we should not only focus on the quantity of trade, but also on the quality of trade.This paper first analyzes the influence mechanism of intermediate product import on the technology content of high-tech product export, one is from the perspective of technology spillover, scale economy and trade competition, the other is from the perspective of global production.Vertical specialization and investment and trade integration to analyze the path mechanism.Then it analyzes the current situation of China's intermediate product import and high-tech product export technology content, analyzes the scale and structure of intermediate product import, and calculates the export technology content of China's high-tech industry by using Hausmann's 2007) model.The change of export technology content of high-tech industry in China is analyzed and compared horizontally and vertically.It is concluded that although the export value of high-tech products in our country is much, the technical content is relatively low, and there is still a certain distance compared with developed countries.Then we use the panel data of five high-tech industries from 2000 to 2013 to carry out empirical analysis. First of all, we select variables such as import of intermediate products, global production index and vertical specialization index, etc.The static panel model and dynamic GMM model are used to analyze the total content of high-tech export technology. Then virtual variables are introduced to analyze the influence of import of intermediate products in five high-tech industries on its export technology content.The empirical results show that the overall import of intermediate products has a significant positive impact on the export technology content of high-tech products, and at the same time, the globalization of production.Vertical specialization and integration of investment and trade have positive effects on the export technology content of high and new technology products, and vertical specialization has the greatest influence on it.However, the relationship between the import of intermediate products and the technical content of exports is uncertain. The import of intermediate products of three kinds of products, such as the pharmaceutical manufacturing industry, will promote the upgrading of the export technology content of high-tech products.Imports of the remaining two major categories of intermediate products will hinder the upgrading of their export technology.Finally, on the basis of empirical results, the relevant policy recommendations are put forward.
【學(xué)位授予單位】：湖南大學(xué)
【學(xué)位級(jí)別】：碩士
【學(xué)位授予年份】：2015
【分類號(hào)】：F752.62

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